TXN is OVERVALUED SecDiverAI
Median Fair Price 91.31
Confidence: MEDIUM
Fair Price Range 68.29 - 183.16
1 Year Price target: $ 77.18 - $ 99.54
3 Year Price target: $ 55.15 - $ 118.28
Current Market Price: 192.42 as of 2025-01-20
Investment Value of 100 $ invested in TXN as compared to Market Index: SPY across historical periods[*does not include dividends]
Investment Period $ Value Today(TXN) $ Value Today(SPY) CAGR vs Market
9 years before $ 458.31 $ 208.39 18.43% vs SPY:8.5%
5 years before $ 233.96 $ 150.37 18.53% vs SPY:8.5%
3 years before $ 127.27 $ 127.73 8.37% vs SPY:8.5%
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We have 3 report results for ticker: TXN - Texas Instruments Incorporated, also organized by 3 group tags below ... Bargain Finder: Related Companies Portfolio Health: Related Companies

Business Checklist for TXN from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time

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Red Flags Identified


1

Total Checks Done


10

Wall Street Drivers beta

📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score 8.0 / 10.0

  • revenue cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['4.35 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which grow >= 5% YoY, better than GDP growth of >= 2-3%
  • operating profits cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['13.55 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate operating profits >= 5% YoY
  • shares outstanding cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['-2.13 is less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful
  • net profits cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['14.83 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate net profits >= 5% YoY

Business Durability beta

🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • margin operating running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.47 wrt mean ratio: 0.354']
  • margin net running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.41 wrt mean ratio: 0.284']

Business Trends last 3 years beta

Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • research & development running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.09 wrt mean ratio: 0.106']
  • mental_model: Rnd is good specially when company is increasing moat but be careful with the spend, typically RND spend shows up 2-3 years, Read Annual statements to understand why this RND is increasing

Profits Matter beta

💰 Companies needs to have positive profits to reward its shareholders in the long term
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • positive operating profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['8810333333.33 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive operating profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term
  • positive net profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['7676000000.0 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive net profits for last 3 years, GAAP net Profits determine Stock prices in the long term

Business Performance beta

Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • Operating Leverage cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [3.11] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 13.55, value_2: 4.35']

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1. Showing INCOME_SUMMARY report for TXN [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 192.42 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
TXN revenue 17.52B 20.03B 18.34B 14.46B 14.38B 15.78B 14.96B 13.37B 13.00B 13.04B 12.21B 12.82B 13.73B 13.97B
TXN netincome 6.51B 8.75B 7.77B 5.59B 5.02B 5.58B 3.68B 3.60B 2.99B 2.82B 2.16B 1.76B 2.24B 3.23B
TXN operatingincome 7.33B 10.14B 8.96B 5.89B 5.72B 6.71B 6.08B 4.86B 4.32B 3.95B 2.83B 1.97B 2.99B 4.51B
TXN grossincome 11.02B 13.77B 12.38B 9.27B 9.16B 10.28B 9.61B 8.26B 7.58B 7.43B 6.36B 6.37B 6.77B 7.49B
TXN interest_expense 0.35B 0.21B 0.18B 0.19B 0.17B 0.12B 0.08B 0.08B 0.09B 0.09B 0.10B 0.09B 0.04B 0.0
TXN shares 0.92B 0.93B 0.94B 0.93B 0.95B 0.99B 1.01B 1.02B 1.04B 1.08B 1.11B 1.15B 1.17B 1.21B
TXN shares_calc 0.91B 0.92B 0.92B 0.92B 0.93B 0.96B 0.99B 1.00B 1.01B 1.08B 1.11B 1.15B 1.17B 1.21B
TXN margin_gross 62.90% 68.76% 67.47% 64.10% 63.71% 65.11% 64.26% 61.76% 58.27% 56.93% 52.14% 49.65% 49.30% 53.64%
TXN margin_op 41.85% 50.63% 48.84% 40.76% 39.79% 42.53% 40.66% 36.31% 33.25% 30.26% 23.20% 15.38% 21.78% 32.32%
TXN margin_net 37.16% 43.68% 42.35% 38.69% 34.88% 35.35% 24.61% 26.89% 22.97% 21.63% 17.71% 13.72% 16.28% 23.11%
TXN costs:rnd 1.86B 1.67B 1.55B 1.53B 1.54B 1.56B 1.51B 1.37B 1.28B 1.36B 1.52B 1.88B 1.72B 1.57B
TXN costs:restructuring 0.0 0.26B 0.05B 0.02B -0.04B 0.00B 0.01B -0.01B -0.07B -0.05B -0.19B 0.26B 0.11B -0.11B
TXN costs:sgna 1.82B 1.70B 1.67B 1.62B 1.65B 1.68B 1.69B 1.77B 1.75B 1.84B 1.86B 1.80B 1.64B 1.52B
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

2. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for TXN [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 192.42 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
TXN revenue 19.29 21.79 19.84 15.75 15.39 16.43 15.18 13.37 12.82 12.08 10.97 11.19 11.73 11.51
TXN netincome 7.17 9.52 8.40 6.10 5.37 5.81 3.74 3.60 2.94 2.61 1.94 1.53 1.91 2.66
TXN operatingincome 8.07 11.03 9.69 6.42 6.12 6.99 6.17 4.86 4.26 3.65 2.54 1.72 2.56 3.72
TXN grossincome 12.13 14.98 13.39 10.10 9.80 10.70 9.75 8.26 7.47 6.88 5.72 5.56 5.78 6.18
TXN interest_expense 0.39 0.23 0.20 0.21 0.18 0.13 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.07 0.04 0.0
TXN shares 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.02 1.02 1.03 1.03 1.02 1.03 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
TXN shares_calc 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
TXN costs:rnd 2.05 1.82 1.68 1.67 1.65 1.62 1.53 1.37 1.26 1.26 1.37 1.64 1.46 1.29
TXN costs:restructuring 0.0 0.28 0.06 0.03 -0.04 0.0 0.01 -0.02 -0.07 -0.05 -0.17 0.23 0.10 -0.09
TXN costs:sgna 2.01 1.85 1.80 1.77 1.76 1.75 1.72 1.77 1.72 1.71 1.67 1.57 1.40 1.25
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

3. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for TXN [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 192.42 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
TXN revenue 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
TXN netincome 37.16% 43.68% 42.35% 38.69% 34.88% 35.35% 24.61% 26.89% 22.97% 21.63% 17.71% 13.72% 16.28% 23.11%
TXN operatingincome 41.85% 50.63% 48.84% 40.76% 39.79% 42.53% 40.66% 36.31% 33.25% 30.26% 23.20% 15.38% 21.78% 32.32%
TXN grossincome 62.90% 68.76% 67.47% 64.10% 63.71% 65.11% 64.26% 61.76% 58.27% 56.93% 52.14% 49.65% 49.30% 53.64%
TXN interest_expense 2.01% 1.07% 1.00% 1.31% 1.18% 0.79% 0.52% 0.60% 0.69% 0.72% 0.78% 0.66% 0.31% 0.0
TXN shares 5.23% 4.62% 5.10% 6.45% 6.62% 6.27% 6.76% 7.64% 8.02% 8.28% 9.12% 8.94% 8.53% 8.69%
TXN shares_calc 5.18% 4.59% 5.04% 6.35% 6.50% 6.09% 6.59% 7.48% 7.80% 8.28% 9.12% 8.94% 8.53% 8.69%
TXN costs:rnd 10.63% 8.34% 8.47% 10.58% 10.73% 9.88% 10.08% 10.25% 9.85% 10.41% 12.47% 14.64% 12.49% 11.24%
TXN costs:restructuring 0.0 1.28% 0.29% 0.17% -0.25% 0.02% 0.07% -0.11% -0.55% -0.39% -1.55% 2.06% 0.82% -0.79%
TXN costs:sgna 10.42% 8.51% 9.08% 11.22% 11.44% 10.67% 11.32% 13.22% 13.45% 14.13% 15.22% 14.07% 11.93% 10.88%
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)


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