WMT is OVERVALUED SecDiverAI Median Fair Price 45.78 Confidence: MEDIUM Fair Price Range 18.31 - 50.69
1 Year Price target: $ 45.62 - $ 51.06
3 Year Price target: $ 45.3 - $ 63.51
Current Market Price: 91.94 as of 2025-01-20
Investment Value of 100 $ invested in WMT as compared to Market Index: SPY across historical periods[*does not include dividends]
Investment Period
$ Value Today(WMT)
$ Value Today(SPY)
CAGR vs Market
9 years before
$ 536.45
$ 208.39
20.52% vs SPY:8.5%
5 years before
$ 250.08
$ 150.37
20.12% vs SPY:8.5%
3 years before
$ 198.75
$ 127.73
25.73% vs SPY:8.5%
How we calculate our Fair Value estimates?: It's based on historical data, We measure CAGR growth rates for last 9 years, 5 years and 3 years across multiple dimensions e.g: like revenue, operating income/net income, equity, retained earnings, eps to generate a fair value estimate Note1: Valuations are purely based on operating characteristics of the business, if they have additional portfolio like minority share, they are not accounted Note2: e.g.: for Berkshire (BRK-B) - make sure to add market price of equity portfolio per share Note3: Data used for Valuation calculations are ending fiscal year , Market Price of WMT was 0.0 first week of Decemeber approx... Note4: Confidence means how many fundamental drivers, we are seeing which are driving the business, if the number is low our Confidence Rating is LOW and so on
Fair Value based on last 9 years
WMT is OVERVALUED Median Fair Price 18.31 Confidence: MEDIUM Fair Price Range 16.31 - 22.88
Fair Value based on last 5 years
WMT is OVERVALUED Median Fair Price 45.78 Confidence: MEDIUM Fair Price Range 35.91 - 57.78
Fair Value based on last 3 years
WMT is OVERVALUED Median Fair Price 50.69 Confidence: MEDIUM Fair Price Range 45.82 - 55.42
Disclaimer: This is not a Buy/Sell suggestion, the data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile, We are not liable for any loss! Note: The Valuation above uses Relative Valuation method, click "How did we generate button" to learn more!
Understand the unit economics and market potential
Check why Customers love it? is it a low-cost producer and provide quality products
Do a Customer study: by asking - Can you imagine doing your job without the Company Products? How is the Competition products?
Ask Customers - Why is it better than other products in the market
The Business needs to provide value to Customers at the end of day by improving productivity(save time) and scaling the user to do more and be cheap
The most important: Does the current management have Skin in the Game, if stock drops will they be impacted, if no: run away from the Stock: WMT
Business Checklist for WMT from SecDiver AIbetaFree for Limited Time
Want to see more such checks or Customize your checks, check out our plans
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, it's all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better!
Note: Most of these checks are based on BUY view, answers will depend based on your personal situation, long term view, and your intent: BUY, HOLD or SELL
π Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score2.0 / 10.0
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, its all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better! Note: Free for Limited Time
revenue cagr for last 9 years
insight: ['2.77 is greater than equal to 5']
mental_model: We prefer growing Business which grow >= 5% YoY, better than GDP growth of >= 2-3%
operating profits cagr for last 9 years
insight: ['-1.28 is greater than equal to 5']
mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate operating profits >= 5% YoY
shares outstanding cagr for last 9 years
insight: ['-2.2 is less than equal to 2']
mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful
net profits cagr for last 9 years
insight: ['-2.48 is greater than equal to 5']
mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate net profits >= 5% YoY
Business Durability beta
π° Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score0.0 / 10.0
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, its all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better! Note: Free for Limited Time
margin operating running_sum for last 3 years
insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.04 wrt mean ratio: 0.047']
margin net running_sum for last 3 years
insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.02 wrt mean ratio: 0.028']
Profits Matter beta
π° Companies needs to have positive profits to reward its shareholders in the long term
Score10.0 / 10.0
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, its all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better! Note: Free for Limited Time
positive operating profits average for last 3 years
insight: ['24460666666.67 is greater than equal to 0']
mental_model: We want to see positive operating profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term
positive net profits average for last 3 years
insight: ['13834000000.0 is greater than equal to 0']
mental_model: We want to see positive net profits for last 3 years, GAAP net Profits determine Stock prices in the long term
Business Performance beta
Score0.0 / 10.0
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, its all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better! Note: Free for Limited Time
Operating Leverage cagr for last 9 years
insight: ['Ratio is [-0.46] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: -1.28, value_2: 2.77']
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1. Showing INCOME_SUMMARY report for WMT [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 91.94 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker
Entry
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
WMT
revenue
648.12B
611.29B
572.75B
559.15B
523.96B
514.40B
500.34B
485.87B
482.13B
485.65B
476.29B
469.16B
446.95B
421.85B
WMT
netincome
16.27B
11.29B
13.94B
13.71B
15.20B
7.18B
10.52B
14.29B
15.08B
17.10B
16.70B
17.76B
16.39B
16.99B
WMT
operatingincome
27.01B
20.43B
25.94B
22.55B
20.57B
21.96B
20.44B
22.76B
24.11B
27.15B
26.87B
27.80B
26.56B
25.54B
WMT
grossincome
157.98B
147.57B
143.75B
138.84B
129.36B
129.10B
126.95B
124.62B
121.15B
120.56B
118.22B
116.67B
111.82B
106.90B
WMT
shares
8.11B
8.20B
8.41B
2.83B
2.85B
2.93B
3.00B
3.10B
3.21B
3.24B
3.28B
3.39B
3.47B
3.67B
WMT
shares_calc
8.11B
8.11B
8.12B
8.35B
8.52B
8.54B
8.75B
8.89B
9.26B
9.64B
9.89B
10.21B
10.46B
11.05B
WMT
margin_gross
24.38%
24.14%
25.10%
24.83%
24.69%
25.10%
25.37%
25.65%
25.13%
24.83%
24.82%
24.87%
25.02%
25.34%
WMT
margin_op
4.17%
3.34%
4.53%
4.03%
3.93%
4.27%
4.08%
4.69%
5.00%
5.59%
5.64%
5.93%
5.94%
6.05%
WMT
margin_net
2.51%
1.85%
2.43%
2.45%
2.90%
1.40%
2.10%
2.94%
3.13%
3.52%
3.51%
3.78%
3.67%
4.03%
WMT
costs:sgna
130.97B
127.14B
117.81B
116.29B
108.79B
107.15B
106.51B
101.85B
97.04B
93.42B
91.35B
88.87B
85.27B
81.36B
General notes: Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
2. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for WMT [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 91.94 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker
Entry
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
WMT
revenue
79.94
75.39
70.52
66.93
61.49
60.20
57.18
54.67
52.09
50.36
48.17
45.97
42.72
38.17
WMT
netincome
2.01
1.39
1.72
1.64
1.78
0.84
1.20
1.61
1.63
1.77
1.69
1.74
1.57
1.54
WMT
operatingincome
3.33
2.52
3.19
2.70
2.41
2.57
2.34
2.56
2.60
2.82
2.72
2.72
2.54
2.31
WMT
grossincome
19.48
18.20
17.70
16.62
15.18
15.11
14.51
14.02
13.09
12.50
11.96
11.43
10.69
9.67
WMT
shares
1.00
1.01
1.04
0.34
0.33
0.34
0.34
0.35
0.35
0.34
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
WMT
shares_calc
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
WMT
costs:sgna
16.15
15.68
14.51
13.92
12.77
12.54
12.17
11.46
10.48
9.69
9.24
8.71
8.15
7.36
General notes: Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
3. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for WMT [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 91.94 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker
Entry
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
WMT
revenue
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
WMT
netincome
2.51%
1.85%
2.43%
2.45%
2.90%
1.40%
2.10%
2.94%
3.13%
3.52%
3.51%
3.78%
3.67%
4.03%
WMT
operatingincome
4.17%
3.34%
4.53%
4.03%
3.93%
4.27%
4.08%
4.69%
5.00%
5.59%
5.64%
5.93%
5.94%
6.05%
WMT
grossincome
24.38%
24.14%
25.10%
24.83%
24.69%
25.10%
25.37%
25.65%
25.13%
24.83%
24.82%
24.87%
25.02%
25.34%
WMT
shares
1.25%
1.34%
1.47%
0.51%
0.54%
0.57%
0.60%
0.64%
0.67%
0.67%
0.69%
0.72%
0.78%
0.87%
WMT
shares_calc
1.25%
1.33%
1.42%
1.49%
1.63%
1.66%
1.75%
1.83%
1.92%
1.99%
2.08%
2.18%
2.34%
2.62%
WMT
costs:sgna
20.21%
20.80%
20.57%
20.80%
20.76%
20.83%
21.29%
20.96%
20.13%
19.24%
19.18%
18.94%
19.08%
19.29%
General notes: Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
1. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for WMT [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 91.94 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker
Entry
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
WMT
revenue
79.94
75.39
70.52
66.93
61.49
60.20
57.18
54.67
52.09
50.36
48.17
45.97
42.72
38.17
WMT
netincome
2.01
1.39
1.72
1.64
1.78
0.84
1.20
1.61
1.63
1.77
1.69
1.74
1.57
1.54
WMT
operatingincome
3.33
2.52
3.19
2.70
2.41
2.57
2.34
2.56
2.60
2.82
2.72
2.72
2.54
2.31
WMT
grossincome
19.48
18.20
17.70
16.62
15.18
15.11
14.51
14.02
13.09
12.50
11.96
11.43
10.69
9.67
WMT
shares
1.00
1.01
1.04
0.34
0.33
0.34
0.34
0.35
0.35
0.34
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
WMT
shares_calc
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
WMT
costs:sgna
16.15
15.68
14.51
13.92
12.77
12.54
12.17
11.46
10.48
9.69
9.24
8.71
8.15
7.36
General notes: Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
1. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for WMT [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 91.94 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker
Entry
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
WMT
revenue
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
WMT
netincome
2.51%
1.85%
2.43%
2.45%
2.90%
1.40%
2.10%
2.94%
3.13%
3.52%
3.51%
3.78%
3.67%
4.03%
WMT
operatingincome
4.17%
3.34%
4.53%
4.03%
3.93%
4.27%
4.08%
4.69%
5.00%
5.59%
5.64%
5.93%
5.94%
6.05%
WMT
grossincome
24.38%
24.14%
25.10%
24.83%
24.69%
25.10%
25.37%
25.65%
25.13%
24.83%
24.82%
24.87%
25.02%
25.34%
WMT
shares
1.25%
1.34%
1.47%
0.51%
0.54%
0.57%
0.60%
0.64%
0.67%
0.67%
0.69%
0.72%
0.78%
0.87%
WMT
shares_calc
1.25%
1.33%
1.42%
1.49%
1.63%
1.66%
1.75%
1.83%
1.92%
1.99%
2.08%
2.18%
2.34%
2.62%
WMT
costs:sgna
20.21%
20.80%
20.57%
20.80%
20.76%
20.83%
21.29%
20.96%
20.13%
19.24%
19.18%
18.94%
19.08%
19.29%
General notes: Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
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