WMT is OVERVALUED SecDiverAI
Median Fair Price 45.78
Confidence: MEDIUM

Fair Price Range 18.31 - 50.69
1 Year Price target: $ 45.62 - $ 51.06
3 Year Price target: $ 45.3 - $ 63.51

Current Market Price: 91.94 as of 2025-01-20
Investment Value of 100 $ invested in WMT as compared to Market Index: SPY across historical periods[*does not include dividends]
Investment Period $ Value Today(WMT) $ Value Today(SPY) CAGR vs Market
9 years before $ 536.45 $ 208.39 20.52% vs SPY:8.5%
5 years before $ 250.08 $ 150.37 20.12% vs SPY:8.5%
3 years before $ 198.75 $ 127.73 25.73% vs SPY:8.5%


We have 3 report results for ticker: WMT - Walmart Inc., also organized by 3 group tags below ... Bargain Finder: Related Companies Portfolio Health: Related Companies

Business Checklist for WMT from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time

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Red Flags Identified


6

Total Checks Done


11

Wall Street Drivers beta

📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score 3.0 / 10.0

  • revenue cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['2.77 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which grow >= 5% YoY, better than GDP growth of >= 2-3%
  • cashflows cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['1.44 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate cashflows >= 5% YoY, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
  • shares outstanding cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['-2.2 is less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful

Business Durability beta

🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score 0.0 / 10.0

  • margin cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.05 wrt mean ratio: 0.053']

Business Trends last 3 years beta

Score 0.0 / 10.0

  • capex running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.03 wrt mean ratio: 0.024']

Profits Matter beta

💰 Companies needs to have positive profits to reward its shareholders in the long term
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • positive cashflows profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['29582666666.67 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive cashflows profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term

Capital Allocation beta

🧠 Remember: Shareholders only gets rewarded if management does prudent capital allocation decisions
Score 8.0 / 10.0

  • capex to Cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.57 wrt mean ratio: 0.44']
  • depreciation to capex running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.66 wrt mean ratio: 0.836']
  • mental_model: Helps understand where the company is investing for the future, OR it has to replenish its assets to maintain business
  • dividend distribution to Cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: -0.21 wrt mean ratio: -0.215']
  • shares_buyback distribution of Cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: -0.25 wrt mean ratio: -0.236']

Business Performance beta

Score 0.0 / 10.0

  • Operating Leverage Cashflow cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [0.52] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 1.44, value_2: 2.77']

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1. Showing CASHFLOW_SUMMARY report for WMT [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 91.94 as of 2025-01-20

T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011
WMT revenue 648.12B 611.29B 572.75B 559.15B 523.96B 514.40B 500.34B 485.87B 482.13B 485.65B 476.29B 469.16B 446.95B 421.85B
WMT cashflow::operating 35.73B 28.84B 24.18B 36.07B 25.25B 27.75B 28.34B 31.67B 27.55B 28.56B 23.26B 25.59B 24.25B 23.64B
WMT shares 8.11B 8.20B 8.41B 2.83B 2.85B 2.93B 3.00B 3.10B 3.21B 3.24B 3.28B 3.39B 3.47B 3.67B
WMT shares_calc 8.11B 8.11B 8.12B 8.35B 8.52B 8.54B 8.75B 8.89B 9.26B 9.64B 9.89B 10.21B 10.46B 11.05B
WMT capex 20.61B 16.86B 13.11B 10.26B 10.71B 10.34B 10.05B 10.62B 11.48B 12.17B 13.12B 12.90B 13.51B 12.70B
WMT depreciation 11.85B 10.95B 10.66B 11.15B 10.99B 10.68B 10.53B 10.08B 9.45B 9.17B 8.87B 8.50B 8.13B 7.64B
WMT margin_cfo 5.51% 4.72% 4.22% 6.45% 4.82% 5.40% 5.66% 6.52% 5.71% 5.88% 4.88% 5.45% 5.43% 5.60%
WMT shares_buyback -2.78B -9.92B -9.79B -2.62B -5.72B -7.41B -8.30B -8.30B -4.11B -1.01B -6.68B -7.60B -6.30B -14.78B
WMT dividends -6.14B -6.11B -6.15B -6.12B -6.05B -6.10B -6.12B -6.22B -6.29B -6.18B -6.14B -5.36B -5.05B -4.44B
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)


2. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for WMT [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 91.94 as of 2025-01-20

T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011
WMT revenue 79.94 75.39 70.52 66.93 61.49 60.20 57.18 54.67 52.09 50.36 48.17 45.97 42.72 38.17
WMT cashflow::operating 4.41 3.56 2.98 4.32 2.96 3.25 3.24 3.56 2.98 2.96 2.35 2.51 2.32 2.14
WMT shares 1.00 1.01 1.04 0.34 0.33 0.34 0.34 0.35 0.35 0.34 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33
WMT shares_calc 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
WMT capex 2.54 2.08 1.61 1.23 1.26 1.21 1.15 1.19 1.24 1.26 1.33 1.26 1.29 1.15
WMT depreciation 1.46 1.35 1.31 1.33 1.29 1.25 1.20 1.13 1.02 0.95 0.90 0.83 0.78 0.69
WMT shares_buyback -0.34 -1.22 -1.21 -0.31 -0.67 -0.87 -0.95 -0.93 -0.44 -0.11 -0.68 -0.74 -0.60 -1.34
WMT dividends -0.76 -0.75 -0.76 -0.73 -0.71 -0.71 -0.70 -0.70 -0.68 -0.64 -0.62 -0.53 -0.48 -0.40
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)


3. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for WMT [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 91.94 as of 2025-01-20

T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011
WMT revenue 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
WMT cashflow::operating 5.51% 4.72% 4.22% 6.45% 4.82% 5.40% 5.66% 6.52% 5.71% 5.88% 4.88% 5.45% 5.43% 5.60%
WMT shares 1.25% 1.34% 1.47% 0.51% 0.54% 0.57% 0.60% 0.64% 0.67% 0.67% 0.69% 0.72% 0.78% 0.87%
WMT shares_calc 1.25% 1.33% 1.42% 1.49% 1.63% 1.66% 1.75% 1.83% 1.92% 1.99% 2.08% 2.18% 2.34% 2.62%
WMT capex 3.18% 2.76% 2.29% 1.84% 2.04% 2.01% 2.01% 2.19% 2.38% 2.51% 2.75% 2.75% 3.02% 3.01%
WMT depreciation 1.83% 1.79% 1.86% 1.99% 2.10% 2.08% 2.10% 2.07% 1.96% 1.89% 1.86% 1.81% 1.82% 1.81%
WMT shares_buyback -0.43% -1.62% -1.71% -0.47% -1.09% -1.44% -1.66% -1.71% -0.85% -0.21% -1.40% -1.62% -1.41% -3.50%
WMT dividends -0.95% -1.00% -1.07% -1.09% -1.15% -1.19% -1.22% -1.28% -1.31% -1.27% -1.29% -1.14% -1.13% -1.05%
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)



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