AMZN is FAIRLYVALUED SecDiverAI
Median Fair Price 226.81
Confidence: HIGH
Fair Price Range 164.58 - 242.48
1 Year Price target: $ 253.3 - $ 305.56
3 Year Price target: $ 315.93 - $ 554.57
Current Market Price: 225.94 as of 2025-01-20
Investment Value of 100 $ invested in AMZN as compared to Market Index: SPY across historical periods[*does not include dividends]
Investment Period $ Value Today(AMZN) $ Value Today(SPY) CAGR vs Market
9 years before $ 1455.95 $ 208.39 34.66% vs SPY:8.5%
5 years before $ 300.81 $ 150.37 24.64% vs SPY:8.5%
3 years before $ 138.73 $ 127.73 11.53% vs SPY:8.5%
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We have 3 report results for ticker: AMZN - Amazon.com, Inc., also organized by 3 group tags below ... Bargain Finder: Related Companies Portfolio Health: Related Companies

Business Checklist for AMZN from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time

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Red Flags Identified


4

Total Checks Done


11

Wall Street Drivers beta

📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • revenue cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['24.14 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which grow >= 5% YoY, better than GDP growth of >= 2-3%
  • cashflows cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['29.95 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate cashflows >= 5% YoY, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
  • shares outstanding cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['1.2 is less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful

Business Durability beta

🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • margin cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 0.11 wrt mean ratio: 0.114']

Business Trends last 3 years beta

Score 0.0 / 10.0

  • capex running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.11 wrt mean ratio: 0.074']

Profits Matter beta

💰 Companies needs to have positive profits to reward its shareholders in the long term
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • positive cashflows profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['59341666666.67 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive cashflows profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term

Capital Allocation beta

🧠 Remember: Shareholders only gets rewarded if management does prudent capital allocation decisions
Score 2.0 / 10.0

  • capex to Cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 1.0 wrt mean ratio: 0.65']
  • depreciation to capex running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.7 wrt mean ratio: 0.937']
  • mental_model: Helps understand where the company is investing for the future, OR it has to replenish its assets to maintain business
  • stock based compensation to Cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.32 wrt mean ratio: 0.209']
  • shares_buyback distribution of Cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: -0.03 wrt mean ratio: -0.349']

Business Performance beta

Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • Operating Leverage Cashflow cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [1.24] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 29.95, value_2: 24.14']

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1. Showing CASHFLOW_SUMMARY report for AMZN [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 225.94 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012
AMZN revenue 574.78B 513.98B 469.82B 386.06B 280.52B 232.89B 177.87B 135.99B 107.01B 88.99B 74.45B 61.09B
AMZN cashflow::operating 84.95B 46.75B 46.33B 66.06B 38.51B 30.72B 18.43B 17.27B 12.04B 6.84B 5.47B 4.18B
AMZN shares 10.49B 10.19B 10.30B 10.01B 0.49B 0.49B 0.48B 0.47B 0.47B 0.46B 0.46B 0.45B
AMZN shares_calc 10.33B 10.20B 10.20B 10.09B 9.97B 9.84B 9.66B 9.56B 9.43B 9.29B 9.19B 9.11B
AMZN sbc 24.02B 19.62B 12.76B 9.21B 6.86B 5.42B 4.21B 2.98B 2.12B 1.50B 1.13B 0.83B
AMZN capex 52.73B 63.65B 61.05B 40.14B 16.86B 13.43B 11.96B 6.74B 4.59B 4.89B 3.44B 3.79B
AMZN depreciation 48.66B 41.92B 34.43B 25.25B 21.79B 15.34B 11.48B 8.12B 6.28B 4.75B 3.25B 2.16B
AMZN margin_cfo 14.78% 9.10% 9.86% 17.11% 13.73% 13.19% 10.36% 12.70% 11.25% 7.69% 7.35% 6.84%
AMZN shares_buyback 0.0 -6.00B 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -6.00B -6.00B -6.00B -6.00B -0.96B
AMZN dividends inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

2. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for AMZN [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 225.94 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012
AMZN revenue 55.62 50.38 46.05 38.25 28.13 23.68 18.41 14.23 11.35 9.58 8.10 6.70
AMZN cashflow::operating 8.22 4.58 4.54 6.55 3.86 3.12 1.91 1.81 1.28 0.74 0.60 0.46
AMZN shares 1.02 1.00 1.01 0.99 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05
AMZN shares_calc 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
AMZN sbc 2.32 1.92 1.25 0.91 0.69 0.55 0.44 0.31 0.22 0.16 0.12 0.09
AMZN capex 5.10 6.24 5.98 3.98 1.69 1.37 1.24 0.70 0.49 0.53 0.37 0.42
AMZN depreciation 4.71 4.11 3.38 2.50 2.18 1.56 1.19 0.85 0.67 0.51 0.35 0.24
AMZN shares_buyback 0.0 -0.59 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.63 -0.64 -0.65 -0.65 -0.11
AMZN dividends 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

3. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for AMZN [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 225.94 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012
AMZN revenue 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
AMZN cashflow::operating 14.78% 9.10% 9.86% 17.11% 13.73% 13.19% 10.36% 12.70% 11.25% 7.69% 7.35% 6.84%
AMZN shares 1.83% 1.98% 2.19% 2.59% 0.18% 0.21% 0.27% 0.35% 0.44% 0.52% 0.61% 0.74%
AMZN shares_calc 1.80% 1.98% 2.17% 2.61% 3.56% 4.22% 5.43% 7.03% 8.81% 10.44% 12.35% 14.92%
AMZN sbc 4.18% 3.82% 2.72% 2.39% 2.45% 2.33% 2.37% 2.19% 1.98% 1.68% 1.52% 1.36%
AMZN capex 9.17% 12.38% 12.99% 10.40% 6.01% 5.77% 6.72% 4.95% 4.29% 5.50% 4.63% 6.20%
AMZN depreciation 8.47% 8.16% 7.33% 6.54% 7.77% 6.59% 6.45% 5.97% 5.87% 5.33% 4.37% 3.53%
AMZN shares_buyback 0.0 -1.17% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -4.41% -5.61% -6.74% -8.06% -1.57%
AMZN dividends 0.02% 0.02% 0.02% 0.03% 0.04% 0.04% 0.06% 0.07% 0.09% 0.11% 0.13% 0.16%
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)


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