BRK-B is OVERVALUED SecDiverAI
Median Fair Price 357.39
Confidence: MEDIUM
Fair Price Range 330.47 - 428.04
3 Year Price target: $ 477.11 - $ 550.81
Current Market Price: 472.06 as of 2024-11-21
Investment Value of 100 $ invested in BRK-B as compared to Market Index: SPY across historical periods[*does not include dividends]
Investment Period $ Value Today(BRK-B) $ Value Today(SPY) CAGR vs Market
9 years before $ 314.32 $ 208.39 13.57% vs SPY:8.5%
5 years before $ 231.21 $ 150.37 18.25% vs SPY:8.5%
3 years before $ 203.58 $ 127.73 26.74% vs SPY:8.5%
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We have 3 report results for ticker: BRK-B - Berkshire Hathaway, also organized by 3 group tags below ... Bargain Finder: Related Companies Portfolio Health: Related Companies

Business Checklist for BRK-B from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time

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Red Flags Identified


4

Total Checks Done


21

Wall Street Drivers beta

📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score 8.0 / 10.0

  • revenue cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['6.36 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which grow >= 5% YoY, better than GDP growth of >= 2-3%
  • cashflows cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['5.18 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate cashflows >= 5% YoY, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
  • shares outstanding cagr for last 5 years
  • insight: ['-2.16 is less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful
  • roe average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['16.58 is greater than equal to 10']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on equity >= 10%, ROE matters for businesses like Insurance, Banks, Financials
  • roce average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['13.19 is greater than equal to 15']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on capital >= 15%, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
  • roic average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['36.47 is greater than equal to 15']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on invested capital >= 15%, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them

Business Durability beta

🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score 8.0 / 10.0

  • margin cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.13 wrt mean ratio: 0.148']
  • roa average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 8.49 wrt mean ratio: 6.653']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on assets
  • roe average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 16.58 wrt mean ratio: 13.776']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on equity
  • roce average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 13.19 wrt mean ratio: 10.616']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on capital employed
  • roic average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 36.47 wrt mean ratio: 28.61']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on invested capital
  • rotc average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 49.65 wrt mean ratio: 34.81']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on tangible capital

Valuation is the Key beta

💎 Buying Quality companies at cheap provides the right Margin of Safety in the longer term
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • pe average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['9.31 is less than equal to 15', '9.31 is greater than 0']
  • mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want lower number here when we are BUY mode, PE <=15 preferred
  • pb average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['1.36 is less than equal to 2', '1.36 is greater than 0']
  • mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want lower number here when we are BUY mode, PB <=2 preferred

Business Trends last 3 years beta

Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • capex running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.05 wrt mean ratio: 0.058']

Profits Matter beta

💰 Companies needs to have positive profits to reward its shareholders in the long term
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • positive cashflows profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['41991000000.0 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive cashflows profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term

Capital Allocation beta

🧠 Remember: Shareholders only gets rewarded if management does prudent capital allocation decisions
Score 5.0 / 10.0

  • capex to Cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 0.38 wrt mean ratio: 0.391']
  • depreciation to capex running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.71 wrt mean ratio: 0.653']
  • mental_model: Helps understand where the company is investing for the future, OR it has to replenish its assets to maintain business

Business Performance beta

Score 0.0 / 10.0

  • Operating Leverage Cashflow cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [0.81] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 5.18, value_2: 6.36']

Valuation Insights Relative to History beta

Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • pe average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 9.31 wrt mean ratio: 28.22']
  • mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want stability on decreasing trend here
  • pb average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 1.36 wrt mean ratio: 1.34']
  • mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want stability on decreasing trend here

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1. Showing CASHFLOW_SUMMARY report for BRK-B [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 472.06 as of 2024-11-21
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
BRK-B revenue 364.48B 302.09B 276.20B 245.58B 254.62B 247.84B 242.14B 223.60B 210.94B 194.70B 182.15B 162.46B 143.69B 136.19B 112.49B
BRK-B cashflow::operating 49.20B 37.35B 39.43B 39.77B 38.69B 37.40B 45.78B 32.65B 31.49B 32.01B 27.70B 20.95B 20.48B 17.89B 15.85B
BRK-B shares 2.17B 2.20B 2.27B 2.39B 2.45B 2.47B 2.47B 2.47B 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
BRK-B shares_calc 2.18B 2.21B 2.24B 2.35B 2.45B 2.46B 2.47B 2.46B 2.47B 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
BRK-B capex 19.41B 15.46B 13.28B 13.01B 15.98B 14.54B 11.71B 12.95B 16.08B 15.19B 11.09B 9.78B 8.19B 5.98B 4.94B
BRK-B depreciation 12.49B 10.90B 10.72B 10.60B 10.06B 9.78B 9.19B 8.90B 7.78B 7.37B 6.51B 6.15B 5.49B 0.0 0.0
BRK-B pe 8.00 inf 7.36 12.58 6.77 116.25 10.78 16.40 13.33 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
BRK-B pb 1.37 1.42 1.30 1.21 1.29 1.43 1.39 1.40 1.26 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
BRK-B roa 12.67% 0.0 12.80% 6.81% 14.51% 0.57% 3.84% 6.10% 6.64% 5.80% 6.74% 5.66% 4.11% 0.0 0.0
BRK-B roe 24.95% 0.0 24.78% 13.00% 29.13% 1.14% 8.32% 13.02% 14.38% 12.52% 15.03% 13.16% 9.40% 0.0 0.0
BRK-B roce 19.88% 0.0 19.69% 10.47% 22.82% 0.86% 6.14% 9.82% 10.81% 9.46% 11.32% 9.70% 6.91% 0.0 0.0
BRK-B roic 61.33% -16.80% 64.89% 34.27% 65.56% 2.66% 16.51% 24.46% 28.22% 25.40% 29.39% 24.24% 17.10% 21.27% inf
BRK-B rotc 74.98% 0.0 73.97% 40.40% 77.93% 3.12% 19.26% 27.99% 30.37% 27.42% 32.84% 27.05% 19.79% 0.0 0.0
BRK-B dividends 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

2. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for BRK-B [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 472.06 as of 2024-11-21
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
BRK-B revenue 167.33 136.87 123.36 104.66 104.12 100.72 98.13 90.96 85.57
BRK-B cashflow::operating 22.59 16.92 17.61 16.95 15.82 15.20 18.55 13.28 12.77
BRK-B shares 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.02 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.0
BRK-B shares_calc 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
BRK-B capex 8.91 7.01 5.93 5.55 6.53 5.91 4.74 5.27 6.52
BRK-B depreciation 5.73 4.94 4.79 4.52 4.12 3.97 3.72 3.62 3.16
BRK-B dividends 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.04 0.04 0.04
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

3. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for BRK-B [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 472.06 as of 2024-11-21
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
BRK-B revenue 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
BRK-B cashflow::operating 13.50% 12.36% 14.27% 16.20% 15.19% 15.09% 18.91% 14.60% 14.93% 16.44% 15.21% 12.90% 14.25% 13.14% 14.09%
BRK-B shares 0.60% 0.73% 0.82% 0.97% 0.96% 0.99% 1.02% 1.10% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
BRK-B shares_calc 0.60% 0.73% 0.81% 0.96% 0.96% 0.99% 1.02% 1.10% 1.17% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
BRK-B capex 5.33% 5.12% 4.81% 5.30% 6.28% 5.87% 4.84% 5.79% 7.62% 7.80% 6.09% 6.02% 5.70% 4.39% 4.39%
BRK-B depreciation 3.43% 3.61% 3.88% 4.31% 3.95% 3.95% 3.79% 3.98% 3.69% 3.79% 3.57% 3.79% 3.82% 0.0 0.0
BRK-B dividends 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.04% 0.04% 0.05% 0.05% 0.05% 0.06% 0.07% 0.07% 0.09%
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)


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