CAT is OVERVALUED SecDiverAI
Median Fair Price 182.83
Confidence: MEDIUM
Fair Price Range 87.84 - 277.58
1 Year Price target: $ 179.23 - $ 209.45
3 Year Price target: $ 172.24 - $ 274.88
Current Market Price: 294.25 as of 2025-04-18
Investment Value of 100 $ invested in CAT as compared to Market Index: SPY across historical periods[*does not include dividends]
Investment Period $ Value Today(CAT) $ Value Today(SPY) CAGR vs Market
9 years before $ 546.96 $ 208.39 20.78% vs SPY:8.5%
5 years before $ 223.21 $ 150.37 17.42% vs SPY:8.5%
3 years before $ 151.61 $ 127.73 14.88% vs SPY:8.5%
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We have 3 report results for ticker: CAT - Caterpillar Inc., also organized by 3 group tags below ... Bargain Finder: Related Companies Portfolio Health: Related Companies

Business Checklist for CAT from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time

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Red Flags Identified


1

Total Checks Done


10

Wall Street Drivers beta

📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score 8.0 / 10.0

  • revenue cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['2.85 is NOT greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which grow >= 5% YoY, better than GDP growth of >= 2-3%
  • operating profits cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['9.67 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate operating profits >= 5% YoY
  • shares outstanding cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['-2.31 is less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful
  • net profits cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['11.97 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate net profits >= 5% YoY

Business Durability beta

🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • margin operating running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.18 wrt mean ratio: 0.121']
  • margin net running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.14 wrt mean ratio: 0.085']

Business Trends last 3 years beta

Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • research & development running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.03 wrt mean ratio: 0.038']
  • mental_model: Rnd is good specially when company is increasing moat but be careful with the spend, typically RND spend shows up 2-3 years, Read Annual statements to understand why this RND is increasing

Profits Matter beta

💰 Companies needs to have positive profits to reward its shareholders in the long term
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • positive operating profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['11314000000.0 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive operating profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term
  • positive net profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['9232666666.67 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive net profits for last 3 years, GAAP net Profits determine Stock prices in the long term

Business Performance beta

Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • Operating Leverage cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [3.39] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 9.67, value_2: 2.85']

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1. Showing INCOME_SUMMARY report for CAT [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 294.25 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
CAT revenue 64.81B 67.06B 59.43B 50.97B 41.75B 53.80B 54.72B 42.68B 35.77B 44.15B 52.14B 52.69B 63.07B 57.39B 39.87B 29.54B
CAT netincome 10.74B 10.27B 6.68B 6.46B 2.99B 6.07B 6.12B 0.74B -0.05B 2.52B 3.70B 3.81B 5.71B 5.00B 2.78B 0.84B
CAT operatingincome 13.07B 12.97B 7.90B 6.88B 4.55B 8.29B 8.29B 4.46B 1.16B 3.79B 5.33B 5.63B 8.57B 7.15B 3.96B 0.58B
CAT grossincome 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.42B 7.46B 10.40B 11.42B 11.97B 16.01B 13.81B 9.50B 5.65B
CAT interest_expense 1.29B 1.03B 0.56B 0.49B 0.59B 0.75B 0.72B 0.53B 0.51B 0.51B 0.48B 0.47B 0.47B 0.40B 0.34B 0.39B
CAT shares 0.49B 0.51B 0.53B 0.55B 0.55B 0.57B 0.60B 0.60B 0.58B 0.60B 0.63B 0.66B 0.67B 0.67B 0.66B 0.67B
CAT shares_calc 0.48B 0.51B 0.52B 0.54B 0.54B 0.55B 0.59B 0.59B 0.59B 0.58B 0.63B 0.66B 0.67B 0.67B 0.66B 0.67B
CAT margin_gross 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 26.75% 20.86% 23.57% 21.91% 22.71% 25.39% 24.07% 23.83% 19.14%
CAT margin_op 20.17% 19.33% 13.30% 13.49% 10.91% 15.41% 15.15% 10.45% 3.25% 8.57% 10.22% 10.68% 13.59% 12.46% 9.94% 1.95%
CAT margin_net 16.58% 15.31% 11.25% 12.68% 7.16% 11.28% 11.19% 1.74% -0.15% 5.71% 7.10% 7.23% 9.05% 8.72% 6.98% 2.84%
CAT costs:rnd 2.11B 2.11B 1.81B 1.69B 1.42B 1.69B 1.85B 1.91B 1.95B 2.17B 2.38B 2.05B 2.47B 2.30B 1.91B 1.42B
CAT costs:sgna 6.67B 6.37B 5.65B 5.37B 4.64B 5.16B 5.48B 5.18B 4.69B 5.20B 6.53B 5.55B 5.92B 5.20B 4.25B 3.65B
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

2. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for CAT [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 294.25 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
CAT revenue 134.24 131.73 114.19 94.23 76.85 97.35 92.73 72.21 61.14 75.82 83.03 80.08 94.27 86.17 60.53 44.12
CAT netincome 22.25 20.17 12.85 11.95 5.50 10.98 10.38 1.26 -0.09 4.33 5.90 5.79 8.53 7.52 4.22 1.25
CAT operatingincome 27.08 25.47 15.19 12.71 8.38 15.00 14.05 7.55 1.99 6.50 8.48 8.55 12.81 10.74 6.02 0.86
CAT grossincome 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 19.32 12.76 17.87 18.19 18.19 23.94 20.74 14.42 8.44
CAT interest_expense 2.66 2.02 1.09 0.90 1.08 1.36 1.22 0.90 0.86 0.87 0.77 0.71 0.70 0.59 0.52 0.58
CAT shares 1.01 1.01 1.02 1.01 1.01 1.03 1.02 1.01 1.00 1.03 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
CAT shares_calc 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
CAT costs:rnd 4.36 4.14 3.49 3.12 2.60 3.06 3.14 3.22 3.33 3.72 3.79 3.11 3.69 3.45 2.89 2.12
CAT costs:sgna 13.81 12.51 10.86 9.92 8.54 9.34 9.28 8.76 8.01 8.93 10.40 8.43 8.85 7.81 6.45 5.44
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

3. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for CAT [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 294.25 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
CAT revenue 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
CAT netincome 16.58% 15.31% 11.25% 12.68% 7.16% 11.28% 11.19% 1.74% -0.15% 5.71% 7.10% 7.23% 9.05% 8.72% 6.98% 2.84%
CAT operatingincome 20.17% 19.33% 13.30% 13.49% 10.91% 15.41% 15.15% 10.45% 3.25% 8.57% 10.22% 10.68% 13.59% 12.46% 9.94% 1.95%
CAT grossincome 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 26.75% 20.86% 23.57% 21.91% 22.71% 25.39% 24.07% 23.83% 19.14%
CAT interest_expense 1.98% 1.54% 0.95% 0.96% 1.41% 1.40% 1.32% 1.24% 1.41% 1.15% 0.93% 0.88% 0.74% 0.69% 0.86% 1.32%
CAT shares 0.75% 0.76% 0.89% 1.08% 1.31% 1.05% 1.09% 1.40% 1.63% 1.36% 1.20% 1.25% 1.06% 1.16% 1.65% 2.27%
CAT shares_calc 0.74% 0.76% 0.88% 1.06% 1.30% 1.03% 1.08% 1.38% 1.64% 1.32% 1.20% 1.25% 1.06% 1.16% 1.65% 2.27%
CAT costs:rnd 3.25% 3.14% 3.05% 3.31% 3.39% 3.15% 3.38% 4.46% 5.45% 4.90% 4.56% 3.88% 3.91% 4.00% 4.78% 4.81%
CAT costs:sgna 10.29% 9.50% 9.51% 10.53% 11.12% 9.59% 10.01% 12.13% 13.10% 11.78% 12.52% 10.53% 9.39% 9.07% 10.66% 12.34%
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)


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