GOOGL is OVERVALUED SecDiverAI
Median Fair Price 123.54
Confidence: MEDIUM
Fair Price Range 117.37 - 147.6
1 Year Price target: $ 138.53 - $ 146.74
3 Year Price target: $ 174.17 - $ 207.03
Current Market Price: 196.0 as of 2025-01-20
Investment Value of 100 $ invested in GOOGL as compared to Market Index: SPY across historical periods[*does not include dividends]
Investment Period $ Value Today(GOOGL) $ Value Today(SPY) CAGR vs Market
9 years before $ 738.65 $ 208.39 24.88% vs SPY:8.5%
5 years before $ 375.16 $ 150.37 30.27% vs SPY:8.5%
3 years before $ 223.68 $ 127.73 30.78% vs SPY:8.5%
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We have 3 report results for ticker: GOOGL - Alphabet Inc., also organized by 3 group tags below ... Bargain Finder: Related Companies Portfolio Health: Related Companies

Business Checklist for GOOGL from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time

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Red Flags Identified


0

Total Checks Done


11

Wall Street Drivers beta

📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • revenue cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['19.23 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which grow >= 5% YoY, better than GDP growth of >= 2-3%
  • cashflows cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['18.63 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate cashflows >= 5% YoY, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
  • shares outstanding cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['0.23 is less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful

Business Durability beta

🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • margin cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 0.34 wrt mean ratio: 0.351']

Business Trends last 3 years beta

Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • capex running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.1 wrt mean ratio: 0.129']

Profits Matter beta

💰 Companies needs to have positive profits to reward its shareholders in the long term
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • positive cashflows profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['94964333333.33 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive cashflows profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term

Capital Allocation beta

🧠 Remember: Shareholders only gets rewarded if management does prudent capital allocation decisions
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • capex to Cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.31 wrt mean ratio: 0.369']
  • depreciation to capex running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 0.44 wrt mean ratio: 0.441']
  • mental_model: Helps understand where the company is investing for the future, OR it has to replenish its assets to maintain business
  • stock based compensation to Cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 0.2 wrt mean ratio: 0.196']
  • shares_buyback distribution of Cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: -0.6 wrt mean ratio: -0.353']

Business Performance beta

Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • Operating Leverage Cashflow cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [0.97] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 18.63, value_2: 19.23']

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1. Showing CASHFLOW_SUMMARY report for GOOGL [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 196.0 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013
GOOGL revenue 307.39B 282.84B 257.64B 182.53B 161.86B 136.82B 110.86B 90.27B 74.99B 66.00B 55.52B
GOOGL cashflow::operating 101.75B 91.50B 91.65B 65.12B 54.52B 47.97B 37.09B 36.04B 26.57B 23.02B 18.66B
GOOGL shares 6.80B 6.88B 6.92B 6.92B 0.35B 0.35B 0.35B 0.34B 0.34B 0.34B 0.33B
GOOGL shares_calc 6.80B 6.88B 6.92B 6.92B 6.92B 6.99B 6.96B 6.89B 6.86B 6.76B 6.65B
GOOGL sbc 22.46B 19.36B 15.38B 12.99B 10.79B 9.35B 7.68B 6.70B 5.20B 4.28B 3.34B
GOOGL capex 32.25B 31.48B 24.64B 22.28B 23.55B 25.14B 13.18B 10.21B 9.91B 10.96B 7.36B
GOOGL depreciation 11.95B 15.29B 11.55B 12.90B 10.86B 8.16B 6.10B 5.27B 4.13B 3.52B 2.78B
GOOGL margin_cfo 33.10% 32.35% 35.57% 35.68% 33.68% 35.06% 33.46% 39.92% 35.43% 34.88% 33.61%
GOOGL shares_buyback -61.50B -59.30B -50.27B -31.15B -18.40B -9.07B -4.85B -3.69B -1.78B 0.0 0.0
GOOGL dividends 0.0 0.0 inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf
GOOGL amortization 0.0 0.64B 0.89B 0.79B 0.93B 0.87B 0.81B 0.88B 0.93B 1.46B 1.16B
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

2. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for GOOGL [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 196.0 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013
GOOGL revenue 45.21 41.10 37.26 26.37 23.38 19.57 15.93 13.10 10.93 9.77 8.35
GOOGL cashflow::operating 14.96 13.30 13.25 9.41 7.88 6.86 5.33 5.23 3.87 3.41 2.80
GOOGL shares 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05
GOOGL shares_calc 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
GOOGL sbc 3.30 2.81 2.22 1.88 1.56 1.34 1.10 0.97 0.76 0.63 0.50
GOOGL capex 4.74 4.58 3.56 3.22 3.40 3.60 1.89 1.48 1.45 1.62 1.11
GOOGL depreciation 1.76 2.22 1.67 1.86 1.57 1.17 0.88 0.76 0.60 0.52 0.42
GOOGL shares_buyback -9.05 -8.62 -7.27 -4.50 -2.66 -1.30 -0.70 -0.54 -0.26 0.0 0.0
GOOGL dividends 0.0 0.0 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02
GOOGL amortization 0.0 0.09 0.13 0.11 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.22 0.17
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

3. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for GOOGL [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 196.0 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013
GOOGL revenue 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
GOOGL cashflow::operating 33.10% 32.35% 35.57% 35.68% 33.68% 35.06% 33.46% 39.92% 35.43% 34.88% 33.61%
GOOGL shares 2.21% 2.43% 2.68% 3.79% 0.21% 0.26% 0.31% 0.38% 0.46% 0.51% 0.60%
GOOGL shares_calc 2.21% 2.43% 2.68% 3.79% 4.28% 5.11% 6.28% 7.63% 9.15% 10.24% 11.98%
GOOGL sbc 7.31% 6.85% 5.97% 7.12% 6.67% 6.84% 6.93% 7.43% 6.94% 6.48% 6.02%
GOOGL capex 10.49% 11.13% 9.56% 12.21% 14.55% 18.37% 11.89% 11.31% 13.22% 16.60% 13.25%
GOOGL depreciation 3.89% 5.40% 4.48% 7.07% 6.71% 5.97% 5.51% 5.83% 5.51% 5.34% 5.01%
GOOGL shares_buyback -20.01% -20.96% -19.51% -17.07% -11.37% -6.63% -4.37% -4.09% -2.37% 0.0 0.0
GOOGL dividends 0.0 0.0 0.04% 0.05% 0.06% 0.07% 0.09% 0.11% 0.13% 0.15% 0.18%
GOOGL amortization 0.0 0.23% 0.34% 0.43% 0.57% 0.64% 0.73% 0.97% 1.24% 2.21% 2.09%
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)


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