META is OVERVALUED SecDiverAI
Median Fair Price 390.91
Confidence: MEDIUM
Fair Price Range 246.05 - 757.4
1 Year Price target: $ 440.52 - $ 486.37
3 Year Price target: $ 559.41 - $ 752.92
Current Market Price: 612.77 as of 2025-01-20
Investment Value of 100 $ invested in META as compared to Market Index: SPY across historical periods[*does not include dividends]
Investment Period $ Value Today(META) $ Value Today(SPY) CAGR vs Market
9 years before $ 785.15 $ 208.39 25.73% vs SPY:8.5%
5 years before $ 467.49 $ 150.37 36.13% vs SPY:8.5%
3 years before $ 224.35 $ 127.73 30.91% vs SPY:8.5%
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We have 3 report results for ticker: META - Meta Platforms, Inc., also organized by 3 group tags below ... Bargain Finder: Related Companies Portfolio Health: Related Companies

Business Checklist for META from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time

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Red Flags Identified


2

Total Checks Done


11

Wall Street Drivers beta

📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • revenue cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['35.67 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which grow >= 5% YoY, better than GDP growth of >= 2-3%
  • operating profits cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['40.68 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate operating profits >= 5% YoY
  • shares outstanding cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['1.56 is less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful
  • net profits cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['59.11 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate net profits >= 5% YoY

Business Durability beta

🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score 5.0 / 10.0

  • margin operating running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.33 wrt mean ratio: 0.373']
  • margin net running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 0.28 wrt mean ratio: 0.268']

Business Trends last 3 years beta

Score 5.0 / 10.0

  • sales and marketing running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.11 wrt mean ratio: 0.133']
  • mental_model: Sales are marketing increases specially if its a Sales led growth Be Careful, With time you want Organic Growth and Customer Retention
  • research & development running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.27 wrt mean ratio: 0.213']
  • mental_model: Rnd is good specially when company is increasing moat but be careful with the spend, typically RND spend shows up 2-3 years, Read Annual statements to understand why this RND is increasing

Profits Matter beta

💰 Companies needs to have positive profits to reward its shareholders in the long term
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • positive operating profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['40816000000.0 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive operating profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term
  • positive net profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['33889333333.33 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive net profits for last 3 years, GAAP net Profits determine Stock prices in the long term

Business Performance beta

Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • Operating Leverage cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [1.14] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 40.68, value_2: 35.67']

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1. Showing INCOME_SUMMARY report for META [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 612.77 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
META revenue 134.90B 116.61B 117.93B 85.97B 70.70B 55.84B 40.65B 27.64B 17.93B 12.47B 7.87B 5.09B 3.71B 1.97B
META netincome 39.10B 23.20B 39.37B 29.15B 18.48B 22.11B 15.93B 10.22B 3.69B 2.94B 1.50B 0.05B 0.67B 0.37B
META operatingincome 46.75B 28.94B 46.75B 32.67B 23.99B 24.91B 20.20B 12.43B 6.22B 4.99B 2.80B 0.54B 1.76B 1.03B
META grossincome 108.94B 91.36B 95.28B 69.27B 57.93B 46.48B 35.20B 23.85B 15.06B 10.31B 6.00B 3.73B 2.85B 1.48B
META interest_expense 0.45B 0.12B 0.53B 0.51B 0.83B 0.45B 0.39B 0.09B 0.03B 0.08B 0.05B 0.04B 0.0 0.0
META shares 2.63B 2.70B 2.86B 2.89B 2.88B 2.92B 2.96B 2.92B 2.85B 2.66B 2.42B 2.01B 1.29B 1.11B
META shares_calc 2.57B 2.66B 2.86B 2.89B 2.88B 2.92B 2.96B 2.92B 2.85B 2.66B 2.42B 2.01B 1.29B 1.11B
META margin_gross 80.76% 78.35% 80.79% 80.58% 81.94% 83.25% 86.58% 86.29% 84.01% 82.73% 76.18% 73.20% 76.83% 75.03%
META margin_op 34.66% 24.82% 39.65% 38.01% 33.93% 44.62% 49.70% 44.96% 34.72% 40.06% 35.62% 10.57% 47.32% 52.28%
META margin_net 28.98% 19.90% 33.38% 33.90% 26.15% 39.60% 39.20% 36.97% 20.57% 23.58% 19.05% 1.04% 18.00% 18.84%
META costs:ga 11.41B 11.82B 9.83B 6.56B 10.46B 3.45B 2.52B 1.73B 1.29B 0.97B 0.78B 0.89B 0.31B 0.14B
META costs:rnd 38.48B 35.34B 24.66B 18.45B 13.60B 10.27B 7.75B 5.92B 4.82B 2.67B 1.42B 1.40B 0.39B 0.14B
META costs:sm 12.30B 15.26B 14.04B 11.59B 9.88B 7.85B 4.72B 3.77B 2.73B 1.68B 1.00B 0.90B 0.39B 0.17B
META costs:sgna 11.41B 11.82B 9.83B 6.56B 10.46B 3.45B 2.52B 1.73B 1.29B 0.97B 0.78B 0.89B 0.31B 0.14B
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

2. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for META [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 612.77 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
META revenue 52.49 43.87 41.25 29.77 24.58 19.12 13.75 9.45 6.28 4.68 3.25 2.54 2.87 1.78
META netincome 15.21 8.73 13.77 10.09 6.43 7.57 5.39 3.49 1.29 1.10 0.62 0.03 0.52 0.34
META operatingincome 18.19 10.89 16.35 11.31 8.34 8.53 6.83 4.25 2.18 1.87 1.16 0.27 1.36 0.93
META grossincome 42.39 34.37 33.33 23.99 20.14 15.91 11.91 8.15 5.28 3.87 2.48 1.86 2.20 1.34
META interest_expense 0.17 0.05 0.19 0.18 0.29 0.15 0.13 0.03 0.01 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.0 0.0
META shares 1.02 1.02 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
META shares_calc 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
META costs:ga 4.44 4.45 3.44 2.27 3.64 1.18 0.85 0.59 0.45 0.37 0.32 0.44 0.24 0.12
META costs:rnd 14.97 13.29 8.62 6.39 4.73 3.52 2.62 2.02 1.69 1.00 0.58 0.70 0.30 0.13
META costs:sm 4.79 5.74 4.91 4.01 3.43 2.69 1.60 1.29 0.96 0.63 0.41 0.45 0.30 0.15
META costs:sgna 4.44 4.45 3.44 2.27 3.64 1.18 0.85 0.59 0.45 0.37 0.32 0.44 0.24 0.12
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

3. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for META [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 612.77 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
META revenue 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
META netincome 28.98% 19.90% 33.38% 33.90% 26.15% 39.60% 39.20% 36.97% 20.57% 23.58% 19.05% 1.04% 18.00% 18.84%
META operatingincome 34.66% 24.82% 39.65% 38.01% 33.93% 44.62% 49.70% 44.96% 34.72% 40.06% 35.62% 10.57% 47.32% 52.28%
META grossincome 80.76% 78.35% 80.79% 80.58% 81.94% 83.25% 86.58% 86.29% 84.01% 82.73% 76.18% 73.20% 76.83% 75.03%
META interest_expense 0.33% 0.11% 0.45% 0.59% 1.17% 0.80% 0.96% 0.33% 0.17% 0.67% 0.64% 0.86% 0.0 0.0
META shares 1.95% 2.32% 2.42% 3.36% 4.07% 5.23% 7.27% 10.58% 15.91% 21.37% 30.74% 39.42% 34.87% 56.08%
META shares_calc 1.90% 2.28% 2.42% 3.36% 4.07% 5.23% 7.27% 10.58% 15.91% 21.37% 30.74% 39.42% 34.87% 56.08%
META costs:ga 8.46% 10.13% 8.33% 7.64% 14.80% 6.18% 6.19% 6.26% 7.22% 7.81% 9.92% 17.53% 8.46% 6.99%
META costs:rnd 28.53% 30.30% 20.91% 21.46% 19.24% 18.40% 19.07% 21.42% 26.86% 21.39% 17.98% 27.49% 10.46% 7.29%
META costs:sm 9.12% 13.09% 11.91% 13.48% 13.97% 14.05% 11.62% 13.65% 15.20% 13.48% 12.67% 17.61% 10.59% 8.46%
META costs:sgna 8.46% 10.13% 8.33% 7.64% 14.80% 6.18% 6.19% 6.26% 7.22% 7.81% 9.92% 17.53% 8.46% 6.99%
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)


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