WMT is OVERVALUED SecDiverAI
Median Fair Price 45.78
Confidence: MEDIUM
Fair Price Range 18.31 - 50.69
1 Year Price target: $ 45.62 - $ 51.06
3 Year Price target: $ 45.3 - $ 63.51
Current Market Price: 91.94 as of 2025-01-20
Investment Value of 100 $ invested in WMT as compared to Market Index: SPY across historical periods[*does not include dividends]
Investment Period $ Value Today(WMT) $ Value Today(SPY) CAGR vs Market
9 years before $ 536.45 $ 208.39 20.52% vs SPY:8.5%
5 years before $ 250.08 $ 150.37 20.12% vs SPY:8.5%
3 years before $ 198.75 $ 127.73 25.73% vs SPY:8.5%
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We have 4 report results for ticker: WMT - Walmart Inc., also organized by 4 group tags below ... Bargain Finder: Related Companies Portfolio Health: Related Companies

Business Checklist for WMT from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time

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Red Flags Identified


7

Total Checks Done


29

Wall Street Drivers beta

📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score 6.0 / 10.0

  • revenue cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['2.77 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which grow >= 5% YoY, better than GDP growth of >= 2-3%
  • cashflows cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['1.44 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate cashflows >= 5% YoY, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
  • shares outstanding cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['-2.2 is less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful
  • debt cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['-1.59 is less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business with lower debt growth
  • equity cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['0.73 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business having shareholder equity growth >= 5% YoY
  • leverage average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['3.27 is less than equal to 5', '3.27 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business which can pay their debts in less than 5 years, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
  • roe_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['33.89 is greater than equal to 10']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on equity >= 10%
  • roce_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['14.47 is greater than equal to 15']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on capital >= 15%
  • roic_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['28.44 is greater than equal to 15']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on invested capital >= 15%

Business Durability beta

🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score 7.0 / 10.0

  • margin cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.05 wrt mean ratio: 0.053']
  • cash average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 11084000000.0 wrt mean ratio: 9531060606.063']
  • mental_model: We want stability on cash growth
  • roa_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 12.02 wrt mean ratio: 13.232']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on assets
  • roe_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 33.89 wrt mean ratio: 34.353']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on equity
  • roce_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 14.47 wrt mean ratio: 14.455']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on capital employed
  • roic_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 28.44 wrt mean ratio: 19.629']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on invested capital

Business Trends last 3 years beta

Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • receivables running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 0.01 wrt mean ratio: 0.01']
  • mental_model: receivables should always grow less with revenues otherwise there might be some payment/collection issues, Watch out
  • inventory running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 0.09 wrt mean ratio: 0.089']
  • mental_model: inventory should always grow in relation with revenues, Inventory build can be positive depending on the industry cycle, but mostly it could be a CON as working capital is tied up, Be Careful
  • payables running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 0.09 wrt mean ratio: 0.086']
  • mental_model: the more this is the better, nothing bad about it.
  • cash running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 0.02 wrt mean ratio: 0.02']
  • mental_model: cash trend should be similar or greater to revenue, if company is heavily reinvesting it might be OK, but do check

Profits Matter beta

💰 Companies needs to have positive profits to reward its shareholders in the long term
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • positive cashflows profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['29582666666.67 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive cashflows profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term

Capital Allocation beta

🧠 Remember: Shareholders only gets rewarded if management does prudent capital allocation decisions
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • cashToRevenue running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 0.02 wrt mean ratio: 0.02']
  • cashToEquity running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.13 wrt mean ratio: 0.115']

Business Performance beta

Score 8.0 / 10.0

  • Operating Leverage Cashflow cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [0.52] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 1.44, value_2: 2.77']
  • debt cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [-0.57] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 1, value_1: -1.59, value_2: 2.77']
  • cash cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [4.63] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 3.38, value_2: 0.73']
  • debt-equity-cagr cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [-2.18] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 1, value_1: -1.59, value_2: 0.73']
  • mental_model: We want debt to grow less than equity

Balance Sheet Quality beta

📈 Quality companies can withstand darkest hours, strong balance sheet is the key
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • debtToCashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 3.27 wrt mean ratio: 4.015']
  • debtToEquity running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 1.09 wrt mean ratio: 1.347']
  • leverage average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['3.27 is less than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business which can pay their debts in less than 5 years

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We do NOT feel in CONTROL in the markets. Do we know why?

1. Showing BALANCE_SUMMARY report for WMT [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 91.94 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011
WMT StockMarketPrice 52.00 46.06 46.26 45.39 36.77 28.22 29.23 19.91 17.14 23.42 20.93 17.72 15.14
WMT revenue 648.12B 611.29B 572.75B 559.15B 523.96B 514.40B 500.34B 485.87B 482.13B 485.65B 476.29B 469.16B 446.95B 421.85B
WMT assets 252.40B 243.20B 244.86B 252.50B 236.50B 219.29B 204.52B 198.82B 199.58B 203.71B 204.75B 203.10B 193.41B 0.0
WMT cash 9.87B 8.62B 14.76B 17.74B 9.46B 7.72B 6.76B 6.87B 8.71B 9.13B 7.28B 7.78B 6.55B 0.0
WMT cashflow::operating 35.73B 28.84B 24.18B 36.07B 25.25B 27.75B 28.34B 31.67B 27.55B 28.56B 23.26B 25.59B 24.25B 23.64B
WMT equity 90.35B 83.75B 91.89B 87.53B 81.55B 79.63B 80.82B 80.53B 83.61B 85.94B 81.34B 81.74B 75.76B 0.0
WMT debt 61.32B 115.81B 112.65B 124.53B 142.56B 115.73B 105.37B 103.41B 111.14B 108.09B 110.19B 104.92B 103.52B 0.0
WMT shares 8.11B 8.20B 8.41B 2.83B 2.85B 2.93B 3.00B 3.10B 3.21B 3.24B 3.28B 3.39B 3.47B 3.67B
WMT shares_calc 8.11B 8.11B 8.12B 8.35B 8.52B 8.54B 8.75B 8.89B 9.26B 9.64B 9.89B 10.21B 10.46B 11.05B
WMT inventory 54.89B 56.58B 56.51B 44.95B 44.44B 44.27B 43.78B 43.05B 44.47B 45.14B 44.86B 43.80B 40.71B 0.0
WMT payables 56.81B 53.74B 55.26B 49.14B 46.97B 47.06B 46.09B 41.43B 38.49B 38.41B 37.41B 38.08B 36.61B 0.0
WMT receivables 8.80B 7.93B 8.28B 6.52B 6.28B 6.28B 5.61B 5.83B 5.62B 6.78B 6.68B 6.77B 5.94B 0.0
WMT roa_cfo 14.69% 11.78% 9.58% 15.25% 11.52% 13.57% 14.25% 15.87% 13.53% 13.95% 11.45% 13.23% 0.0 0.0
WMT roe_cfo 42.66% 31.39% 27.63% 44.23% 31.71% 34.34% 35.19% 37.88% 32.06% 35.12% 28.45% 33.78% 0.0 0.0
WMT roce_cfo 17.90% 14.10% 11.40% 16.10% 12.93% 14.91% 15.40% 16.26% 14.20% 14.91% 12.46% 14.27% 0.0 0.0
WMT roic_cfo 32.03% 27.72% 25.58% 33.11% 23.43% 14.73% 15.16% 16.80% 14.43% 15.26% 13.04% 15.51% 14.70% inf
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

2. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for WMT [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 91.94 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011
WMT StockMarketPrice
WMT revenue 79.94 75.39 70.52 66.93 61.49 60.20 57.18 54.67 52.09 50.36 48.17 45.97 42.72 38.17
WMT assets 31.13 29.99 30.15 30.22 27.76 25.66 23.38 22.37 21.56 21.12 20.71 19.90 18.49 0.0
WMT cash 1.22 1.06 1.82 2.12 1.11 0.90 0.77 0.77 0.94 0.95 0.74 0.76 0.63 0.0
WMT cashflow::operating 4.41 3.56 2.98 4.32 2.96 3.25 3.24 3.56 2.98 2.96 2.35 2.51 2.32 2.14
WMT equity 11.14 10.33 11.31 10.48 9.57 9.32 9.24 9.06 9.03 8.91 8.23 8.01 7.24 0.0
WMT debt 7.56 14.28 13.87 14.91 16.73 13.54 12.04 11.64 12.01 11.21 11.14 10.28 9.89 0.0
WMT shares 1.00 1.01 1.04 0.34 0.33 0.34 0.34 0.35 0.35 0.34 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33
WMT shares_calc 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
WMT inventory 6.77 6.98 6.96 5.38 5.21 5.18 5.00 4.84 4.80 4.68 4.54 4.29 3.89 0.0
WMT payables 7.01 6.63 6.80 5.88 5.51 5.51 5.27 4.66 4.16 3.98 3.78 3.73 3.50 0.0
WMT receivables 1.08 0.98 1.02 0.78 0.74 0.74 0.64 0.66 0.61 0.70 0.68 0.66 0.57 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

3. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for WMT [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 91.94 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011
WMT StockMarketPrice
WMT revenue 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
WMT assets 38.94% 39.78% 42.75% 45.16% 45.14% 42.63% 40.88% 40.92% 41.40% 41.94% 42.99% 43.29% 43.27% 0.0
WMT cash 1.52% 1.41% 2.58% 3.17% 1.81% 1.50% 1.35% 1.41% 1.81% 1.88% 1.53% 1.66% 1.47% 0.0
WMT cashflow::operating 5.51% 4.72% 4.22% 6.45% 4.82% 5.40% 5.66% 6.52% 5.71% 5.88% 4.88% 5.45% 5.43% 5.60%
WMT equity 13.94% 13.70% 16.04% 15.65% 15.56% 15.48% 16.15% 16.58% 17.34% 17.70% 17.08% 17.42% 16.95% 0.0
WMT debt 9.46% 18.94% 19.67% 22.27% 27.21% 22.50% 21.06% 21.28% 23.05% 22.26% 23.13% 22.36% 23.16% 0.0
WMT shares 1.25% 1.34% 1.47% 0.51% 0.54% 0.57% 0.60% 0.64% 0.67% 0.67% 0.69% 0.72% 0.78% 0.87%
WMT shares_calc 1.25% 1.33% 1.42% 1.49% 1.63% 1.66% 1.75% 1.83% 1.92% 1.99% 2.08% 2.18% 2.34% 2.62%
WMT inventory 8.47% 9.26% 9.87% 8.04% 8.48% 8.61% 8.75% 8.86% 9.22% 9.29% 9.42% 9.34% 9.11% 0.0
WMT payables 8.77% 8.79% 9.65% 8.79% 8.96% 9.15% 9.21% 8.53% 7.98% 7.91% 7.86% 8.12% 8.19% 0.0
WMT receivables 1.36% 1.30% 1.45% 1.17% 1.20% 1.22% 1.12% 1.20% 1.17% 1.40% 1.40% 1.44% 1.33% 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

4. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to assets for WMT [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 91.94 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012
WMT StockMarketPrice
WMT revenue 256.79% 251.36% 233.91% 221.45% 221.55% 234.57% 244.64% 244.37% 241.57% 238.41% 232.62% 230.99% 231.09%
WMT assets 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
WMT cash 3.91% 3.55% 6.03% 7.03% 4.00% 3.52% 3.30% 3.45% 4.36% 4.48% 3.56% 3.83% 3.39%
WMT cashflow::operating 14.15% 11.86% 9.88% 14.29% 10.68% 12.66% 13.86% 15.93% 13.80% 14.02% 11.36% 12.60% 12.54%
WMT equity 35.80% 34.44% 37.53% 34.67% 34.48% 36.31% 39.52% 40.51% 41.89% 42.19% 39.73% 40.24% 39.17%
WMT debt 24.30% 47.62% 46.01% 49.32% 60.28% 52.77% 51.52% 52.01% 55.69% 53.06% 53.81% 51.66% 53.52%
WMT shares 3.21% 3.37% 3.44% 1.12% 1.21% 1.34% 1.46% 1.56% 1.61% 1.59% 1.60% 1.67% 1.80%
WMT shares_calc 3.21% 3.33% 3.32% 3.31% 3.60% 3.90% 4.28% 4.47% 4.64% 4.73% 4.83% 5.03% 5.41%
WMT inventory 21.75% 23.26% 23.08% 17.80% 18.79% 20.19% 21.41% 21.65% 22.28% 22.16% 21.91% 21.57% 21.05%
WMT payables 22.51% 22.10% 22.57% 19.46% 19.86% 21.46% 22.54% 20.84% 19.28% 18.86% 18.27% 18.75% 18.93%
WMT receivables 3.48% 3.26% 3.38% 2.58% 2.66% 2.87% 2.74% 2.93% 2.82% 3.33% 3.26% 3.33% 3.07%
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)


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