MCO is OVERVALUED SecDiverAI Median Fair Price 333.4 Confidence: MEDIUM Fair Price Range 198.35 - 432.63
1 Year Price target: $ 319.3 - $ 384.94
3 Year Price target: $ 292.86 - $ 513.17
Current Market Price: 468.87 as of 2025-03-24
Investment Value of 100 $ invested in MCO as compared to Market Index: SPY across historical periods[*does not include dividends]
Investment Period
$ Value Today(MCO)
$ Value Today(SPY)
CAGR vs Market
9 years before
$ 512.89
$ 208.39
19.92% vs SPY:8.5%
5 years before
$ 206.44
$ 150.37
15.6% vs SPY:8.5%
3 years before
$ 123.54
$ 127.73
7.3% vs SPY:8.5%
How we calculate our Fair Value estimates?: It's based on historical data, We measure CAGR growth rates for last 9 years, 5 years and 3 years across multiple dimensions e.g: like revenue, operating income/net income, equity, retained earnings, eps to generate a fair value estimate Note1: Valuations are purely based on operating characteristics of the business, if they have additional portfolio like minority share, they are not accounted Note2: e.g.: for Berkshire (BRK-B) - make sure to add market price of equity portfolio per share Note3: Data used for Valuation calculations are ending fiscal year , Market Price of MCO was 472.48 first week of Decemeber approx... Note4: Confidence means how many fundamental drivers, we are seeing which are driving the business, if the number is low our Confidence Rating is LOW and so on
Fair Value based on last 9 years
MCO is OVERVALUED Median Fair Price 198.35 Confidence: MEDIUM Fair Price Range 83.8 - 359.08
Fair Value based on last 5 years
MCO is OVERVALUED Median Fair Price 333.4 Confidence: MEDIUM Fair Price Range 218.07 - 843.28
Fair Value based on last 3 years
MCO is FAIRLYVALUED Median Fair Price 432.63 Confidence: MEDIUM Fair Price Range 352.98 - 490.45
Disclaimer: This is not a Buy/Sell suggestion, the data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile, We are not liable for any loss! Note: The Valuation above uses Relative Valuation method, click "How did we generate button" to learn more!
Understand the unit economics and market potential
Check why Customers love it? is it a low-cost producer and provide quality products
Do a Customer study: by asking - Can you imagine doing your job without the Company Products? How is the Competition products?
Ask Customers - Why is it better than other products in the market
The Business needs to provide value to Customers at the end of day by improving productivity(save time) and scaling the user to do more and be cheap
The most important: Does the current management have Skin in the Game, if stock drops will they be impacted, if no: run away from the Stock: MCO
Business Checklist for MCO from SecDiver AIbetaFree for Limited Time
Want to see more such checks or Customize your checks, check out our plans
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, it's all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better!
Note: Most of these checks are based on BUY view, answers will depend based on your personal situation, long term view, and your intent: BUY, HOLD or SELL
📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score10.0 / 10.0
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, its all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better! Note: Free for Limited Time
revenue cagr for last 9 years
insight: ['7.27 is greater than equal to 5']
mental_model: We prefer growing Business which grow >= 5% YoY, better than GDP growth of >= 2-3%
cashflows cagr for last 9 years
insight: ['8.0 is greater than equal to 5']
mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate cashflows >= 5% YoY, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
shares outstanding cagr for last 9 years
insight: ['-1.48 is less than equal to 2']
mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful
sbc average for last 3 years
insight: ['0.09 is less than equal to 0.1']
mental_model: We prefer Business which has lower sbc % wrt cashflow operating
Business Durability beta
🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score10.0 / 10.0
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, its all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better! Note: Free for Limited Time
margin cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.35 wrt mean ratio: 0.321']
Business Trends last 3 years beta
Score0.0 / 10.0
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, its all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better! Note: Free for Limited Time
capex running_sum for last 3 years
insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.05 wrt mean ratio: 0.028']
Profits Matter beta
💰 Companies needs to have positive profits to reward its shareholders in the long term
Score10.0 / 10.0
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, its all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better! Note: Free for Limited Time
positive cashflows profits average for last 3 years
insight: ['2154333333.33 is greater than equal to 0']
mental_model: We want to see positive cashflows profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term
Capital Allocation beta
🧠 Remember: Shareholders only gets rewarded if management does prudent capital allocation decisions
Score6.0 / 10.0
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, its all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better! Note: Free for Limited Time
capex to Cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.13 wrt mean ratio: 0.081']
depreciation to capex running_sum for last 3 years
insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 1.3 wrt mean ratio: 1.582']
mental_model: Helps understand where the company is investing for the future, OR it has to replenish its assets to maintain business
stock based compensation to Cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 0.09 wrt mean ratio: 0.086']
dividend distribution to Cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: -0.26 wrt mean ratio: -0.244']
shares_buyback distribution of Cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: -0.04 wrt mean ratio: -0.046']
Business Performance beta
Score10.0 / 10.0
Disclaimer: Do your due diligence, This checks does not mean, its all good to Invest, It depends on many factors like sector, industry; this means you should spend time reading Annual Statements and Understand the Business Better! Note: Free for Limited Time
Operating Leverage Cashflow cagr for last 9 years
insight: ['Ratio is [1.1] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 8.0, value_2: 7.27']
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We do NOT feel in CONTROL in the markets. Do we know why?
1. Showing CASHFLOW_SUMMARY report for MCO [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 468.87 as of 2025-03-24
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker
Entry
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
MCO
revenue
7.09B
5.92B
5.47B
6.22B
5.37B
4.83B
4.44B
4.20B
3.60B
3.48B
3.33B
2.97B
2.73B
2.28B
2.03B
1.80B
MCO
cashflow::operating
2.84B
2.15B
1.47B
2.00B
2.15B
1.68B
1.46B
0.76B
1.26B
1.20B
1.02B
0.93B
0.82B
0.80B
0.65B
0.64B
MCO
shares
0.18B
0.18B
0.18B
0.19B
0.19B
0.19B
0.19B
0.19B
0.19B
0.20B
0.21B
0.22B
0.22B
0.23B
0.23B
0.24B
MCO
shares_calc
0.18B
0.18B
0.18B
0.19B
0.19B
0.19B
0.19B
0.19B
0.19B
0.20B
0.21B
0.22B
0.22B
0.23B
0.23B
0.24B
MCO
sbc
0.22B
0.19B
0.17B
0.17B
0.15B
0.14B
0.13B
0.12B
0.10B
0.09B
0.08B
0.07B
0.06B
0.06B
0.06B
0.06B
MCO
capex
0.32B
0.27B
0.28B
0.14B
0.10B
0.07B
0.09B
0.09B
0.12B
0.09B
0.07B
0.04B
0.04B
0.07B
0.08B
0.09B
MCO
depreciation
0.43B
0.37B
0.33B
0.26B
0.22B
0.20B
0.19B
0.16B
0.13B
0.11B
0.10B
0.09B
0.09B
0.08B
0.07B
0.06B
MCO
margin_cfo
40.04%
36.36%
26.96%
32.25%
39.96%
34.69%
32.88%
17.96%
34.93%
34.38%
30.55%
31.18%
30.15%
35.21%
32.14%
35.78%
MCO
shares_buyback
-0.09B
-0.07B
-0.09B
-0.08B
-0.10B
-0.08B
-0.06B
-0.05B
-0.04B
-0.06B
-0.05B
-0.03B
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
MCO
dividends
-0.62B
-0.56B
-0.52B
-0.46B
-0.42B
-0.38B
-0.34B
-0.29B
-0.29B
-0.27B
-0.24B
-0.20B
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
General notes: Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
2. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for MCO [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 468.87 as of 2025-03-24
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker
Entry
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
MCO
revenue
39.11
32.33
29.85
33.45
28.60
25.58
23.19
22.00
18.85
17.63
15.88
13.57
12.24
10.09
8.65
7.62
MCO
cashflow::operating
15.66
11.75
8.05
10.79
11.43
8.87
7.62
3.95
6.58
6.06
4.85
4.23
3.69
3.55
2.78
2.72
MCO
shares
1.00
1.01
1.00
1.01
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.01
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
MCO
shares_calc
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
MCO
sbc
1.21
1.05
0.92
0.94
0.82
0.72
0.68
0.64
0.51
0.44
0.38
0.31
0.29
0.25
0.24
0.24
MCO
capex
1.75
1.48
1.54
0.75
0.55
0.37
0.47
0.47
0.60
0.45
0.36
0.19
0.20
0.30
0.34
0.38
MCO
depreciation
2.38
2.04
1.81
1.38
1.17
1.06
1.00
0.83
0.66
0.57
0.46
0.43
0.42
0.35
0.28
0.27
MCO
shares_buyback
-0.50
-0.39
-0.47
-0.45
-0.55
-0.41
-0.32
-0.26
-0.23
-0.30
-0.24
-0.14
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
MCO
dividends
-3.42
-3.08
-2.81
-2.49
-2.24
-2.00
-1.76
-1.52
-1.49
-1.38
-1.12
-0.90
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
General notes: Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
3. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for MCO [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 468.87 as of 2025-03-24
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker
Entry
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
MCO
revenue
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
MCO
cashflow::operating
40.04%
36.36%
26.96%
32.25%
39.96%
34.69%
32.88%
17.96%
34.93%
34.38%
30.55%
31.18%
30.15%
35.21%
32.14%
35.78%
MCO
shares
2.57%
3.11%
3.37%
3.01%
3.48%
3.91%
4.30%
4.54%
5.33%
5.74%
6.30%
7.37%
8.17%
9.91%
11.56%
13.13%
MCO
shares_calc
2.56%
3.09%
3.35%
2.99%
3.50%
3.91%
4.31%
4.55%
5.30%
5.67%
6.30%
7.37%
8.17%
9.91%
11.56%
13.13%
MCO
sbc
3.10%
3.26%
3.09%
2.81%
2.87%
2.82%
2.93%
2.93%
2.72%
2.50%
2.41%
2.26%
2.36%
2.46%
2.76%
3.17%
MCO
capex
4.47%
4.58%
5.18%
2.24%
1.92%
1.43%
2.03%
2.16%
3.20%
2.55%
2.24%
1.42%
1.65%
2.97%
3.89%
5.05%
MCO
depreciation
6.08%
6.30%
6.05%
4.13%
4.10%
4.14%
4.32%
3.76%
3.50%
3.24%
2.87%
3.14%
3.42%
3.46%
3.25%
3.56%
MCO
shares_buyback
-1.28%
-1.20%
-1.59%
-1.33%
-1.94%
-1.59%
-1.40%
-1.16%
-1.23%
-1.71%
-1.54%
-1.04%
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
MCO
dividends
-8.75%
-9.53%
-9.42%
-7.45%
-7.82%
-7.83%
-7.58%
-6.90%
-7.91%
-7.81%
-7.08%
-6.64%
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
General notes: Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
1. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for MCO [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 468.87 as of 2025-03-24
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker
Entry
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
MCO
revenue
39.11
32.33
29.85
33.45
28.60
25.58
23.19
22.00
18.85
17.63
15.88
13.57
12.24
10.09
8.65
7.62
MCO
cashflow::operating
15.66
11.75
8.05
10.79
11.43
8.87
7.62
3.95
6.58
6.06
4.85
4.23
3.69
3.55
2.78
2.72
MCO
shares
1.00
1.01
1.00
1.01
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.01
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
MCO
shares_calc
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
MCO
sbc
1.21
1.05
0.92
0.94
0.82
0.72
0.68
0.64
0.51
0.44
0.38
0.31
0.29
0.25
0.24
0.24
MCO
capex
1.75
1.48
1.54
0.75
0.55
0.37
0.47
0.47
0.60
0.45
0.36
0.19
0.20
0.30
0.34
0.38
MCO
depreciation
2.38
2.04
1.81
1.38
1.17
1.06
1.00
0.83
0.66
0.57
0.46
0.43
0.42
0.35
0.28
0.27
MCO
shares_buyback
-0.50
-0.39
-0.47
-0.45
-0.55
-0.41
-0.32
-0.26
-0.23
-0.30
-0.24
-0.14
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
MCO
dividends
-3.42
-3.08
-2.81
-2.49
-2.24
-2.00
-1.76
-1.52
-1.49
-1.38
-1.12
-0.90
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
General notes: Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
1. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for MCO [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 468.87 as of 2025-03-24
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker
Entry
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
MCO
revenue
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
MCO
cashflow::operating
40.04%
36.36%
26.96%
32.25%
39.96%
34.69%
32.88%
17.96%
34.93%
34.38%
30.55%
31.18%
30.15%
35.21%
32.14%
35.78%
MCO
shares
2.57%
3.11%
3.37%
3.01%
3.48%
3.91%
4.30%
4.54%
5.33%
5.74%
6.30%
7.37%
8.17%
9.91%
11.56%
13.13%
MCO
shares_calc
2.56%
3.09%
3.35%
2.99%
3.50%
3.91%
4.31%
4.55%
5.30%
5.67%
6.30%
7.37%
8.17%
9.91%
11.56%
13.13%
MCO
sbc
3.10%
3.26%
3.09%
2.81%
2.87%
2.82%
2.93%
2.93%
2.72%
2.50%
2.41%
2.26%
2.36%
2.46%
2.76%
3.17%
MCO
capex
4.47%
4.58%
5.18%
2.24%
1.92%
1.43%
2.03%
2.16%
3.20%
2.55%
2.24%
1.42%
1.65%
2.97%
3.89%
5.05%
MCO
depreciation
6.08%
6.30%
6.05%
4.13%
4.10%
4.14%
4.32%
3.76%
3.50%
3.24%
2.87%
3.14%
3.42%
3.46%
3.25%
3.56%
MCO
shares_buyback
-1.28%
-1.20%
-1.59%
-1.33%
-1.94%
-1.59%
-1.40%
-1.16%
-1.23%
-1.71%
-1.54%
-1.04%
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
MCO
dividends
-8.75%
-9.53%
-9.42%
-7.45%
-7.82%
-7.83%
-7.58%
-6.90%
-7.91%
-7.81%
-7.08%
-6.64%
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
General notes: Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)
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