AAPL is OVERVALUED SecDiverAI
Median Fair Price 54.62
Confidence: MEDIUM
Fair Price Range 51.77 - 182.06
3 Year Price target: $ 22.88 - $ 71.16
Current Market Price: 220.11 as of 2024-09-10
Investment Value of 100 $ invested in AAPL as compared to Market Index: SPY across historical periods[*does not include dividends]
Investment Period $ Value Today(AAPL) $ Value Today(SPY) CAGR vs Market
9 years before $ 891.04 $ 208.39 27.51% vs SPY:8.5%
5 years before $ 581.43 $ 150.37 42.2% vs SPY:8.5%
3 years before $ 168.81 $ 127.73 19.07% vs SPY:8.5%
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We have 3 report results for ticker: AAPL - Apple Inc, also organized by 3 group tags below ... Bargain Finder: Related Companies Portfolio Health: Related Companies

Business Checklist for AAPL from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time

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Red Flags Identified


1

Total Checks Done


10

Wall Street Drivers beta

📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • revenue cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['9.4 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which grow >= 5% YoY, better than GDP growth of >= 2-3%
  • operating profits cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['9.09 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate operating profits >= 5% YoY
  • shares outstanding cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['-4.64 is less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful
  • net profits cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['10.55 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate net profits >= 5% YoY

Business Durability beta

🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • margin operating running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 0.3 wrt mean ratio: 0.288']
  • margin net running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.25 wrt mean ratio: 0.23']

Business Trends last 3 years beta

Score 0.0 / 10.0

  • research & development running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.07 wrt mean ratio: 0.045']
  • mental_model: Rnd is good specially when company is increasing moat but be careful with the spend, typically RND spend shows up 2-3 years, Read Annual statements to understand why this RND is increasing

Profits Matter beta

💰 Companies needs to have positive profits to reward its shareholders in the long term
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • positive operating profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['114229000000.0 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive operating profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term
  • positive net profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['97159333333.33 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive net profits for last 3 years, GAAP net Profits determine Stock prices in the long term

Business Performance beta

Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • Operating Leverage cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [0.97] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 9.09, value_2: 9.4']

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1. Showing INCOME_SUMMARY report for AAPL [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 220.11 as of 2024-09-10
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
AAPL revenue 383.29B 394.33B 365.82B 274.51B 260.17B 265.60B 229.23B 215.64B 233.72B 182.79B 170.91B 156.51B 108.25B 65.22B
AAPL netincome 97.00B 99.80B 94.68B 57.41B 55.26B 59.53B 48.35B 45.69B 53.39B 39.51B 37.04B 41.73B 25.92B 14.01B
AAPL operatingincome 114.30B 119.44B 108.95B 66.29B 63.93B 70.90B 61.34B 60.02B 71.23B 52.50B 49.00B 55.24B 33.79B 18.39B
AAPL grossincome 169.15B 170.78B 152.84B 104.96B 98.39B 101.84B 88.19B 84.26B 93.63B 70.54B 64.30B 68.66B 43.82B 25.68B
AAPL interest_expense 3.80B 2.87B 2.69B 3.00B 3.42B 3.02B 2.09B 1.32B 0.51B 0.34B 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
AAPL shares 15.81B 16.33B 16.86B 17.53B 18.60B 20.00B 5.25B 5.50B 5.79B 6.12B 6.52B 6.54B 0.92B 0.91B
AAPL shares_calc 15.55B 15.91B 16.41B 17.00B 17.00B 18.16B 19.76B 20.40B 21.33B 23.43B 24.95B 25.04B 25.04B 24.64B
AAPL margin_op 29.82% 30.29% 29.78% 24.15% 24.57% 26.69% 26.76% 27.84% 30.48% 28.72% 28.67% 35.30% 31.22% 28.19%
AAPL margin_net 25.31% 25.31% 25.88% 20.91% 21.24% 22.41% 21.09% 21.19% 22.85% 21.61% 21.67% 26.67% 23.95% 21.48%
AAPL costs:ga 24.93B 25.09B 21.97B 19.92B 18.25B 16.70B 15.26B 14.19B 14.33B 11.99B 10.83B 10.04B 7.60B 5.52B
AAPL costs:rnd 29.91B 26.25B 21.91B 18.75B 16.22B 14.24B 11.58B 10.04B 8.07B 6.04B 4.47B 3.38B 2.43B 1.78B
AAPL costs:sgna 24.93B 25.09B 21.97B 19.92B 18.25B 16.70B 15.26B 14.19B 14.33B 11.99B 10.83B 10.04B 7.60B 5.52B
AAPL margin_gross 44.13% 43.31% 41.78% 38.23% 37.82% 38.34% 38.47% 39.08% 40.06% 38.59% 37.62% 43.87% 40.48% 39.38%
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

2. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for AAPL [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 220.11 as of 2024-09-10
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
AAPL revenue 24.64 24.79 22.30 16.15 15.30 14.63 11.60 10.57 10.96 7.80 6.85 6.25 4.32 2.65
AAPL netincome 6.24 6.27 5.77 3.38 3.25 3.28 2.45 2.24 2.50 1.69 1.48 1.67 1.04 0.57
AAPL operatingincome 7.35 7.51 6.64 3.90 3.76 3.90 3.10 2.94 3.34 2.24 1.96 2.21 1.35 0.75
AAPL grossincome 10.88 10.74 9.32 6.17 5.79 5.61 4.46 4.13 4.39 3.01 2.58 2.74 1.75 1.04
AAPL interest_expense 0.24 0.18 0.16 0.18 0.20 0.17 0.11 0.06 0.02 0.01 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
AAPL shares 1.02 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.09 1.10 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.04 0.04
AAPL shares_calc 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
AAPL costs:ga 1.60 1.58 1.34 1.17 1.07 0.92 0.77 0.70 0.67 0.51 0.43 0.40 0.30 0.22
AAPL costs:rnd 1.92 1.65 1.34 1.10 0.95 0.78 0.59 0.49 0.38 0.26 0.18 0.14 0.10 0.07
AAPL costs:sgna 1.60 1.58 1.34 1.17 1.07 0.92 0.77 0.70 0.67 0.51 0.43 0.40 0.30 0.22
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

3. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for AAPL [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 220.11 as of 2024-09-10
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
AAPL revenue 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
AAPL netincome 25.31% 25.31% 25.88% 20.91% 21.24% 22.41% 21.09% 21.19% 22.85% 21.61% 21.67% 26.67% 23.95% 21.48%
AAPL operatingincome 29.82% 30.29% 29.78% 24.15% 24.57% 26.69% 26.76% 27.84% 30.48% 28.72% 28.67% 35.30% 31.22% 28.19%
AAPL grossincome 44.13% 43.31% 41.78% 38.23% 37.82% 38.34% 38.47% 39.08% 40.06% 38.59% 37.62% 43.87% 40.48% 39.38%
AAPL interest_expense 0.99% 0.73% 0.73% 1.09% 1.32% 1.14% 0.91% 0.61% 0.22% 0.19% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
AAPL shares 4.13% 4.14% 4.61% 6.39% 7.15% 7.53% 2.29% 2.55% 2.48% 3.35% 3.82% 4.18% 0.85% 1.39%
AAPL shares_calc 4.06% 4.03% 4.48% 6.19% 6.53% 6.84% 8.62% 9.46% 9.13% 12.82% 14.60% 16.00% 23.13% 37.77%
AAPL costs:ga 6.50% 6.36% 6.01% 7.25% 7.01% 6.29% 6.66% 6.58% 6.13% 6.56% 6.34% 6.42% 7.02% 8.46%
AAPL costs:rnd 7.80% 6.66% 5.99% 6.83% 6.23% 5.36% 5.05% 4.66% 3.45% 3.30% 2.62% 2.16% 2.24% 2.73%
AAPL costs:sgna 6.50% 6.36% 6.01% 7.25% 7.01% 6.29% 6.66% 6.58% 6.13% 6.56% 6.34% 6.42% 7.02% 8.46%
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)


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