ADP is OVERVALUED SecDiverAI
Median Fair Price 206.66
Confidence: MEDIUM
Fair Price Range 121.91 - 294.72
1 Year Price target: $ 199.34 - $ 233.28
3 Year Price target: $ 185.48 - $ 297.24
Current Market Price: 293.28 as of 2025-04-18
Investment Value of 100 $ invested in ADP as compared to Market Index: SPY across historical periods[*does not include dividends]
Investment Period $ Value Today(ADP) $ Value Today(SPY) CAGR vs Market
9 years before $ 422.36 $ 208.39 17.36% vs SPY:8.5%
5 years before $ 192.29 $ 150.37 13.97% vs SPY:8.5%
3 years before $ 127.34 $ 127.73 8.39% vs SPY:8.5%
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We have 3 report results for ticker: ADP - Automatic Data Processing, Inc., also organized by 3 group tags below ... Bargain Finder: Related Companies Portfolio Health: Related Companies

Business Checklist for ADP from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time

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Red Flags Identified


0

Total Checks Done


9

Wall Street Drivers beta

📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • revenue cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['5.05 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which grow >= 5% YoY, better than GDP growth of >= 2-3%
  • operating profits cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['8.2 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate operating profits >= 5% YoY
  • shares outstanding cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['-1.56 is less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful
  • net profits cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['9.71 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate net profits >= 5% YoY

Business Durability beta

🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • margin operating running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.24 wrt mean ratio: 0.204']
  • margin net running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.19 wrt mean ratio: 0.15']

Profits Matter beta

💰 Companies needs to have positive profits to reward its shareholders in the long term
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • positive operating profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['4371000000.0 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive operating profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term
  • positive net profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['3370966666.67 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive net profits for last 3 years, GAAP net Profits determine Stock prices in the long term

Business Performance beta

Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • Operating Leverage cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [1.62] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 8.2, value_2: 5.05']

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1. Showing INCOME_SUMMARY report for ADP [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 293.28 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
ADP revenue 19.20B 18.01B 16.50B 15.01B 14.59B 14.18B 13.33B 12.38B 11.67B 10.94B 12.21B 11.31B 10.66B 9.88B 8.93B
ADP netincome 3.75B 3.41B 2.95B 2.60B 2.47B 2.29B 1.88B 1.79B 1.49B 1.45B 1.52B 1.41B 1.39B 1.25B 1.21B
ADP operatingincome 4.87B 4.44B 3.80B 3.36B 3.18B 3.00B 2.17B 2.53B 2.23B 2.07B 2.27B 2.08B 2.12B 1.93B 1.86B
ADP grossincome 19.20B 18.01B 16.50B 15.01B 14.59B 14.18B 13.33B 12.38B 11.67B 10.94B 12.21B 11.31B 10.66B 9.88B 8.93B
ADP interest_expense 0.36B 0.25B 0.08B 0.06B 0.11B 0.13B 0.10B 0.08B 0.06B 0.01B 0.01B 0.01B 0.01B 0.01B 0.01B
ADP shares 0.41B 0.41B 0.42B 0.43B 0.43B 0.44B 0.44B 0.45B 0.46B 0.47B 0.48B 0.48B 0.49B 0.49B 0.50B
ADP shares_calc 0.41B 0.41B 0.41B 0.42B 0.43B 0.43B 0.44B 0.44B 0.45B 0.46B 0.48B 0.48B 0.49B 0.49B 0.50B
ADP margin_gross 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
ADP margin_op 25.37% 24.63% 23.06% 22.40% 21.81% 21.20% 16.29% 20.45% 19.15% 18.92% 18.63% 18.43% 19.90% 19.56% 20.87%
ADP margin_net 19.54% 18.94% 17.87% 17.32% 16.91% 16.17% 14.14% 14.44% 12.79% 13.28% 12.42% 12.43% 13.02% 12.70% 13.57%
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

2. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for ADP [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 293.28 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
ADP revenue 47.13 43.79 39.77 35.61 34.02 32.76 30.45 27.86 25.99 23.72 25.54 23.46 21.90 20.04 17.85
ADP netincome 9.21 8.30 7.11 6.17 5.75 5.30 4.31 4.02 3.32 3.15 3.17 2.92 2.85 2.54 2.42
ADP operatingincome 11.96 10.79 9.17 7.98 7.42 6.94 4.96 5.70 4.98 4.49 4.76 4.32 4.36 3.92 3.73
ADP grossincome 47.13 43.79 39.77 35.61 34.02 32.76 30.45 27.86 25.99 23.72 25.54 23.46 21.90 20.04 17.85
ADP interest_expense 0.89 0.62 0.20 0.14 0.25 0.30 0.23 0.18 0.12 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.02
ADP shares 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.02 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.02 1.02 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
ADP shares_calc 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

3. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for ADP [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 293.28 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
ADP revenue 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
ADP netincome 19.54% 18.94% 17.87% 17.32% 16.91% 16.17% 14.14% 14.44% 12.79% 13.28% 12.42% 12.43% 13.02% 12.70% 13.57%
ADP operatingincome 25.37% 24.63% 23.06% 22.40% 21.81% 21.20% 16.29% 20.45% 19.15% 18.92% 18.63% 18.43% 19.90% 19.56% 20.87%
ADP grossincome 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
ADP interest_expense 1.88% 1.40% 0.49% 0.39% 0.73% 0.91% 0.77% 0.65% 0.48% 0.05% 0.05% 0.08% 0.07% 0.08% 0.09%
ADP shares 2.15% 2.30% 2.55% 2.85% 2.96% 3.08% 3.30% 3.61% 3.92% 4.32% 3.92% 4.26% 4.57% 4.99% 5.60%
ADP shares_calc 2.12% 2.28% 2.51% 2.81% 2.94% 3.05% 3.28% 3.59% 3.85% 4.22% 3.92% 4.26% 4.57% 4.99% 5.60%
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)


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