GOOGL is OVERVALUED SecDiverAI
Median Fair Price 123.54
Confidence: MEDIUM
Fair Price Range 117.37 - 147.6
1 Year Price target: $ 138.53 - $ 146.74
3 Year Price target: $ 174.17 - $ 207.03
Current Market Price: 196.0 as of 2025-01-20
Investment Value of 100 $ invested in GOOGL as compared to Market Index: SPY across historical periods[*does not include dividends]
Investment Period $ Value Today(GOOGL) $ Value Today(SPY) CAGR vs Market
9 years before $ 738.65 $ 208.39 24.88% vs SPY:8.5%
5 years before $ 375.16 $ 150.37 30.27% vs SPY:8.5%
3 years before $ 223.68 $ 127.73 30.78% vs SPY:8.5%
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We have 4 report results for ticker: GOOGL - Alphabet Inc., also organized by 4 group tags below ... Bargain Finder: Related Companies Portfolio Health: Related Companies

Business Checklist for GOOGL from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time

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Red Flags Identified


9

Total Checks Done


29

Wall Street Drivers beta

📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score 9.0 / 10.0

  • revenue cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['19.23 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which grow >= 5% YoY, better than GDP growth of >= 2-3%
  • cashflows cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['18.63 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate cashflows >= 5% YoY, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
  • shares outstanding cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['0.23 is less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful
  • debt cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['16.99 is less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business with lower debt growth
  • equity cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['11.8 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business having shareholder equity growth >= 5% YoY
  • leverage average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['0.15 is less than equal to 5', '0.15 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business which can pay their debts in less than 5 years, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
  • roe_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['37.29 is greater than equal to 10']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on equity >= 10%
  • roce_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['35.25 is greater than equal to 15']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on capital >= 15%
  • roic_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['66.35 is greater than equal to 15']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on invested capital >= 15%

Business Durability beta

🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score 8.0 / 10.0

  • margin cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 0.34 wrt mean ratio: 0.351']
  • cash average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 22602000000.0 wrt mean ratio: 18671666666.666']
  • mental_model: We want stability on cash growth
  • roa_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 26.14 wrt mean ratio: 23.556']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on assets
  • roe_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 37.29 wrt mean ratio: 31.436']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on equity
  • roce_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 35.25 wrt mean ratio: 30.217']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on capital employed
  • roic_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 66.35 wrt mean ratio: 74.468']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on invested capital

Business Trends last 3 years beta

Score 5.0 / 10.0

  • receivables running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.15 wrt mean ratio: 0.166']
  • mental_model: receivables should always grow less with revenues otherwise there might be some payment/collection issues, Watch out
  • inventory running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.0 wrt mean ratio: 0.009']
  • mental_model: inventory should always grow in relation with revenues, Inventory build can be positive depending on the industry cycle, but mostly it could be a CON as working capital is tied up, Be Careful
  • payables running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.02 wrt mean ratio: 0.026']
  • mental_model: the more this is the better, nothing bad about it.
  • cash running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.08 wrt mean ratio: 0.129']
  • mental_model: cash trend should be similar or greater to revenue, if company is heavily reinvesting it might be OK, but do check

Profits Matter beta

💰 Companies needs to have positive profits to reward its shareholders in the long term
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • positive cashflows profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['94964333333.33 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive cashflows profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term

Capital Allocation beta

🧠 Remember: Shareholders only gets rewarded if management does prudent capital allocation decisions
Score 0.0 / 10.0

  • cashToRevenue running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.08 wrt mean ratio: 0.129']
  • cashToEquity running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.09 wrt mean ratio: 0.098']

Business Performance beta

Score 5.0 / 10.0

  • Operating Leverage Cashflow cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [0.97] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 18.63, value_2: 19.23']
  • debt cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [0.88] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 1, value_1: 16.99, value_2: 19.23']
  • cash cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [0.26] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 3.05, value_2: 11.8']
  • debt-equity-cagr cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [1.44] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 1, value_1: 16.99, value_2: 11.8']
  • mental_model: We want debt to grow less than equity

Balance Sheet Quality beta

📈 Quality companies can withstand darkest hours, strong balance sheet is the key
Score 7.0 / 10.0

  • debtToCashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 0.15 wrt mean ratio: 0.151']
  • debtToEquity running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.05 wrt mean ratio: 0.042']
  • leverage average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['0.15 is less than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business which can pay their debts in less than 5 years

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We do NOT feel in CONTROL in the markets. Do we know why?

1. Showing BALANCE_SUMMARY report for GOOGL [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 196.0 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013
GOOGL StockMarketPrice 139.69 88.23 144.85 87.63 66.97 52.25 52.67 39.62 38.90 26.53 28.05
GOOGL revenue 307.39B 282.84B 257.64B 182.53B 161.86B 136.82B 110.86B 90.27B 74.99B 66.00B 55.52B
GOOGL assets 402.39B 365.26B 365.26B 359.27B 319.62B 232.79B 197.29B 167.50B 147.46B 129.19B 0.0
GOOGL cash 24.05B 21.88B 21.88B 20.95B 26.46B 16.70B 10.71B 12.92B 16.55B 18.35B 0.0
GOOGL cashflow::operating 101.75B 91.50B 91.65B 65.12B 54.52B 47.97B 37.09B 36.04B 26.57B 23.02B 18.66B
GOOGL equity 283.38B 256.14B 256.14B 251.63B 222.54B 177.63B 152.50B 139.04B 120.33B 103.86B 0.0
GOOGL debt 13.25B 14.70B 14.70B 14.82B 13.93B 4.01B 3.97B 3.94B 2.00B 3.23B 0.0
GOOGL shares 6.80B 6.88B 6.92B 6.92B 0.35B 0.35B 0.35B 0.34B 0.34B 0.34B 0.33B
GOOGL shares_calc 6.80B 6.88B 6.92B 6.92B 6.92B 6.99B 6.96B 6.89B 6.86B 6.76B 6.65B
GOOGL inventory 0.0 0.0 2.67B 1.17B 0.73B 1.11B 0.75B 0.27B 0.49B 0.0 0.0
GOOGL payables 7.49B 5.13B 5.13B 6.04B 5.59B 4.38B 3.14B 2.04B 1.93B 1.72B 0.0
GOOGL receivables 47.96B 40.26B 40.26B 39.30B 30.93B 20.84B 18.34B 14.14B 11.56B 9.38B 0.0
GOOGL roa_cfo 27.86% 25.05% 25.51% 20.38% 23.42% 24.31% 22.14% 24.44% 20.57% 0.0 0.0
GOOGL roe_cfo 39.72% 35.72% 36.42% 29.26% 30.69% 31.46% 26.68% 29.95% 25.58% 0.0 0.0
GOOGL roce_cfo 37.57% 33.78% 34.40% 27.54% 30.02% 30.66% 25.94% 29.46% 24.81% 0.0 0.0
GOOGL roic_cfo 68.84% 60.81% 69.41% 58.77% 70.54% 82.24% 79.60% 92.09% 82.93% 72.97% inf
GOOGL goodwill 29.20B 28.96B 28.96B 22.96B 21.18B 17.89B 16.75B 16.47B 15.87B 15.60B 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

2. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for GOOGL [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 196.0 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013
GOOGL StockMarketPrice
GOOGL revenue 45.21 41.10 37.26 26.37 23.38 19.57 15.93 13.10 10.93 9.77 8.35
GOOGL assets 59.18 53.08 52.82 51.90 46.17 33.31 28.35 24.31 21.50 19.12 0.0
GOOGL cash 3.54 3.18 3.16 3.03 3.82 2.39 1.54 1.88 2.41 2.71 0.0
GOOGL cashflow::operating 14.96 13.30 13.25 9.41 7.88 6.86 5.33 5.23 3.87 3.41 2.80
GOOGL equity 41.68 37.22 37.04 36.35 32.15 25.41 21.92 20.18 17.54 15.37 0.0
GOOGL debt 1.95 2.14 2.13 2.14 2.01 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.29 0.48 0.0
GOOGL shares 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05
GOOGL shares_calc 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
GOOGL inventory 0.0 0.0 0.39 0.17 0.11 0.16 0.11 0.04 0.07 0.0 0.0
GOOGL payables 1.10 0.75 0.74 0.87 0.81 0.63 0.45 0.30 0.28 0.25 0.0
GOOGL receivables 7.05 5.85 5.82 5.68 4.47 2.98 2.64 2.05 1.68 1.39 0.0
GOOGL goodwill 4.29 4.21 4.19 3.32 3.06 2.56 2.41 2.39 2.31 2.31 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

3. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for GOOGL [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 196.0 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013
GOOGL StockMarketPrice
GOOGL revenue 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
GOOGL assets 130.90% 129.14% 141.77% 196.83% 197.47% 170.15% 177.98% 185.55% 196.64% 195.73% 0.0
GOOGL cash 7.82% 7.74% 8.49% 11.48% 16.35% 12.21% 9.67% 14.31% 22.07% 27.80% 0.0
GOOGL cashflow::operating 33.10% 32.35% 35.57% 35.68% 33.68% 35.06% 33.46% 39.92% 35.43% 34.88% 33.61%
GOOGL equity 92.19% 90.56% 99.42% 137.86% 137.49% 129.83% 137.57% 154.02% 160.46% 157.36% 0.0
GOOGL debt 4.31% 5.20% 5.71% 8.12% 8.61% 2.93% 3.58% 4.36% 2.66% 4.89% 0.0
GOOGL shares 2.21% 2.43% 2.68% 3.79% 0.21% 0.26% 0.31% 0.38% 0.46% 0.51% 0.60%
GOOGL shares_calc 2.21% 2.43% 2.68% 3.79% 4.28% 5.11% 6.28% 7.63% 9.15% 10.24% 11.98%
GOOGL inventory 0.0 0.0 1.04% 0.64% 0.45% 0.81% 0.68% 0.30% 0.65% 0.0 0.0
GOOGL payables 2.44% 1.81% 1.99% 3.31% 3.45% 3.20% 2.83% 2.26% 2.58% 2.60% 0.0
GOOGL receivables 15.60% 14.23% 15.63% 21.53% 19.11% 15.23% 16.54% 15.66% 15.41% 14.22% 0.0
GOOGL goodwill 9.50% 10.24% 11.24% 12.58% 13.08% 13.07% 15.11% 18.24% 21.16% 23.63% 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

4. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to assets for GOOGL [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 196.0 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014
GOOGL StockMarketPrice
GOOGL revenue 76.39% 77.43% 70.53% 50.81% 50.64% 58.77% 56.19% 53.89% 50.85% 51.09%
GOOGL assets 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
GOOGL cash 5.98% 5.99% 5.99% 5.83% 8.28% 7.17% 5.43% 7.71% 11.22% 14.20%
GOOGL cashflow::operating 25.29% 25.05% 25.09% 18.13% 17.06% 20.61% 18.80% 21.51% 18.02% 17.82%
GOOGL equity 70.42% 70.13% 70.13% 70.04% 69.63% 76.30% 77.30% 83.01% 81.60% 80.40%
GOOGL debt 3.29% 4.02% 4.02% 4.12% 4.36% 1.72% 2.01% 2.35% 1.35% 2.50%
GOOGL shares 1.69% 1.88% 1.89% 1.93% 0.11% 0.15% 0.18% 0.21% 0.23% 0.26%
GOOGL shares_calc 1.69% 1.88% 1.89% 1.93% 2.17% 3.00% 3.53% 4.11% 4.65% 5.23%
GOOGL inventory 0.0 0.0 0.73% 0.33% 0.23% 0.48% 0.38% 0.16% 0.33% 0.0
GOOGL payables 1.86% 1.40% 1.40% 1.68% 1.75% 1.88% 1.59% 1.22% 1.31% 1.33%
GOOGL receivables 11.92% 11.02% 11.02% 10.94% 9.68% 8.95% 9.29% 8.44% 7.84% 7.26%
GOOGL goodwill 7.26% 7.93% 7.93% 6.39% 6.63% 7.68% 8.49% 9.83% 10.76% 12.07%
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)


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