AMZN is FAIRLYVALUED SecDiverAI
Median Fair Price 226.81
Confidence: HIGH
Fair Price Range 164.58 - 242.48
1 Year Price target: $ 253.3 - $ 305.56
3 Year Price target: $ 315.93 - $ 554.57
Current Market Price: 225.94 as of 2025-01-20
Investment Value of 100 $ invested in AMZN as compared to Market Index: SPY across historical periods[*does not include dividends]
Investment Period $ Value Today(AMZN) $ Value Today(SPY) CAGR vs Market
9 years before $ 1455.95 $ 208.39 34.66% vs SPY:8.5%
5 years before $ 300.81 $ 150.37 24.64% vs SPY:8.5%
3 years before $ 138.73 $ 127.73 11.53% vs SPY:8.5%
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We have 3 report results for ticker: AMZN - Amazon.com, Inc., also organized by 3 group tags below ... Bargain Finder: Related Companies Portfolio Health: Related Companies

Business Checklist for AMZN from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time

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Red Flags Identified


2

Total Checks Done


11

Wall Street Drivers beta

📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • revenue cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['24.14 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which grow >= 5% YoY, better than GDP growth of >= 2-3%
  • operating profits cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['58.09 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate operating profits >= 5% YoY
  • shares outstanding cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['1.2 is less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful
  • net profits cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['58.45 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate net profits >= 5% YoY

Business Durability beta

🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • margin operating running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.06 wrt mean ratio: 0.039']
  • margin net running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.04 wrt mean ratio: 0.028']

Business Trends last 3 years beta

Score 0.0 / 10.0

  • sales and marketing running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.08 wrt mean ratio: 0.058']
  • mental_model: Sales are marketing increases specially if its a Sales led growth Be Careful, With time you want Organic Growth and Customer Retention
  • research & development running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.14 wrt mean ratio: 0.118']
  • mental_model: Rnd is good specially when company is increasing moat but be careful with the spend, typically RND spend shows up 2-3 years, Read Annual statements to understand why this RND is increasing

Profits Matter beta

💰 Companies needs to have positive profits to reward its shareholders in the long term
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • positive operating profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['29318666666.67 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive operating profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term
  • positive net profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['20355666666.67 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive net profits for last 3 years, GAAP net Profits determine Stock prices in the long term

Business Performance beta

Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • Operating Leverage cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [2.41] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 58.09, value_2: 24.14']

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1. Showing INCOME_SUMMARY report for AMZN [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 225.94 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012
AMZN revenue 574.78B 513.98B 469.82B 386.06B 280.52B 232.89B 177.87B 135.99B 107.01B 88.99B 74.45B 61.09B
AMZN netincome 30.43B -2.72B 33.36B 21.33B 11.59B 10.07B 3.03B 2.37B 0.60B -0.24B 0.27B -0.04B
AMZN operatingincome 37.56B 12.25B 38.15B 24.18B 14.54B 12.42B 4.11B 4.19B 2.23B 0.18B 0.74B 0.68B
AMZN grossincome 270.05B 225.15B 197.48B 152.76B 114.99B 93.73B 65.93B 47.72B 35.35B 26.24B 20.27B 15.12B
AMZN interest_expense 3.18B 2.37B 1.81B 1.65B 1.60B 1.42B 0.85B 0.48B 0.46B 0.21B 0.14B 0.09B
AMZN shares 10.49B 10.19B 10.30B 10.01B 0.49B 0.49B 0.48B 0.47B 0.47B 0.46B 0.46B 0.45B
AMZN shares_calc 10.33B 10.20B 10.20B 10.09B 9.97B 9.84B 9.66B 9.56B 9.43B 9.29B 9.19B 9.11B
AMZN margin_gross 46.98% 43.81% 42.03% 39.57% 40.99% 40.25% 37.07% 35.09% 33.04% 29.48% 27.23% 24.75%
AMZN margin_op 6.53% 2.38% 8.12% 6.26% 5.18% 5.33% 2.31% 3.08% 2.09% 0.20% 1.00% 1.11%
AMZN margin_net 5.29% -0.53% 7.10% 5.53% 4.13% 4.33% 1.71% 1.74% 0.56% -0.27% 0.37% -0.06%
AMZN costs:ga 11.82B 11.89B 8.82B 6.67B 5.20B 4.34B 3.67B 2.43B 1.75B 1.55B 1.13B 0.90B
AMZN costs:rnd 85.62B 73.21B 56.05B 42.74B 35.93B 28.84B 22.62B 16.09B 12.54B 9.28B 6.57B 4.56B
AMZN costs:sm 44.37B 42.24B 32.55B 22.01B 18.88B 13.81B 10.07B 7.23B 5.25B 4.33B 3.13B 2.41B
AMZN costs:fulfillment 90.62B 84.30B 75.11B 58.52B 40.23B 34.03B 25.25B 17.62B 13.41B 10.77B 8.59B 6.42B
AMZN costs:sgna 11.82B 11.89B 8.82B 6.67B 5.20B 4.34B 3.67B 2.43B 1.75B 1.55B 1.13B 0.90B
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

2. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for AMZN [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 225.94 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012
AMZN revenue 55.62 50.38 46.05 38.25 28.13 23.68 18.41 14.23 11.35 9.58 8.10 6.70
AMZN netincome 2.94 -0.27 3.27 2.11 1.16 1.02 0.31 0.25 0.06 -0.03 0.03 0.0
AMZN operatingincome 3.63 1.20 3.74 2.40 1.46 1.26 0.42 0.44 0.24 0.02 0.08 0.07
AMZN grossincome 26.13 22.07 19.36 15.13 11.53 9.53 6.82 4.99 3.75 2.82 2.21 1.66
AMZN interest_expense 0.31 0.23 0.18 0.16 0.16 0.14 0.09 0.05 0.05 0.02 0.02 0.01
AMZN shares 1.02 1.00 1.01 0.99 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05
AMZN shares_calc 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
AMZN costs:ga 1.14 1.17 0.86 0.66 0.52 0.44 0.38 0.25 0.19 0.17 0.12 0.10
AMZN costs:rnd 8.29 7.18 5.49 4.23 3.60 2.93 2.34 1.68 1.33 1.00 0.71 0.50
AMZN costs:sm 4.29 4.14 3.19 2.18 1.89 1.40 1.04 0.76 0.56 0.47 0.34 0.26
AMZN costs:fulfillment 8.77 8.26 7.36 5.80 4.03 3.46 2.61 1.84 1.42 1.16 0.93 0.70
AMZN costs:sgna 1.14 1.17 0.86 0.66 0.52 0.44 0.38 0.25 0.19 0.17 0.12 0.10
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

3. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for AMZN [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 225.94 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012
AMZN revenue 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
AMZN netincome 5.29% -0.53% 7.10% 5.53% 4.13% 4.33% 1.71% 1.74% 0.56% -0.27% 0.37% -0.06%
AMZN operatingincome 6.53% 2.38% 8.12% 6.26% 5.18% 5.33% 2.31% 3.08% 2.09% 0.20% 1.00% 1.11%
AMZN grossincome 46.98% 43.81% 42.03% 39.57% 40.99% 40.25% 37.07% 35.09% 33.04% 29.48% 27.23% 24.75%
AMZN interest_expense 0.55% 0.46% 0.39% 0.43% 0.57% 0.61% 0.48% 0.36% 0.43% 0.24% 0.19% 0.15%
AMZN shares 1.83% 1.98% 2.19% 2.59% 0.18% 0.21% 0.27% 0.35% 0.44% 0.52% 0.61% 0.74%
AMZN shares_calc 1.80% 1.98% 2.17% 2.61% 3.56% 4.22% 5.43% 7.03% 8.81% 10.44% 12.35% 14.92%
AMZN costs:ga 2.06% 2.31% 1.88% 1.73% 1.85% 1.86% 2.07% 1.79% 1.63% 1.74% 1.52% 1.47%
AMZN costs:rnd 14.90% 14.24% 11.93% 11.07% 12.81% 12.38% 12.72% 11.83% 11.72% 10.42% 8.82% 7.47%
AMZN costs:sm 7.72% 8.22% 6.93% 5.70% 6.73% 5.93% 5.66% 5.32% 4.91% 4.87% 4.21% 3.94%
AMZN costs:fulfillment 15.77% 16.40% 15.99% 15.16% 14.34% 14.61% 14.20% 12.96% 12.53% 12.10% 11.53% 10.51%
AMZN costs:sgna 2.06% 2.31% 1.88% 1.73% 1.85% 1.86% 2.07% 1.79% 1.63% 1.74% 1.52% 1.47%
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)


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