MCO is OVERVALUED SecDiverAI
Median Fair Price 333.4
Confidence: MEDIUM
Fair Price Range 198.35 - 432.63
1 Year Price target: $ 319.3 - $ 384.94
3 Year Price target: $ 292.86 - $ 513.17
Current Market Price: 424.86 as of 2025-04-18
Investment Value of 100 $ invested in MCO as compared to Market Index: SPY across historical periods[*does not include dividends]
Investment Period $ Value Today(MCO) $ Value Today(SPY) CAGR vs Market
9 years before $ 464.97 $ 208.39 18.62% vs SPY:8.5%
5 years before $ 187.03 $ 150.37 13.34% vs SPY:8.5%
3 years before $ 111.94 $ 127.73 3.83% vs SPY:8.5%
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We have 3 report results for ticker: MCO - Moody's Corporation, also organized by 3 group tags below ... Bargain Finder: Related Companies Portfolio Health: Related Companies

Business Checklist for MCO from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time

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Red Flags Identified


3

Total Checks Done


9

Wall Street Drivers beta

📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • revenue cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['7.27 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which grow >= 5% YoY, better than GDP growth of >= 2-3%
  • operating profits cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['5.67 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate operating profits >= 5% YoY
  • shares outstanding cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['-1.48 is less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful
  • net profits cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['6.77 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate net profits >= 5% YoY

Business Durability beta

🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score 0.0 / 10.0

  • margin operating running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.37 wrt mean ratio: 0.394']
  • margin net running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.27 wrt mean ratio: 0.291']

Profits Matter beta

💰 Companies needs to have positive profits to reward its shareholders in the long term
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • positive operating profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['2298333333.33 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive operating profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term
  • positive net profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['1680333333.33 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive net profits for last 3 years, GAAP net Profits determine Stock prices in the long term

Business Performance beta

Score 0.0 / 10.0

  • Operating Leverage cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [0.78] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 5.67, value_2: 7.27']

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1. Showing INCOME_SUMMARY report for MCO [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 424.86 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
MCO revenue 7.09B 5.92B 5.47B 6.22B 5.37B 4.83B 4.44B 4.20B 3.60B 3.48B 3.33B 2.97B 2.73B 2.28B 2.03B 1.80B
MCO netincome 2.06B 1.61B 1.37B 2.21B 1.78B 1.43B 1.32B 1.01B 0.28B 0.95B 1.01B 0.81B 1.02B 0.84B 0.71B 0.65B
MCO operatingincome 2.88B 2.14B 1.88B 2.84B 2.39B 2.00B 1.87B 1.82B 0.65B 1.47B 1.44B 1.23B 1.08B 0.89B 0.77B 0.69B
MCO grossincome 7.09B 5.92B 5.47B 6.22B 5.37B 4.83B 4.44B 4.20B 3.60B 3.48B 3.33B 2.97B 2.73B 2.28B 2.03B 1.80B
MCO interest_expense 0.00B 0.00B 0.23B 0.17B 0.00B 0.01B 0.01B 0.01B 0.01B 0.01B 0.02B 0.01B 0.06B 0.06B 0.05B 0.03B
MCO shares 0.18B 0.18B 0.18B 0.19B 0.19B 0.19B 0.19B 0.19B 0.19B 0.20B 0.21B 0.22B 0.22B 0.23B 0.23B 0.24B
MCO shares_calc 0.18B 0.18B 0.18B 0.19B 0.19B 0.19B 0.19B 0.19B 0.19B 0.20B 0.21B 0.22B 0.22B 0.23B 0.23B 0.24B
MCO margin_gross 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
MCO margin_op 40.56% 36.12% 34.44% 45.74% 44.46% 41.38% 42.04% 43.31% 18.03% 42.27% 43.16% 41.53% 39.46% 38.94% 37.99% 38.23%
MCO margin_net 29.05% 27.18% 25.13% 35.61% 33.09% 29.59% 29.71% 23.98% 7.63% 27.23% 30.17% 27.42% 37.51% 36.79% 35.14% 35.94%
MCO costs:ga 1.74B 1.63B 1.53B 1.48B 1.23B 1.17B 1.08B 0.99B 0.94B 0.92B 0.87B 0.82B 0.75B 0.63B 0.59B 0.49B
MCO costs:restructuring 0.06B 0.09B 0.11B 0.0 0.05B 0.06B 0.05B 0.06B 0.01B 0.01B 0.11B 0.05B 0.06B 0.05B 0.01B 0.02B
MCO costs:sgna 1.74B 1.63B 1.53B 1.48B 1.23B 1.17B 1.08B 0.99B 0.94B 0.92B 0.87B 0.82B 0.75B 0.63B 0.59B 0.49B
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

2. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for MCO [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 424.86 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
MCO revenue 39.11 32.33 29.85 33.45 28.60 25.58 23.19 22.00 18.85 17.63 15.88 13.57 12.24 10.09 8.65 7.62
MCO netincome 11.36 8.79 7.50 11.91 9.46 7.57 6.89 5.27 1.44 4.80 4.79 3.72 4.59 3.71 3.04 2.74
MCO operatingincome 15.86 11.68 10.28 15.30 12.72 10.58 9.75 9.53 3.40 7.45 6.85 5.64 4.83 3.93 3.29 2.91
MCO grossincome 39.11 32.33 29.85 33.45 28.60 25.58 23.19 22.00 18.85 17.63 15.88 13.57 12.24 10.09 8.65 7.62
MCO interest_expense 0.01 0.01 1.26 0.92 0.01 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.08 0.05 0.29 0.27 0.22 0.14
MCO shares 1.00 1.01 1.00 1.01 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
MCO shares_calc 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
MCO costs:ga 9.57 8.92 8.34 7.96 6.54 6.18 5.64 5.19 4.90 4.66 4.14 3.75 3.37 2.78 2.50 2.10
MCO costs:restructuring 0.33 0.48 0.62 0.0 0.27 0.32 0.26 0.31 0.06 0.06 0.54 0.23 0.27 0.22 0.05 0.07
MCO costs:sgna 9.57 8.92 8.34 7.96 6.54 6.18 5.64 5.19 4.90 4.66 4.14 3.75 3.37 2.78 2.50 2.10
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

3. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for MCO [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 424.86 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
MCO revenue 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
MCO netincome 29.05% 27.18% 25.13% 35.61% 33.09% 29.59% 29.71% 23.98% 7.63% 27.23% 30.17% 27.42% 37.51% 36.79% 35.14% 35.94%
MCO operatingincome 40.56% 36.12% 34.44% 45.74% 44.46% 41.38% 42.04% 43.31% 18.03% 42.27% 43.16% 41.53% 39.46% 38.94% 37.99% 38.23%
MCO grossincome 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
MCO interest_expense 0.01% 0.02% 4.22% 2.75% 0.02% 0.14% 0.23% 0.17% 0.25% 0.23% 0.51% 0.37% 2.34% 2.72% 2.58% 1.86%
MCO shares 2.57% 3.11% 3.37% 3.01% 3.48% 3.91% 4.30% 4.54% 5.33% 5.74% 6.30% 7.37% 8.17% 9.91% 11.56% 13.13%
MCO shares_calc 2.56% 3.09% 3.35% 2.99% 3.50% 3.91% 4.31% 4.55% 5.30% 5.67% 6.30% 7.37% 8.17% 9.91% 11.56% 13.13%
MCO costs:ga 24.48% 27.59% 27.93% 23.80% 22.88% 24.17% 24.31% 23.57% 25.97% 26.43% 26.07% 27.66% 27.55% 27.58% 28.94% 27.54%
MCO costs:restructuring 0.83% 1.47% 2.08% 0.0 0.93% 1.24% 1.10% 1.43% 0.33% 0.34% 3.42% 1.68% 2.20% 2.15% 0.59% 0.95%
MCO costs:sgna 24.48% 27.59% 27.93% 23.80% 22.88% 24.17% 24.31% 23.57% 25.97% 26.43% 26.07% 27.66% 27.55% 27.58% 28.94% 27.54%
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)


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