MA is OVERVALUED SecDiverAI
Median Fair Price 467.57
Confidence: MEDIUM
Fair Price Range 282.59 - 525.83
1 Year Price target: $ 513.72 - $ 560.1
3 Year Price target: $ 620.13 - $ 803.73
Current Market Price: 517.33 as of 2025-04-18
Investment Value of 100 $ invested in MA as compared to Market Index: SPY across historical periods[*does not include dividends]
Investment Period $ Value Today(MA) $ Value Today(SPY) CAGR vs Market
9 years before $ 561.81 $ 208.39 21.14% vs SPY:8.5%
5 years before $ 178.45 $ 150.37 12.28% vs SPY:8.5%
3 years before $ 146.76 $ 127.73 13.64% vs SPY:8.5%
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We have 4 report results for ticker: MA - Mastercard Incorporated, also organized by 4 group tags below ... Bargain Finder: Related Companies Portfolio Health: Related Companies

Business Checklist for MA from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time

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Red Flags Identified


12

Total Checks Done


28

Wall Street Drivers beta

📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score 8.0 / 10.0

  • revenue cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['11.87 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which grow >= 5% YoY, better than GDP growth of >= 2-3%
  • cashflows cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['14.0 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate cashflows >= 5% YoY, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
  • shares outstanding cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['-2.4 is less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful
  • debt cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['32.09 is NOT less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business with lower debt growth
  • equity cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['-0.21 is NOT greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business having shareholder equity growth >= 5% YoY
  • leverage average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['2.21 is less than equal to 5', '2.21 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business which can pay their debts in less than 5 years using cashflows, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
  • roe_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['184.0 is greater than equal to 10']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on equity >= 10%
  • roce_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['40.03 is greater than equal to 15']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on capital >= 15%
  • roic_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['271.21 is greater than equal to 15']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on invested capital >= 15%

Business Durability beta

🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score 7.0 / 10.0

  • margin cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.5 wrt mean ratio: 0.439']
  • cash average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 8012666666.67 wrt mean ratio: 6111692307.692']
  • mental_model: We want stability on cash growth
  • roa_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 31.83 wrt mean ratio: 29.011']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on assets
  • roe_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 184.0 wrt mean ratio: 104.681']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on equity
  • roce_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 40.03 wrt mean ratio: 51.732']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on capital employed
  • roic_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 271.21 wrt mean ratio: 304.323']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on invested capital

Business Trends last 3 years beta

Score 0.0 / 10.0

  • receivables running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.15 wrt mean ratio: 0.14']
  • mental_model: receivables should always grow less with revenues otherwise there might be some payment/collection issues, Watch out
  • payables running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.04 wrt mean ratio: 0.043']
  • mental_model: the more this is the better, nothing bad about it.
  • cash running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.32 wrt mean ratio: 0.462']
  • mental_model: cash trend should be similar or greater to revenue, if company is heavily reinvesting it might be OK, but do check

Profits Matter beta

💰 Companies needs to have positive profits to reward its shareholders in the long term
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • positive cashflows profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['12651666666.67 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive cashflows profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term

Capital Allocation beta

🧠 Remember: Shareholders only gets rewarded if management does prudent capital allocation decisions
Score 5.0 / 10.0

  • cashToRevenue running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.32 wrt mean ratio: 0.462']
  • cashToEquity running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 1.21 wrt mean ratio: 0.958']

Business Performance beta

Score 5.0 / 10.0

  • Operating Leverage Cashflow cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [1.18] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 14.0, value_2: 11.87']
  • debt cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [2.7] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 1, value_1: 32.09, value_2: 11.87']
  • cash cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [-28.48] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 5.98, value_2: -0.21']
  • debt-equity-cagr cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [-152.81] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 1, value_1: 32.09, value_2: -0.21']
  • mental_model: We want debt to grow less than equity

Balance Sheet Quality beta

📈 Quality companies can withstand darkest hours, strong balance sheet is the key
Score 3.0 / 10.0

  • debtToCashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 2.21 wrt mean ratio: 1.446']
  • debtToEquity running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 4.23 wrt mean ratio: 1.924']
  • leverage average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['2.21 is less than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business which can pay their debts in less than 5 years

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We do NOT feel in CONTROL in the markets. Do we know why?

1. Showing BALANCE_SUMMARY report for MA [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 517.33 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
MA StockMarketPrice 525.80 423.43 343.13 352.50 348.45 289.93 182.16 145.37 98.43 92.07 80.90 77.99 45.70 34.59
MA revenue 28.17B 25.10B 22.24B 18.88B 15.30B 16.88B 14.95B 12.50B 10.78B 9.67B 9.44B 8.35B 7.39B 6.71B 5.54B 5.10B
MA assets 48.08B 42.45B 38.72B 37.67B 33.58B 29.24B 24.86B 21.33B 18.68B 16.27B 15.33B 14.24B 12.46B 10.69B 8.84B 0.0
MA cash 8.44B 8.59B 7.01B 7.42B 10.11B 6.99B 6.68B 5.93B 6.72B 5.75B 5.14B 3.60B 2.05B 3.73B 3.07B 0.0
MA cashflow::operating 14.78B 11.98B 11.20B 9.46B 7.22B 8.18B 6.22B 5.66B 4.64B 4.10B 3.41B 4.13B 2.95B 2.68B 1.70B 1.38B
MA equity 6.51B 6.97B 6.36B 7.38B 6.97B 6.36B 5.39B 5.47B 5.66B 6.03B 6.79B 7.48B 6.92B 5.87B 5.21B 0.0
MA debt 20.54B 34.16B 29.16B 14.81B 12.02B 8.53B 5.83B 5.42B 5.18B 3.29B 1.49B 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
MA shares 0.93B 0.95B 0.97B 0.99B 1.00B 1.02B 1.04B 1.07B 1.10B 1.13B 1.17B 1.21B 1.25B 1.28B 0.13B 0.13B
MA shares_calc 0.92B 0.94B 0.96B 0.98B 1.00B 1.01B 1.03B 1.04B 1.08B 1.13B 1.17B 1.21B 1.25B 1.28B 1.28B 1.27B
MA inventory inf inf inf inf inf inf 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
MA payables 0.93B 0.83B 0.93B 0.74B 0.53B 0.49B 0.54B 0.93B 0.61B 0.47B 0.42B 0.34B 0.36B 0.36B 0.27B 0.0
MA receivables 3.77B 4.06B 3.42B 3.01B 2.65B 2.51B 2.28B 1.97B 1.42B 1.08B 1.11B 0.97B 0.93B 0.81B 0.65B 0.0
MA roa_cfo 34.82% 30.94% 29.72% 28.18% 24.71% 32.92% 29.18% 30.33% 28.50% 26.75% 23.92% 33.18% 27.57% 30.37% 0.0 0.0
MA roe_cfo 211.90% 188.48% 151.63% 135.67% 113.66% 151.68% 113.81% 100.14% 76.92% 60.40% 45.52% 59.78% 50.24% 51.57% 0.0 0.0
MA roce_cfo 35.93% 33.73% 50.43% 49.81% 48.54% 72.87% 57.13% 52.27% 49.78% 49.51% 45.52% 59.78% 50.24% 51.57% 0.0 0.0
MA roic_cfo 279.55% 265.93% 268.14% 235.34% 187.49% 307.63% 333.67% 367.79% 361.70% 314.25% 295.23% 397.60% 328.65% 328.52% 207.71% inf
MA goodwill 9.19B 7.66B 7.52B 7.66B 4.96B 4.02B 2.90B 3.04B 1.76B 1.89B 1.52B 1.12B 1.09B 1.01B 0.68B 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

2. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for MA [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 517.33 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
MA StockMarketPrice
MA revenue 30.69 26.75 23.13 19.22 15.35 16.73 14.48 12.03 9.97 8.54 8.10 6.89 5.90 5.25 4.33 4.02
MA assets 52.39 45.24 40.28 38.34 33.69 28.98 24.07 20.54 17.28 14.38 13.16 11.76 9.95 8.36 6.91 0.0
MA cash 9.20 9.15 7.29 7.55 10.14 6.93 6.47 5.71 6.22 5.08 4.41 2.97 1.64 2.92 2.40 0.0
MA cashflow::operating 16.10 12.77 11.64 9.63 7.25 8.11 6.03 5.45 4.29 3.62 2.92 3.41 2.35 2.10 1.33 1.09
MA equity 7.10 7.43 6.61 7.51 7.00 6.30 5.22 5.27 5.23 5.33 5.83 6.18 5.52 4.59 4.07 0.0
MA debt 22.38 36.41 30.33 15.08 12.06 8.45 5.65 5.22 4.79 2.91 1.28 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
MA shares 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.03 1.02 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.10 0.10
MA shares_calc 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
MA inventory 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
MA payables 1.01 0.89 0.96 0.75 0.53 0.48 0.52 0.90 0.56 0.42 0.36 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.21 0.0
MA receivables 4.11 4.33 3.56 3.06 2.65 2.49 2.20 1.90 1.31 0.95 0.95 0.80 0.74 0.63 0.51 0.0
MA goodwill 10.02 8.16 7.82 7.80 4.98 3.99 2.81 2.92 1.62 1.67 1.31 0.93 0.87 0.79 0.53 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

3. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for MA [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 517.33 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
MA StockMarketPrice
MA revenue 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
MA assets 170.70% 169.13% 174.14% 199.48% 219.49% 173.17% 166.29% 170.67% 173.30% 168.29% 162.37% 170.64% 168.61% 159.26% 159.54% 0.0
MA cash 29.97% 34.22% 31.52% 39.30% 66.09% 41.39% 44.70% 47.48% 62.37% 59.45% 54.41% 43.12% 27.76% 55.62% 55.37% 0.0
MA cashflow::operating 52.47% 47.73% 50.34% 50.11% 47.21% 48.47% 41.63% 45.32% 43.03% 42.42% 36.09% 49.54% 39.89% 39.98% 30.64% 27.02%
MA equity 23.13% 27.79% 28.58% 39.10% 45.59% 37.65% 36.09% 43.75% 52.49% 62.36% 71.92% 89.67% 93.59% 87.40% 93.97% 0.0
MA debt 72.93% 136.11% 131.12% 78.45% 78.58% 50.51% 39.02% 43.40% 48.07% 34.00% 15.82% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
MA shares 3.29% 3.77% 4.37% 5.25% 6.55% 6.02% 6.96% 8.54% 10.19% 11.73% 12.34% 14.51% 16.95% 19.05% 2.37% 2.55%
MA shares_calc 3.26% 3.74% 4.32% 5.20% 6.52% 5.98% 6.91% 8.31% 10.03% 11.70% 12.34% 14.51% 16.95% 19.05% 23.09% 24.89%
MA inventory 0.36% 0.40% 0.45% 0.53% 0.65% 0.59% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
MA payables 3.30% 3.32% 4.16% 3.91% 3.44% 2.90% 3.59% 7.47% 5.65% 4.88% 4.44% 4.05% 4.83% 5.36% 4.91% 0.0
MA receivables 13.40% 16.18% 15.40% 15.92% 17.29% 14.89% 15.22% 15.76% 13.14% 11.16% 11.75% 11.57% 12.52% 12.03% 11.73% 0.0
MA goodwill 32.64% 30.52% 33.83% 40.57% 32.42% 23.82% 19.42% 24.29% 16.30% 19.56% 16.12% 13.44% 14.77% 15.10% 12.22% 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

4. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to assets for MA [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 517.33 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
MA StockMarketPrice
MA revenue 58.58% 59.13% 57.42% 50.13% 45.56% 57.75% 60.14% 58.59% 57.70% 59.42% 61.59% 58.60% 59.31% 62.79% 62.68%
MA assets 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
MA cash 17.56% 20.23% 18.10% 19.70% 30.11% 23.90% 26.88% 27.82% 35.99% 35.32% 33.51% 25.27% 16.47% 34.92% 34.71%
MA cashflow::operating 30.74% 28.22% 28.91% 25.12% 21.51% 27.99% 25.03% 26.56% 24.83% 25.21% 22.23% 29.03% 23.66% 25.10% 19.20%
MA equity 13.55% 16.43% 16.41% 19.60% 20.77% 21.74% 21.70% 25.64% 30.29% 37.05% 44.30% 52.55% 55.50% 54.88% 58.90%
MA debt 42.72% 80.47% 75.29% 39.33% 35.80% 29.17% 23.47% 25.43% 27.74% 20.20% 9.75% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
MA shares 1.93% 2.23% 2.51% 2.63% 2.98% 3.48% 4.19% 5.00% 5.88% 6.97% 7.60% 8.50% 10.05% 11.96% 1.48%
MA shares_calc 1.91% 2.21% 2.48% 2.61% 2.97% 3.45% 4.15% 4.87% 5.79% 6.95% 7.60% 8.50% 10.05% 11.96% 14.47%
MA inventory 0.21% 0.24% 0.26% 0.27% 0.30% 0.34% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
MA payables 1.93% 1.96% 2.39% 1.96% 1.57% 1.67% 2.16% 4.37% 3.26% 2.90% 2.73% 2.37% 2.86% 3.37% 3.08%
MA receivables 7.85% 9.56% 8.84% 7.98% 7.88% 8.60% 9.16% 9.23% 7.58% 6.63% 7.23% 6.78% 7.42% 7.56% 7.36%
MA goodwill 19.12% 18.05% 19.42% 20.34% 14.77% 13.75% 11.68% 14.23% 9.40% 11.62% 9.93% 7.88% 8.76% 9.48% 7.66%
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)


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