AMZN is FAIRLYVALUED SecDiverAI
Median Fair Price 226.81
Confidence: HIGH
Fair Price Range 164.58 - 242.48
1 Year Price target: $ 253.3 - $ 305.56
3 Year Price target: $ 315.93 - $ 554.57
Current Market Price: 225.94 as of 2025-01-20
Investment Value of 100 $ invested in AMZN as compared to Market Index: SPY across historical periods[*does not include dividends]
Investment Period $ Value Today(AMZN) $ Value Today(SPY) CAGR vs Market
9 years before $ 1455.95 $ 208.39 34.66% vs SPY:8.5%
5 years before $ 300.81 $ 150.37 24.64% vs SPY:8.5%
3 years before $ 138.73 $ 127.73 11.53% vs SPY:8.5%
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We have 4 report results for ticker: AMZN - Amazon.com, Inc., also organized by 4 group tags below ... Bargain Finder: Related Companies Portfolio Health: Related Companies

Business Checklist for AMZN from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time

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Red Flags Identified


14

Total Checks Done


29

Wall Street Drivers beta

📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score 9.0 / 10.0

  • revenue cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['24.14 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which grow >= 5% YoY, better than GDP growth of >= 2-3%
  • cashflows cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['29.95 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate cashflows >= 5% YoY, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
  • shares outstanding cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['1.2 is less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful
  • debt cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['37.89 is less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business with lower debt growth
  • equity cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['36.81 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business having shareholder equity growth >= 5% YoY
  • leverage average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['1.36 is less than equal to 5', '1.36 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business which can pay their debts in less than 5 years, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
  • roe_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['47.2 is greater than equal to 10']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on equity >= 10%
  • roce_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['30.77 is greater than equal to 15']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on capital >= 15%
  • roic_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['38.54 is greater than equal to 15']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on invested capital >= 15%

Business Durability beta

🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score 3.0 / 10.0

  • margin cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 0.11 wrt mean ratio: 0.114']
  • cash average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 54498333333.33 wrt mean ratio: 30545370370.372']
  • mental_model: We want stability on cash growth
  • roa_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 14.63 wrt mean ratio: 21.658']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on assets
  • roe_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 47.2 wrt mean ratio: 90.009']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on equity
  • roce_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 30.77 wrt mean ratio: 58.145']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on capital employed
  • roic_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 38.54 wrt mean ratio: 62.593']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on invested capital

Business Trends last 3 years beta

Score 2.0 / 10.0

  • receivables running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.08 wrt mean ratio: 0.069']
  • mental_model: receivables should always grow less with revenues otherwise there might be some payment/collection issues, Watch out
  • inventory running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.06 wrt mean ratio: 0.079']
  • mental_model: inventory should always grow in relation with revenues, Inventory build can be positive depending on the industry cycle, but mostly it could be a CON as working capital is tied up, Be Careful
  • payables running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.16 wrt mean ratio: 0.178']
  • mental_model: the more this is the better, nothing bad about it.
  • cash running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.1 wrt mean ratio: 0.122']
  • mental_model: cash trend should be similar or greater to revenue, if company is heavily reinvesting it might be OK, but do check

Profits Matter beta

💰 Companies needs to have positive profits to reward its shareholders in the long term
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • positive cashflows profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['59341666666.67 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive cashflows profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term

Capital Allocation beta

🧠 Remember: Shareholders only gets rewarded if management does prudent capital allocation decisions
Score 0.0 / 10.0

  • cashToRevenue running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.1 wrt mean ratio: 0.122']
  • cashToEquity running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.34 wrt mean ratio: 0.7']

Business Performance beta

Score 2.0 / 10.0

  • Operating Leverage Cashflow cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [1.24] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 29.95, value_2: 24.14']
  • debt cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [1.57] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 1, value_1: 37.89, value_2: 24.14']
  • cash cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [0.57] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 21.11, value_2: 36.81']
  • debt-equity-cagr cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [1.03] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 1, value_1: 37.89, value_2: 36.81']
  • mental_model: We want debt to grow less than equity

Balance Sheet Quality beta

📈 Quality companies can withstand darkest hours, strong balance sheet is the key
Score 7.0 / 10.0

  • debtToCashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 1.36 wrt mean ratio: 0.886']
  • debtToEquity running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.5 wrt mean ratio: 0.532']
  • leverage average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['1.36 is less than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business which can pay their debts in less than 5 years

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We do NOT feel in CONTROL in the markets. Do we know why?

1. Showing BALANCE_SUMMARY report for AMZN [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 225.94 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012
AMZN StockMarketPrice 153.41 84.00 166.72 162.85 92.39 75.10 58.47 37.49 33.79 15.52 19.94 12.54
AMZN revenue 574.78B 513.98B 469.82B 386.06B 280.52B 232.89B 177.87B 135.99B 107.01B 88.99B 74.45B 61.09B
AMZN assets 527.85B 462.68B 420.55B 321.19B 225.25B 162.65B 131.31B 83.40B 65.44B 54.51B 40.16B 0.0
AMZN cash 73.39B 53.89B 36.22B 42.12B 36.09B 31.75B 20.52B 19.33B 15.89B 14.56B 8.66B 0.0
AMZN cashflow::operating 84.95B 46.75B 46.33B 66.06B 38.51B 30.72B 18.43B 17.27B 12.04B 6.84B 5.47B 4.18B
AMZN equity 201.88B 146.04B 138.25B 93.40B 62.06B 43.55B 27.71B 19.29B 13.38B 10.74B 9.75B 0.0
AMZN debt 58.31B 134.30B 48.74B 31.82B 23.41B 23.50B 24.74B 7.69B 8.23B 8.27B 3.19B 0.0
AMZN shares 10.49B 10.19B 10.30B 10.01B 0.49B 0.49B 0.48B 0.47B 0.47B 0.46B 0.46B 0.45B
AMZN shares_calc 10.33B 10.20B 10.20B 10.09B 9.97B 9.84B 9.66B 9.56B 9.43B 9.29B 9.19B 9.11B
AMZN inventory 33.32B 34.41B 32.64B 23.80B 20.50B 17.17B 16.05B 11.46B 10.24B 8.30B 7.41B 0.0
AMZN payables 84.98B 79.60B 78.66B 72.54B 47.18B 38.19B 34.62B 25.31B 20.40B 16.46B 15.13B 0.0
AMZN receivables 52.25B 42.36B 32.89B 24.54B 20.82B 16.68B 13.16B 8.34B 6.42B 5.61B 4.77B 0.0
AMZN roa_cfo 18.36% 11.12% 14.42% 29.33% 23.68% 23.40% 22.10% 26.39% 22.09% 17.04% 0.0 0.0
AMZN roe_cfo 58.17% 33.82% 49.60% 106.45% 88.44% 110.88% 95.59% 129.05% 112.08% 70.20% 0.0 0.0
AMZN roce_cfo 30.30% 25.00% 37.00% 77.29% 57.45% 58.57% 68.33% 79.89% 63.34% 52.89% 0.0 0.0
AMZN roic_cfo 45.50% 29.17% 40.96% 90.87% 62.32% 62.87% 63.32% 79.09% 70.96% 62.49% 50.00% inf
AMZN goodwill 22.79B 20.29B 15.37B 15.02B 14.75B 14.55B 13.35B 3.78B 3.76B 3.32B 2.65B 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

2. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for AMZN [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 225.94 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012
AMZN StockMarketPrice
AMZN revenue 55.62 50.38 46.05 38.25 28.13 23.68 18.41 14.23 11.35 9.58 8.10 6.70
AMZN assets 51.08 45.35 41.22 31.82 22.58 16.54 13.59 8.73 6.94 5.86 4.37 0.0
AMZN cash 7.10 5.28 3.55 4.17 3.62 3.23 2.12 2.02 1.69 1.57 0.94 0.0
AMZN cashflow::operating 8.22 4.58 4.54 6.55 3.86 3.12 1.91 1.81 1.28 0.74 0.60 0.46
AMZN equity 19.54 14.32 13.55 9.25 6.22 4.43 2.87 2.02 1.42 1.16 1.06 0.0
AMZN debt 5.64 13.16 4.78 3.15 2.35 2.39 2.56 0.80 0.87 0.89 0.35 0.0
AMZN shares 1.02 1.00 1.01 0.99 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05
AMZN shares_calc 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
AMZN inventory 3.22 3.37 3.20 2.36 2.06 1.75 1.66 1.20 1.09 0.89 0.81 0.0
AMZN payables 8.22 7.80 7.71 7.19 4.73 3.88 3.58 2.65 2.16 1.77 1.65 0.0
AMZN receivables 5.06 4.15 3.22 2.43 2.09 1.70 1.36 0.87 0.68 0.60 0.52 0.0
AMZN goodwill 2.21 1.99 1.51 1.49 1.48 1.48 1.38 0.40 0.40 0.36 0.29 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

3. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for AMZN [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 225.94 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012
AMZN StockMarketPrice
AMZN revenue 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
AMZN assets 91.84% 90.02% 89.51% 83.20% 80.30% 69.84% 73.83% 61.33% 61.16% 61.25% 53.94% 0.0
AMZN cash 12.77% 10.48% 7.71% 10.91% 12.87% 13.63% 11.54% 14.22% 14.85% 16.36% 11.63% 0.0
AMZN cashflow::operating 14.78% 9.10% 9.86% 17.11% 13.73% 13.19% 10.36% 12.70% 11.25% 7.69% 7.35% 6.84%
AMZN equity 35.12% 28.41% 29.42% 24.19% 22.12% 18.70% 15.58% 14.18% 12.51% 12.07% 13.09% 0.0
AMZN debt 10.15% 26.13% 10.37% 8.24% 8.35% 10.09% 13.91% 5.66% 7.70% 9.29% 4.29% 0.0
AMZN shares 1.83% 1.98% 2.19% 2.59% 0.18% 0.21% 0.27% 0.35% 0.44% 0.52% 0.61% 0.74%
AMZN shares_calc 1.80% 1.98% 2.17% 2.61% 3.56% 4.22% 5.43% 7.03% 8.81% 10.44% 12.35% 14.92%
AMZN inventory 5.80% 6.69% 6.95% 6.16% 7.31% 7.37% 9.02% 8.43% 9.57% 9.33% 9.95% 0.0
AMZN payables 14.78% 15.49% 16.74% 18.79% 16.82% 16.40% 19.46% 18.61% 19.06% 18.50% 20.33% 0.0
AMZN receivables 9.09% 8.24% 7.00% 6.36% 7.42% 7.16% 7.40% 6.13% 6.00% 6.31% 6.40% 0.0
AMZN goodwill 3.96% 3.95% 3.27% 3.89% 5.26% 6.25% 7.51% 2.78% 3.51% 3.73% 3.57% 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

4. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to assets for AMZN [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 225.94 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013
AMZN StockMarketPrice
AMZN revenue 108.89% 111.09% 111.72% 120.20% 124.54% 143.18% 135.46% 163.05% 163.51% 163.27% 185.39%
AMZN assets 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
AMZN cash 13.90% 11.65% 8.61% 13.11% 16.02% 19.52% 15.63% 23.18% 24.28% 26.71% 21.56%
AMZN cashflow::operating 16.09% 10.10% 11.02% 20.57% 17.10% 18.89% 14.04% 20.71% 18.40% 12.55% 13.63%
AMZN equity 38.24% 31.56% 32.87% 29.08% 27.55% 26.77% 21.10% 23.12% 20.45% 19.71% 24.27%
AMZN debt 11.05% 29.03% 11.59% 9.91% 10.39% 14.45% 18.84% 9.23% 12.58% 15.16% 7.95%
AMZN shares 1.99% 2.20% 2.45% 3.11% 0.22% 0.30% 0.37% 0.57% 0.71% 0.85% 1.14%
AMZN shares_calc 1.96% 2.20% 2.43% 3.14% 4.43% 6.05% 7.36% 11.46% 14.41% 17.05% 22.89%
AMZN inventory 6.31% 7.44% 7.76% 7.41% 9.10% 10.56% 12.22% 13.74% 15.65% 15.23% 18.45%
AMZN payables 16.10% 17.20% 18.71% 22.58% 20.95% 23.48% 26.36% 30.35% 31.17% 30.20% 37.68%
AMZN receivables 9.90% 9.16% 7.82% 7.64% 9.24% 10.25% 10.03% 10.00% 9.81% 10.30% 11.87%
AMZN goodwill 4.32% 4.38% 3.65% 4.68% 6.55% 8.94% 10.17% 4.54% 5.74% 6.09% 6.61%
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)


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