META is OVERVALUED SecDiverAI
Median Fair Price 390.91
Confidence: MEDIUM
Fair Price Range 246.05 - 757.4
1 Year Price target: $ 440.52 - $ 486.37
3 Year Price target: $ 559.41 - $ 752.92
Current Market Price: 612.77 as of 2025-01-20
Investment Value of 100 $ invested in META as compared to Market Index: SPY across historical periods[*does not include dividends]
Investment Period $ Value Today(META) $ Value Today(SPY) CAGR vs Market
9 years before $ 785.15 $ 208.39 25.73% vs SPY:8.5%
5 years before $ 467.49 $ 150.37 36.13% vs SPY:8.5%
3 years before $ 224.35 $ 127.73 30.91% vs SPY:8.5%
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We have 4 report results for ticker: META - Meta Platforms, Inc., also organized by 4 group tags below ... Bargain Finder: Related Companies Portfolio Health: Related Companies

Business Checklist for META from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time

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Red Flags Identified


4

Total Checks Done


28

Wall Street Drivers beta

📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score 9.0 / 10.0

  • revenue cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['35.67 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which grow >= 5% YoY, better than GDP growth of >= 2-3%
  • cashflows cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['36.43 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate cashflows >= 5% YoY, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
  • shares outstanding cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['1.56 is less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful
  • debt cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['7.55 is less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business with lower debt growth
  • equity cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['24.55 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business having shareholder equity growth >= 5% YoY
  • leverage average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['0.21 is less than equal to 5', '0.21 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business which can pay their debts in less than 5 years, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
  • roe_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['47.32 is greater than equal to 10']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on equity >= 10%
  • roce_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['44.75 is greater than equal to 15']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on capital >= 15%
  • roic_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['86.33 is greater than equal to 15']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on invested capital >= 15%

Business Durability beta

🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score 8.0 / 10.0

  • margin cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 0.49 wrt mean ratio: 0.507']
  • cash average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 24381333333.33 wrt mean ratio: 10785151515.151']
  • mental_model: We want stability on cash growth
  • roa_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 34.97 wrt mean ratio: 33.385']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on assets
  • roe_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 47.32 wrt mean ratio: 39.985']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on equity
  • roce_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 44.75 wrt mean ratio: 36.99']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on capital employed
  • roic_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 86.33 wrt mean ratio: 139.744']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on invested capital

Business Trends last 3 years beta

Score 7.0 / 10.0

  • receivables running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.12 wrt mean ratio: 0.135']
  • mental_model: receivables should always grow less with revenues otherwise there might be some payment/collection issues, Watch out
  • payables running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.04 wrt mean ratio: 0.02']
  • mental_model: the more this is the better, nothing bad about it.
  • cash running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.2 wrt mean ratio: 0.265']
  • mental_model: cash trend should be similar or greater to revenue, if company is heavily reinvesting it might be OK, but do check

Profits Matter beta

💰 Companies needs to have positive profits to reward its shareholders in the long term
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • positive cashflows profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['59757000000.0 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive cashflows profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term

Capital Allocation beta

🧠 Remember: Shareholders only gets rewarded if management does prudent capital allocation decisions
Score 5.0 / 10.0

  • cashToRevenue running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.2 wrt mean ratio: 0.265']
  • cashToEquity running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.18 wrt mean ratio: 0.148']

Business Performance beta

Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • Operating Leverage Cashflow cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [1.02] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 36.43, value_2: 35.67']
  • debt cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [0.21] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 1, value_1: 7.55, value_2: 35.67']
  • cash cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [0.96] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 23.58, value_2: 24.55']
  • debt-equity-cagr cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [0.31] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 1, value_1: 7.55, value_2: 24.55']
  • mental_model: We want debt to grow less than equity

Balance Sheet Quality beta

📈 Quality companies can withstand darkest hours, strong balance sheet is the key
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • debtToCashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.21 wrt mean ratio: 0.634']
  • debtToEquity running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.09 wrt mean ratio: 0.152']
  • leverage average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['0.21 is less than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business which can pay their debts in less than 5 years

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We do NOT feel in CONTROL in the markets. Do we know why?

1. Showing BALANCE_SUMMARY report for META [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 612.77 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
META StockMarketPrice 353.39 120.34 336.35 273.16 205.25 131.09 176.46 115.05 104.66 78.02 54.65 26.62
META revenue 134.90B 116.61B 117.93B 85.97B 70.70B 55.84B 40.65B 27.64B 17.93B 12.47B 7.87B 5.09B 3.71B 1.97B
META assets 229.62B 185.73B 165.99B 159.32B 133.38B 97.33B 84.52B 64.96B 49.41B 40.18B 17.89B 15.10B 6.33B 0.0
META cash 41.86B 14.68B 16.60B 17.58B 19.08B 10.02B 8.08B 8.90B 4.91B 4.32B 3.32B 2.38B 1.51B 0.0
META cashflow::operating 71.11B 50.48B 57.68B 38.75B 36.31B 29.27B 24.22B 16.11B 10.32B 7.33B 4.22B 1.61B 1.55B 0.70B
META equity 153.17B 125.71B 124.88B 128.29B 101.05B 84.13B 74.35B 59.19B 44.22B 36.10B 15.47B 11.76B 4.90B 0.0
META debt 18.39B 19.85B 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.92B 9.92B 1.50B 0.0 0.0
META shares 2.63B 2.70B 2.86B 2.89B 2.88B 2.92B 2.96B 2.92B 2.85B 2.66B 2.42B 2.01B 1.29B 1.11B
META shares_calc 2.57B 2.66B 2.86B 2.89B 2.88B 2.92B 2.96B 2.92B 2.85B 2.66B 2.42B 2.01B 1.29B 1.11B
META inventory inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf
META payables 4.85B 4.99B 4.08B 1.33B 1.36B 0.82B 0.39B 0.30B 0.22B 0.20B 0.18B 0.07B 0.06B 0.0
META receivables 16.17B 13.47B 14.04B 11.34B 9.52B 7.59B 5.83B 3.99B 2.56B 1.68B 1.11B 0.72B 0.55B 0.0
META roa_cfo 38.29% 30.41% 36.21% 29.05% 37.31% 34.63% 37.28% 32.60% 25.68% 40.94% 27.95% 25.46% 0.0 0.0
META roe_cfo 56.57% 40.42% 44.96% 38.34% 43.17% 39.37% 40.91% 36.43% 28.59% 47.36% 35.92% 32.90% 0.0 0.0
META roce_cfo 48.86% 40.42% 44.96% 38.34% 43.17% 39.37% 40.91% 36.43% 22.43% 28.85% 31.85% 32.90% 0.0 0.0
META roic_cfo 80.82% 74.49% 103.68% 89.12% 115.47% 152.76% 197.17% 200.62% 189.60% 192.28% 138.65% 82.29% 79.07% inf
META goodwill 20.65B 20.31B 19.20B 19.05B 18.71B 18.30B 18.22B 18.12B 18.03B 17.98B 0.84B 0.0 0.0 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

2. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for META [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 612.77 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
META StockMarketPrice
META revenue 52.49 43.87 41.25 29.77 24.58 19.12 13.75 9.45 6.28 4.68 3.25 2.54 2.87 1.78
META assets 89.35 69.87 58.06 55.16 46.38 33.32 28.59 22.21 17.32 15.08 7.39 7.53 4.89 0.0
META cash 16.29 5.52 5.81 6.09 6.63 3.43 2.73 3.04 1.72 1.62 1.37 1.19 1.17 0.0
META cashflow::operating 27.67 18.99 20.18 13.42 12.63 10.02 8.19 5.51 3.62 2.75 1.74 0.80 1.20 0.63
META equity 59.60 47.29 43.68 44.42 35.14 28.80 25.15 20.24 15.50 13.55 6.39 5.86 3.79 0.0
META debt 7.15 7.47 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.72 4.10 0.75 0.0 0.0
META shares 1.02 1.02 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
META shares_calc 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
META inventory 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.08 0.09
META payables 1.89 1.88 1.43 0.46 0.47 0.28 0.13 0.10 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.03 0.05 0.0
META receivables 6.29 5.07 4.91 3.92 3.31 2.60 1.97 1.37 0.90 0.63 0.46 0.36 0.42 0.0
META goodwill 8.04 7.64 6.71 6.60 6.51 6.27 6.16 6.20 6.32 6.75 0.35 0.0 0.0 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

3. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for META [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 612.77 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
META StockMarketPrice
META revenue 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
META assets 170.21% 159.27% 140.75% 185.33% 188.66% 174.31% 207.92% 235.04% 275.59% 322.35% 227.32% 296.78% 170.60% 0.0
META cash 31.03% 12.59% 14.08% 20.45% 26.99% 17.94% 19.87% 32.21% 27.37% 34.61% 42.21% 46.85% 40.74% 0.0
META cashflow::operating 52.71% 43.29% 48.91% 45.07% 51.37% 52.43% 59.57% 58.28% 57.56% 58.77% 53.63% 31.68% 41.74% 35.36%
META equity 113.54% 107.81% 105.89% 149.24% 142.94% 150.66% 182.88% 214.18% 246.64% 289.56% 196.52% 230.99% 132.01% 0.0
META debt 13.63% 17.02% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 79.60% 126.05% 29.48% 0.0 0.0
META shares 1.95% 2.32% 2.42% 3.36% 4.07% 5.23% 7.27% 10.58% 15.91% 21.37% 30.74% 39.42% 34.87% 56.08%
META shares_calc 1.90% 2.28% 2.42% 3.36% 4.07% 5.23% 7.27% 10.58% 15.91% 21.37% 30.74% 39.42% 34.87% 56.08%
META inventory 0.07% 0.09% 0.08% 0.12% 0.14% 0.18% 0.25% 0.36% 0.56% 0.80% 1.27% 1.97% 2.69% 5.07%
META payables 3.59% 4.28% 3.46% 1.55% 1.93% 1.47% 0.96% 1.09% 1.21% 1.62% 2.30% 1.28% 1.70% 0.0
META receivables 11.99% 11.55% 11.90% 13.19% 13.46% 13.59% 14.35% 14.45% 14.27% 13.46% 14.09% 14.13% 14.74% 0.0
META goodwill 15.31% 17.41% 16.28% 22.16% 26.47% 32.78% 44.82% 65.57% 100.55% 144.24% 10.66% 0.0 0.0 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

4. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to assets for META [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 612.77 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011
META StockMarketPrice
META revenue 58.75% 62.79% 71.05% 53.96% 53.01% 57.37% 48.10% 42.55% 36.29% 31.02% 43.99% 33.70% 58.62%
META assets 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
META cash 18.23% 7.90% 10.00% 11.03% 14.30% 10.29% 9.56% 13.71% 9.93% 10.74% 18.57% 15.78% 23.88%
META cashflow::operating 30.97% 27.18% 34.75% 24.32% 27.23% 30.08% 28.65% 24.80% 20.89% 18.23% 23.59% 10.67% 24.47%
META equity 66.70% 67.69% 75.23% 80.53% 75.77% 86.43% 87.96% 91.12% 89.50% 89.83% 86.45% 77.83% 77.38%
META debt 8.01% 10.69% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 24.69% 55.45% 9.93% 0.0
META shares 1.14% 1.45% 1.72% 1.81% 2.16% 3.00% 3.50% 4.50% 5.77% 6.63% 13.52% 13.28% 20.44%
META shares_calc 1.12% 1.43% 1.72% 1.81% 2.16% 3.00% 3.50% 4.50% 5.77% 6.63% 13.52% 13.28% 20.44%
META inventory 0.04% 0.05% 0.06% 0.06% 0.07% 0.10% 0.12% 0.15% 0.20% 0.25% 0.56% 0.66% 1.58%
META payables 2.11% 2.69% 2.46% 0.84% 1.02% 0.84% 0.46% 0.46% 0.44% 0.50% 1.01% 0.43% 1.00%
META receivables 7.04% 7.25% 8.46% 7.11% 7.14% 7.79% 6.90% 6.15% 5.18% 4.18% 6.20% 4.76% 8.64%
META goodwill 8.99% 10.93% 11.57% 11.96% 14.03% 18.80% 21.56% 27.90% 36.48% 44.75% 4.69% 0.0 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)


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