CAT is OVERVALUED SecDiverAI
Median Fair Price 182.83
Confidence: MEDIUM
Fair Price Range 87.84 - 277.58
1 Year Price target: $ 179.23 - $ 209.45
3 Year Price target: $ 172.24 - $ 274.88
Current Market Price: 294.25 as of 2025-04-18
Investment Value of 100 $ invested in CAT as compared to Market Index: SPY across historical periods[*does not include dividends]
Investment Period $ Value Today(CAT) $ Value Today(SPY) CAGR vs Market
9 years before $ 546.96 $ 208.39 20.78% vs SPY:8.5%
5 years before $ 223.21 $ 150.37 17.42% vs SPY:8.5%
3 years before $ 151.61 $ 127.73 14.88% vs SPY:8.5%
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We have 4 report results for ticker: CAT - Caterpillar Inc., also organized by 4 group tags below ... Bargain Finder: Related Companies Portfolio Health: Related Companies

Business Checklist for CAT from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time

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Red Flags Identified


13

Total Checks Done


28

Wall Street Drivers beta

📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score 3.0 / 10.0

  • revenue cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['2.85 is NOT greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which grow >= 5% YoY, better than GDP growth of >= 2-3%
  • cashflows cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['3.04 is NOT greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate cashflows >= 5% YoY, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
  • shares outstanding cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['-2.31 is less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful
  • debt cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['4.2 is NOT less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business with lower debt growth
  • equity cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['0.57 is NOT greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business having shareholder equity growth >= 5% YoY
  • leverage average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['12.07 is NOT less than equal to 5', '12.07 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business which can pay their debts in less than 5 years using cashflows, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
  • roe_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['63.27 is greater than equal to 10']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on equity >= 10%
  • roce_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['6.9 is NOT greater than equal to 15']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on capital >= 15%
  • roic_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['55.11 is greater than equal to 15']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on invested capital >= 15%

Business Durability beta

🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • margin cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.17 wrt mean ratio: 0.143']
  • cash average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 6957000000.0 wrt mean ratio: 6898166666.666']
  • mental_model: We want stability on cash growth
  • roa_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 12.66 wrt mean ratio: 9.122']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on assets
  • roe_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 63.27 wrt mean ratio: 48.333']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on equity
  • roce_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 6.9 wrt mean ratio: 6.207']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on capital employed
  • roic_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 55.11 wrt mean ratio: 37.274']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on invested capital

Business Trends last 3 years beta

Score 3.0 / 10.0

  • inventory running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.26 wrt mean ratio: 0.242']
  • mental_model: inventory should always grow in relation with revenues, Inventory build can be positive depending on the industry cycle, but mostly it could be a CON as working capital is tied up, Be Careful
  • payables running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 0.13 wrt mean ratio: 0.131']
  • mental_model: the more this is the better, nothing bad about it.
  • cash running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.11 wrt mean ratio: 0.137']
  • mental_model: cash trend should be similar or greater to revenue, if company is heavily reinvesting it might be OK, but do check

Profits Matter beta

💰 Companies needs to have positive profits to reward its shareholders in the long term
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • positive cashflows profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['10895333333.33 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive cashflows profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term

Capital Allocation beta

🧠 Remember: Shareholders only gets rewarded if management does prudent capital allocation decisions
Score 0.0 / 10.0

  • cashToRevenue running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.11 wrt mean ratio: 0.137']
  • cashToEquity running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.38 wrt mean ratio: 0.45']

Business Performance beta

Score 5.0 / 10.0

  • Operating Leverage Cashflow cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [1.07] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 3.04, value_2: 2.85']
  • debt cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [1.47] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 1, value_1: 4.2, value_2: 2.85']
  • cash cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [1.02] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 0.58, value_2: 0.57']
  • debt-equity-cagr cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [7.37] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 1, value_1: 4.2, value_2: 0.57']
  • mental_model: We want debt to grow less than equity

Balance Sheet Quality beta

📈 Quality companies can withstand darkest hours, strong balance sheet is the key
Score 7.0 / 10.0

  • debtToCashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 12.07 wrt mean ratio: 15.503']
  • debtToEquity running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 7.19 wrt mean ratio: 7.199']
  • leverage average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['12.07 is NOT less than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business which can pay their debts in less than 5 years

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We do NOT feel in CONTROL in the markets. Do we know why?

1. Showing BALANCE_SUMMARY report for CAT [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 294.25 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
CAT StockMarketPrice 361.43 289.94 230.20 194.10 167.40 131.84 110.32 133.81 76.45 53.80 69.84 67.50 65.26 64.24
CAT revenue 64.81B 67.06B 59.43B 50.97B 41.75B 53.80B 54.72B 42.68B 35.77B 44.15B 52.14B 52.69B 63.07B 57.39B 39.87B 29.54B
CAT assets 87.76B 87.48B 87.48B 81.94B 78.32B 78.45B 78.51B 76.96B 74.70B 78.50B 84.68B 84.90B 89.36B 81.45B 64.02B 60.04B
CAT cash 6.89B 6.98B 7.00B 9.25B 9.35B 8.28B 7.86B 8.26B 7.17B 6.46B 7.34B 6.08B 5.49B 3.06B 3.59B 4.87B
CAT cashflow::operating 12.04B 12.88B 7.77B 7.20B 6.33B 6.91B 6.56B 5.71B 5.64B 6.70B 8.06B 10.19B 5.24B 7.01B 5.01B 6.50B
CAT equity 19.49B 19.50B 15.89B 16.52B 15.38B 14.63B 14.08B 13.77B 13.21B 14.88B 16.83B 20.88B 17.58B 12.93B 10.86B 8.82B
CAT debt 97.26B 99.44B 197.90B 154.25B 145.48B 185.96B 90.76B 83.87B 83.01B 84.89B 89.22B 84.75B 95.16B 88.44B 68.86B 66.72B
CAT shares 0.49B 0.51B 0.53B 0.55B 0.55B 0.57B 0.60B 0.60B 0.58B 0.60B 0.63B 0.66B 0.67B 0.67B 0.66B 0.67B
CAT shares_calc 0.48B 0.51B 0.52B 0.54B 0.54B 0.55B 0.59B 0.59B 0.59B 0.58B 0.63B 0.66B 0.67B 0.67B 0.66B 0.67B
CAT inventory 16.83B 16.57B 16.27B 14.04B 11.40B 11.27B 11.53B 10.02B 8.61B 9.70B 12.21B 12.62B 15.55B 14.54B 9.59B 6.36B
CAT payables 7.67B 7.91B 8.69B 8.15B 6.13B 5.96B 7.05B 6.49B 4.61B 5.02B 6.51B 6.56B 6.75B 8.16B 5.86B 2.99B
CAT receivables inf inf inf inf inf inf inf 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
CAT roa_cfo 13.76% 14.73% 9.48% 9.19% 8.06% 8.80% 8.52% 7.64% 7.18% 7.91% 9.49% 11.40% 6.43% 10.95% 8.34% 0.0
CAT roe_cfo 61.71% 81.08% 47.02% 46.81% 43.25% 49.09% 47.64% 43.18% 37.88% 39.81% 38.59% 57.96% 40.54% 64.53% 56.77% 0.0
CAT roce_cfo 10.12% 6.03% 4.55% 4.47% 3.15% 6.59% 6.72% 5.93% 5.65% 6.32% 7.63% 9.04% 5.17% 8.79% 6.63% 0.0
CAT roic_cfo 56.40% 65.71% 43.21% 40.72% 34.74% 38.29% 37.08% 29.53% 27.15% 30.08% 34.82% 40.35% 25.22% 43.09% 31.80% 41.26%
CAT goodwill 5.24B 5.31B 5.29B 6.32B 6.39B 6.20B 6.22B 6.20B 6.02B 6.62B 6.69B 6.96B 6.94B 7.08B 2.61B 2.27B
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

2. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for CAT [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 294.25 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
CAT StockMarketPrice
CAT revenue 134.24 131.73 114.19 94.23 76.85 97.35 92.73 72.21 61.14 75.82 83.03 80.08 94.27 86.17 60.53 44.12
CAT assets 181.78 171.83 168.09 151.48 144.17 141.96 133.04 130.23 127.68 134.82 134.84 129.02 133.57 122.29 97.21 89.66
CAT cash 14.27 13.71 13.46 17.11 17.21 14.99 13.31 13.98 12.25 11.10 11.69 9.24 8.21 4.59 5.45 7.27
CAT cashflow::operating 24.93 25.31 14.92 13.31 11.65 12.51 11.11 9.66 9.64 11.51 12.83 15.49 7.83 10.53 7.61 9.71
CAT equity 40.38 38.31 30.54 30.53 28.31 26.47 23.86 23.29 22.58 25.57 26.79 31.73 26.28 19.41 16.50 13.18
CAT debt 201.45 195.33 380.27 285.15 267.79 336.49 153.81 141.92 141.88 145.80 142.07 128.81 142.24 132.80 104.55 99.64
CAT shares 1.01 1.01 1.02 1.01 1.01 1.03 1.02 1.01 1.00 1.03 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
CAT shares_calc 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
CAT inventory 34.85 32.54 31.26 25.95 20.99 20.39 19.54 16.95 14.72 16.66 19.43 19.19 23.24 21.84 14.56 9.50
CAT payables 15.90 15.53 16.70 15.07 11.28 10.78 11.95 10.98 7.89 8.63 10.37 9.97 10.09 12.25 8.89 4.47
CAT receivables 0.21 0.20 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
CAT goodwill 10.86 10.43 10.16 11.69 11.77 11.21 10.54 10.49 10.29 11.36 10.66 10.57 10.38 10.63 3.97 3.39
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

3. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for CAT [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 294.25 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
CAT StockMarketPrice
CAT revenue 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
CAT assets 135.42% 130.44% 147.20% 160.76% 187.61% 145.82% 143.47% 180.34% 208.83% 177.81% 162.40% 161.11% 141.68% 141.91% 160.58% 203.24%
CAT cash 10.63% 10.41% 11.79% 18.16% 22.40% 15.40% 14.36% 19.36% 20.04% 14.63% 14.08% 11.54% 8.70% 5.33% 9.01% 16.48%
CAT cashflow::operating 18.57% 19.21% 13.07% 14.12% 15.16% 12.85% 11.98% 13.37% 15.76% 15.17% 15.45% 19.34% 8.31% 12.21% 12.56% 22.00%
CAT equity 30.08% 29.08% 26.74% 32.40% 36.84% 27.19% 25.73% 32.26% 36.94% 33.72% 32.27% 39.62% 27.88% 22.53% 27.25% 29.87%
CAT debt 150.07% 148.28% 333.01% 302.62% 348.47% 345.66% 165.86% 196.53% 232.04% 192.29% 171.10% 160.84% 150.88% 154.11% 172.72% 225.86%
CAT shares 0.75% 0.76% 0.89% 1.08% 1.31% 1.05% 1.09% 1.40% 1.63% 1.36% 1.20% 1.25% 1.06% 1.16% 1.65% 2.27%
CAT shares_calc 0.74% 0.76% 0.88% 1.06% 1.30% 1.03% 1.08% 1.38% 1.64% 1.32% 1.20% 1.25% 1.06% 1.16% 1.65% 2.27%
CAT inventory 25.96% 24.70% 27.38% 27.54% 27.31% 20.94% 21.07% 23.47% 24.08% 21.97% 23.41% 23.96% 24.65% 25.34% 24.05% 21.53%
CAT payables 11.84% 11.79% 14.62% 16.00% 14.68% 11.07% 12.89% 15.20% 12.90% 11.38% 12.49% 12.45% 10.71% 14.22% 14.69% 10.13%
CAT receivables 0.15% 0.15% 0.17% 0.20% 0.24% 0.19% 0.18% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
CAT goodwill 8.09% 7.92% 8.90% 12.41% 15.32% 11.52% 11.36% 14.53% 16.83% 14.98% 12.84% 13.20% 11.01% 12.34% 6.56% 7.68%
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

4. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to assets for CAT [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 294.25 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
CAT StockMarketPrice
CAT revenue 73.84% 76.66% 67.94% 62.20% 53.30% 68.58% 69.70% 55.45% 47.89% 56.24% 61.57% 62.07% 70.58% 70.47% 62.27% 49.20%
CAT assets 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
CAT cash 7.85% 7.98% 8.01% 11.29% 11.94% 10.56% 10.01% 10.73% 9.60% 8.23% 8.67% 7.16% 6.14% 3.75% 5.61% 8.11%
CAT cashflow::operating 13.71% 14.73% 8.88% 8.78% 8.08% 8.81% 8.35% 7.41% 7.55% 8.53% 9.51% 12.00% 5.87% 8.61% 7.82% 10.82%
CAT equity 22.21% 22.30% 18.17% 20.16% 19.63% 18.65% 17.93% 17.89% 17.69% 18.96% 19.87% 24.59% 19.68% 15.87% 16.97% 14.70%
CAT debt 110.82% 113.67% 226.23% 188.24% 185.74% 237.04% 115.61% 108.98% 111.12% 108.15% 105.36% 99.83% 106.49% 108.59% 107.56% 111.13%
CAT shares 0.56% 0.59% 0.61% 0.67% 0.70% 0.72% 0.76% 0.78% 0.78% 0.77% 0.74% 0.78% 0.75% 0.82% 1.03% 1.12%
CAT shares_calc 0.55% 0.58% 0.59% 0.66% 0.69% 0.70% 0.75% 0.77% 0.78% 0.74% 0.74% 0.78% 0.75% 0.82% 1.03% 1.12%
CAT inventory 19.17% 18.94% 18.60% 17.13% 14.56% 14.36% 14.68% 13.02% 11.53% 12.36% 14.41% 14.87% 17.40% 17.86% 14.98% 10.59%
CAT payables 8.75% 9.04% 9.93% 9.95% 7.82% 7.59% 8.98% 8.43% 6.18% 6.40% 7.69% 7.73% 7.56% 10.02% 9.15% 4.99%
CAT receivables 0.11% 0.11% 0.11% 0.12% 0.13% 0.13% 0.13% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
CAT goodwill 5.97% 6.07% 6.05% 7.72% 8.16% 7.90% 7.92% 8.06% 8.06% 8.43% 7.90% 8.19% 7.77% 8.69% 4.08% 3.78%
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)


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