META is OVERVALUED SecDiverAI
Median Fair Price 390.91
Confidence: MEDIUM
Fair Price Range 246.05 - 757.4
1 Year Price target: $ 440.52 - $ 486.37
3 Year Price target: $ 559.41 - $ 752.92
Current Market Price: 612.77 as of 2025-01-20
Investment Value of 100 $ invested in META as compared to Market Index: SPY across historical periods[*does not include dividends]
Investment Period $ Value Today(META) $ Value Today(SPY) CAGR vs Market
9 years before $ 785.15 $ 208.39 25.73% vs SPY:8.5%
5 years before $ 467.49 $ 150.37 36.13% vs SPY:8.5%
3 years before $ 224.35 $ 127.73 30.91% vs SPY:8.5%
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We have 3 report results for ticker: META - Meta Platforms, Inc., also organized by 3 group tags below ... Bargain Finder: Related Companies Portfolio Health: Related Companies

Business Checklist for META from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time

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Red Flags Identified


3

Total Checks Done


11

Wall Street Drivers beta

📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • revenue cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['35.67 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which grow >= 5% YoY, better than GDP growth of >= 2-3%
  • cashflows cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['36.43 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate cashflows >= 5% YoY, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
  • shares outstanding cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['1.56 is less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful

Business Durability beta

🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • margin cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 0.49 wrt mean ratio: 0.507']

Business Trends last 3 years beta

Score 0.0 / 10.0

  • capex running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.21 wrt mean ratio: 0.186']

Profits Matter beta

💰 Companies needs to have positive profits to reward its shareholders in the long term
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • positive cashflows profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['59757000000.0 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive cashflows profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term

Capital Allocation beta

🧠 Remember: Shareholders only gets rewarded if management does prudent capital allocation decisions
Score 5.0 / 10.0

  • capex to Cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.43 wrt mean ratio: 0.378']
  • depreciation to capex running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.36 wrt mean ratio: 0.498']
  • mental_model: Helps understand where the company is investing for the future, OR it has to replenish its assets to maintain business
  • stock based compensation to Cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.2 wrt mean ratio: 0.238']
  • shares_buyback distribution of Cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.01 wrt mean ratio: -0.078']

Business Performance beta

Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • Operating Leverage Cashflow cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [1.02] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 36.43, value_2: 35.67']

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1. Showing CASHFLOW_SUMMARY report for META [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 612.77 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
META revenue 134.90B 116.61B 117.93B 85.97B 70.70B 55.84B 40.65B 27.64B 17.93B 12.47B 7.87B 5.09B 3.71B 1.97B
META cashflow::operating 71.11B 50.48B 57.68B 38.75B 36.31B 29.27B 24.22B 16.11B 10.32B 7.33B 4.22B 1.61B 1.55B 0.70B
META shares 2.63B 2.70B 2.86B 2.89B 2.88B 2.92B 2.96B 2.92B 2.85B 2.66B 2.42B 2.01B 1.29B 1.11B
META shares_calc 2.57B 2.66B 2.86B 2.89B 2.88B 2.92B 2.96B 2.92B 2.85B 2.66B 2.42B 2.01B 1.29B 1.11B
META sbc 14.03B 11.99B 9.16B 6.54B 4.84B 4.15B 3.72B 3.22B 2.96B 1.79B 0.91B 1.57B 0.22B 0.02B
META capex 27.27B 31.43B 18.69B 15.12B 15.10B 13.91B 6.73B 4.49B 2.52B 1.83B 1.36B 1.24B 0.61B 0.29B
META depreciation 11.18B 8.69B 7.97B 6.86B 5.74B 4.32B 3.02B 2.34B 1.95B 1.24B 1.01B 0.65B 0.32B 0.14B
META margin_cfo 52.71% 43.29% 48.91% 45.07% 51.37% 52.43% 59.57% 58.28% 57.56% 58.77% 53.63% 31.68% 41.74% 35.36%
META shares_buyback 0.47B 0.31B 0.34B 0.07B -4.20B -12.88B -1.98B 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
META dividends inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

2. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for META [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 612.77 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
META revenue 52.49 43.87 41.25 29.77 24.58 19.12 13.75 9.45 6.28 4.68 3.25 2.54 2.87 1.78
META cashflow::operating 27.67 18.99 20.18 13.42 12.63 10.02 8.19 5.51 3.62 2.75 1.74 0.80 1.20 0.63
META shares 1.02 1.02 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
META shares_calc 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
META sbc 5.46 4.51 3.21 2.26 1.68 1.42 1.26 1.10 1.04 0.67 0.37 0.78 0.17 0.02
META capex 10.61 11.82 6.54 5.23 5.25 4.76 2.28 1.54 0.88 0.69 0.56 0.62 0.47 0.26
META depreciation 4.35 3.27 2.79 2.38 2.00 1.48 1.02 0.80 0.68 0.47 0.42 0.32 0.25 0.13
META shares_buyback 0.18 0.12 0.12 0.02 -1.46 -4.41 -0.67 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
META dividends 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.08 0.09
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

3. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for META [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 612.77 as of 2025-01-20
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
META revenue 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
META cashflow::operating 52.71% 43.29% 48.91% 45.07% 51.37% 52.43% 59.57% 58.28% 57.56% 58.77% 53.63% 31.68% 41.74% 35.36%
META shares 1.95% 2.32% 2.42% 3.36% 4.07% 5.23% 7.27% 10.58% 15.91% 21.37% 30.74% 39.42% 34.87% 56.08%
META shares_calc 1.90% 2.28% 2.42% 3.36% 4.07% 5.23% 7.27% 10.58% 15.91% 21.37% 30.74% 39.42% 34.87% 56.08%
META sbc 10.40% 10.28% 7.77% 7.60% 6.84% 7.44% 9.16% 11.64% 16.51% 14.33% 11.51% 30.89% 5.85% 1.01%
META capex 20.21% 26.95% 15.85% 17.58% 21.36% 24.92% 16.56% 16.25% 14.07% 14.69% 17.30% 24.27% 16.33% 14.84%
META depreciation 8.29% 7.45% 6.76% 7.98% 8.12% 7.73% 7.44% 8.47% 10.85% 9.97% 12.84% 12.75% 8.70% 7.04%
META shares_buyback 0.35% 0.27% 0.29% 0.08% -5.94% -23.06% -4.86% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
META dividends 0.07% 0.09% 0.08% 0.12% 0.14% 0.18% 0.25% 0.36% 0.56% 0.80% 1.27% 1.97% 2.69% 5.07%
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)


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