CAT is OVERVALUED SecDiverAI
Median Fair Price 182.83
Confidence: MEDIUM
Fair Price Range 87.84 - 277.58
1 Year Price target: $ 179.23 - $ 209.45
3 Year Price target: $ 172.24 - $ 274.88
Current Market Price: 294.25 as of 2025-04-18
Investment Value of 100 $ invested in CAT as compared to Market Index: SPY across historical periods[*does not include dividends]
Investment Period $ Value Today(CAT) $ Value Today(SPY) CAGR vs Market
9 years before $ 546.96 $ 208.39 20.78% vs SPY:8.5%
5 years before $ 223.21 $ 150.37 17.42% vs SPY:8.5%
3 years before $ 151.61 $ 127.73 14.88% vs SPY:8.5%
[Bottom of Page]

We have 3 report results for ticker: CAT - Caterpillar Inc., also organized by 3 group tags below ... Bargain Finder: Related Companies Portfolio Health: Related Companies

Business Checklist for CAT from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time

Want to see more such checks or Customize your checks, check out our plans

Red Flags Identified


3

Total Checks Done


12

Wall Street Drivers beta

📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score 5.0 / 10.0

  • revenue cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['2.85 is NOT greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which grow >= 5% YoY, better than GDP growth of >= 2-3%
  • cashflows cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['3.04 is NOT greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate cashflows >= 5% YoY, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
  • shares outstanding cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['-2.31 is less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful
  • sbc average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['0.0 is less than equal to 0.1']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business which has lower sbc % wrt cashflow operating

Business Durability beta

🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • margin cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.17 wrt mean ratio: 0.143']

Business Trends last 3 years beta

Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • capex running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 0.03 wrt mean ratio: 0.031']

Profits Matter beta

💰 Companies needs to have positive profits to reward its shareholders in the long term
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • positive cashflows profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['10895333333.33 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive cashflows profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term

Capital Allocation beta

🧠 Remember: Shareholders only gets rewarded if management does prudent capital allocation decisions
Score 8.0 / 10.0

  • capex to Cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.15 wrt mean ratio: 0.225']
  • depreciation to capex running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 1.33 wrt mean ratio: 1.867']
  • mental_model: Helps understand where the company is investing for the future, OR it has to replenish its assets to maintain business
  • stock based compensation to Cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.0 wrt mean ratio: 0.014']
  • dividend distribution to Cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: -0.23 wrt mean ratio: -0.256']

Business Performance beta

Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • Operating Leverage Cashflow cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [1.07] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 3.04, value_2: 2.85']

Want to see What Wall Street looks at for Quality companies? We are building a special AI based SecDiver scoring system
 Sign up for FREE

We do NOT feel in CONTROL in the markets. Do we know why?

1. Showing CASHFLOW_SUMMARY report for CAT [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 294.25 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
CAT revenue 64.81B 67.06B 59.43B 50.97B 41.75B 53.80B 54.72B 42.68B 35.77B 44.15B 52.14B 52.69B 63.07B 57.39B 39.87B 29.54B
CAT cashflow::operating 12.04B 12.88B 7.77B 7.20B 6.33B 6.91B 6.56B 5.71B 5.64B 6.70B 8.06B 10.19B 5.24B 7.01B 5.01B 6.50B
CAT shares 0.49B 0.51B 0.53B 0.55B 0.55B 0.57B 0.60B 0.60B 0.58B 0.60B 0.63B 0.66B 0.67B 0.67B 0.66B 0.67B
CAT shares_calc 0.48B 0.51B 0.52B 0.54B 0.54B 0.55B 0.59B 0.59B 0.59B 0.58B 0.63B 0.66B 0.67B 0.67B 0.66B 0.67B
CAT sbc 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.03B 0.02B 0.18B 0.10B 0.19B 0.19B 0.15B 0.02B
CAT capex 1.99B 1.60B 1.30B 1.09B 0.98B 1.06B 1.28B 0.90B 1.11B 1.39B 1.54B 2.52B 3.35B 2.52B 1.57B 1.50B
CAT depreciation 2.15B 2.14B 2.22B 2.35B 2.43B 2.58B 2.77B 2.88B 3.03B 3.05B 3.16B 3.09B 2.81B 2.53B 2.30B 2.34B
CAT margin_cfo 18.57% 19.21% 13.07% 14.12% 15.16% 12.85% 11.98% 13.37% 15.76% 15.17% 15.45% 19.34% 8.31% 12.21% 12.56% 22.00%
CAT dividends -2.65B -2.56B -2.44B -2.33B -2.24B -2.13B -1.95B -1.83B -1.80B -1.76B -1.62B -1.11B -1.62B -1.16B -1.08B -1.03B
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

2. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for CAT [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 294.25 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
CAT revenue 134.24 131.73 114.19 94.23 76.85 97.35 92.73 72.21 61.14 75.82 83.03 80.08 94.27 86.17 60.53 44.12
CAT cashflow::operating 24.93 25.31 14.92 13.31 11.65 12.51 11.11 9.66 9.64 11.51 12.83 15.49 7.83 10.53 7.61 9.71
CAT shares 1.01 1.01 1.02 1.01 1.01 1.03 1.02 1.01 1.00 1.03 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
CAT shares_calc 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
CAT sbc 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.05 0.04 0.29 0.15 0.29 0.28 0.23 0.03
CAT capex 4.12 3.14 2.49 2.02 1.80 1.91 2.16 1.52 1.90 2.38 2.45 3.83 5.01 3.78 2.39 2.25
CAT depreciation 4.46 4.21 4.26 4.35 4.48 4.66 4.69 4.87 5.19 5.23 5.04 4.69 4.20 3.79 3.49 3.49
CAT dividends -5.48 -5.03 -4.69 -4.31 -4.13 -3.86 -3.31 -3.10 -3.07 -3.02 -2.58 -1.69 -2.42 -1.74 -1.65 -1.54
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

3. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for CAT [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 294.25 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
CAT revenue 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
CAT cashflow::operating 18.57% 19.21% 13.07% 14.12% 15.16% 12.85% 11.98% 13.37% 15.76% 15.17% 15.45% 19.34% 8.31% 12.21% 12.56% 22.00%
CAT shares 0.75% 0.76% 0.89% 1.08% 1.31% 1.05% 1.09% 1.40% 1.63% 1.36% 1.20% 1.25% 1.06% 1.16% 1.65% 2.27%
CAT shares_calc 0.74% 0.76% 0.88% 1.06% 1.30% 1.03% 1.08% 1.38% 1.64% 1.32% 1.20% 1.25% 1.06% 1.16% 1.65% 2.27%
CAT sbc 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.08% 0.05% 0.35% 0.18% 0.30% 0.33% 0.38% 0.07%
CAT capex 3.07% 2.38% 2.18% 2.14% 2.34% 1.96% 2.33% 2.10% 3.10% 3.14% 2.95% 4.79% 5.31% 4.38% 3.95% 5.09%
CAT depreciation 3.32% 3.20% 3.73% 4.61% 5.83% 4.79% 5.05% 6.74% 8.48% 6.90% 6.07% 5.86% 4.46% 4.40% 5.76% 7.91%
CAT dividends -4.08% -3.82% -4.11% -4.58% -5.37% -3.96% -3.57% -4.29% -5.03% -3.98% -3.11% -2.11% -2.56% -2.02% -2.72% -3.48%
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)


Want to explore further, try these wonderful companies below or Use Search to find your favorite company or Check out our list of curated stocks here: Curated Stock List(new)

Join the 1,000+ Sleep Well Investors friends simplifying their investing decisions with SecDiver.com and SleepWellInvesting 🛌

*No account required, We promise to be respectful of your time and never spam you...