NFLX is UNDERVALUED SecDiverAI
Median Fair Price 1121.37
Confidence: MEDIUM
Fair Price Range 1013.16 - 1212.94
1 Year Price target: $ 1379.4 - $ 1445.11
3 Year Price target: $ 2087.23 - $ 2399.96
Current Market Price: 973.03 as of 2025-04-18
Investment Value of 100 $ invested in NFLX as compared to Market Index: SPY across historical periods[*does not include dividends]
Investment Period $ Value Today(NFLX) $ Value Today(SPY) CAGR vs Market
9 years before $ 850.99 $ 208.39 26.86% vs SPY:8.5%
5 years before $ 300.69 $ 150.37 24.63% vs SPY:8.5%
3 years before $ 161.52 $ 127.73 17.33% vs SPY:8.5%
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We have 4 report results for ticker: NFLX - Netflix, Inc., also organized by 4 group tags below ... Bargain Finder: Related Companies Portfolio Health: Related Companies

Business Checklist for NFLX from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time

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Red Flags Identified


11

Total Checks Done


28

Wall Street Drivers beta

📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score 8.0 / 10.0

  • revenue cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['22.78 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which grow >= 5% YoY, better than GDP growth of >= 2-3%
  • cashflows cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['56.12 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate cashflows >= 5% YoY, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
  • shares outstanding cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['0.48 is less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful
  • debt cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['38.78 is NOT less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business with lower debt growth
  • equity cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['32.34 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business having shareholder equity growth >= 5% YoY
  • leverage average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['3.53 is less than equal to 5', '3.53 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business which can pay their debts in less than 5 years using cashflows, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
  • roe_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['27.85 is greater than equal to 10']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on equity >= 10%
  • roce_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['14.05 is NOT greater than equal to 15']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on capital >= 15%
  • roic_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['388.97 is greater than equal to 15']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on invested capital >= 15%

Business Durability beta

🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • margin cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.16 wrt mean ratio: -0.006']
  • cash average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 6689607333.33 wrt mean ratio: 3388595102.565']
  • mental_model: We want stability on cash growth
  • roa_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 11.54 wrt mean ratio: 4.638']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on assets
  • roe_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 27.85 wrt mean ratio: 15.202']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on equity
  • roce_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 14.05 wrt mean ratio: 7.803']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on capital employed
  • roic_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 388.97 wrt mean ratio: -162.946']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on invested capital

Business Trends last 3 years beta

Score 0.0 / 10.0

  • payables running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.02 wrt mean ratio: 0.029']
  • mental_model: the more this is the better, nothing bad about it.
  • cash running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.19 wrt mean ratio: 0.202']
  • mental_model: cash trend should be similar or greater to revenue, if company is heavily reinvesting it might be OK, but do check

Profits Matter beta

💰 Companies needs to have positive profits to reward its shareholders in the long term
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • positive cashflows profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['5553974000.0 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive cashflows profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term

Capital Allocation beta

🧠 Remember: Shareholders only gets rewarded if management does prudent capital allocation decisions
Score 0.0 / 10.0

  • cashToRevenue running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.19 wrt mean ratio: 0.202']
  • cashToEquity running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.3 wrt mean ratio: 0.565']

Business Performance beta

Score 2.0 / 10.0

  • Operating Leverage Cashflow cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [2.46] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 56.12, value_2: 22.78']
  • debt cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [1.7] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 1, value_1: 38.78, value_2: 22.78']
  • cash cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [0.69] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 22.46, value_2: 32.34']
  • debt-equity-cagr cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [1.2] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 1, value_1: 38.78, value_2: 32.34']
  • mental_model: We want debt to grow less than equity

Balance Sheet Quality beta

📈 Quality companies can withstand darkest hours, strong balance sheet is the key
Score 7.0 / 10.0

  • debtToCashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 3.53 wrt mean ratio: -52.545']
  • debtToEquity running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.89 wrt mean ratio: 1.09']
  • leverage average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['3.53 is less than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business which can pay their debts in less than 5 years

Taxes, Interest and Unearned beta

📈Note: this is a new one, so do not use this for now, we are looking at data
Score 0.0 / 10.0

  • unearned_revenue_balancesheet running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.04 wrt mean ratio: 0.047']

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We do NOT feel in CONTROL in the markets. Do we know why?

1. Showing BALANCE_SUMMARY report for NFLX [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 973.03 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
NFLX StockMarketPrice 891.32 486.88 294.88 602.44 540.73 323.57 267.66 191.96 123.80 114.38 48.80 52.60 13.23 9.90
NFLX revenue 39.00B 33.72B 31.62B 29.70B 25.00B 20.16B 15.79B 11.69B 8.83B 6.78B 5.50B 4.37B 3.61B 3.20B 2.16B 1.67B
NFLX assets 53.63B 48.73B 48.59B 44.58B 39.28B 33.98B 25.97B 19.01B 13.59B 10.20B 7.06B 5.41B 3.97B 3.07B 0.98B 0.0
NFLX cash 7.80B 7.12B 5.15B 6.03B 8.21B 5.02B 3.79B 2.82B 1.47B 1.81B 1.11B 0.60B 0.29B 0.51B 0.19B 0.0
NFLX cashflow::operating 7.36B 7.27B 2.03B 0.39B 2.43B -2.89B -2.68B -1.79B -1.47B -0.75B 0.02B 0.10B 0.02B 0.32B 0.28B 0.33B
NFLX equity 24.74B 20.59B 20.78B 15.85B 11.07B 7.58B 5.24B 3.58B 2.68B 2.22B 1.86B 1.33B 0.74B 0.64B 0.29B 0.0
NFLX debt 15.58B 14.54B 28.71B 15.39B 16.31B 14.76B 10.36B 6.50B 3.36B 2.37B 0.90B 0.50B 0.20B 0.20B 0.20B 0.0
NFLX shares 0.44B 0.45B 0.45B 0.46B 0.44B 0.44B 0.44B 0.43B 0.43B 0.43B 0.42B 0.41B 0.06B 0.05B 0.05B 0.06B
NFLX shares_calc 0.43B 0.44B 0.45B 0.44B 0.44B 0.44B 0.44B 0.43B 0.43B 0.43B 0.42B 0.41B 0.41B 0.39B 0.39B 0.42B
NFLX inventory inf inf inf inf inf inf 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
NFLX payables 0.90B 0.75B 0.67B 0.84B 0.66B 0.67B 0.56B 0.36B 0.31B 0.25B 0.20B 0.11B 0.09B 0.09B 0.0 0.0
NFLX receivables inf inf inf inf inf inf 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
NFLX roa_cfo 15.11% 14.97% 4.54% 1.00% 7.14% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.30% 2.47% 0.74% 32.35% 0.0 0.0
NFLX roe_cfo 35.76% 35.01% 12.78% 3.55% 32.01% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.24% 13.14% 3.54% 109.49% 0.0 0.0
NFLX roce_cfo 20.95% 14.70% 6.49% 1.43% 10.86% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.90% 10.36% 2.70% 64.82% 0.0 0.0
NFLX roic_cfo 493.57% 520.24% 153.10% 40.89% 429.40% -690.28% -839.21% -713.25% -849.99% -500.04% 12.34% 74.29% 16.70% 247.11% 214.98% inf
NFLX unearned_revenue_balancesheet 1.52B 1.44B 1.26B 1.21B 1.12B 0.92B 0.76B 0.62B 0.44B 0.35B 0.27B 0.22B 0.17B 0.15B 0.13B 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

2. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for NFLX [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 973.03 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
NFLX StockMarketPrice
NFLX revenue 91.24 77.05 71.04 67.05 56.58 45.99 36.22 26.90 20.58 15.86 13.09 10.74 8.86 8.26 5.61 4.02
NFLX assets 125.46 111.34 109.20 100.65 88.91 77.53 59.56 43.74 31.66 23.87 16.78 13.29 9.74 7.92 2.55 0.0
NFLX cash 18.26 16.26 11.57 13.61 18.57 11.45 8.70 6.49 3.42 4.23 2.65 1.48 0.71 1.31 0.50 0.0
NFLX cashflow::operating 17.22 16.62 4.55 0.89 5.49 -6.59 -6.15 -4.11 -3.43 -1.75 0.04 0.24 0.06 0.82 0.72 0.78
NFLX equity 57.89 47.04 46.69 35.78 25.05 17.30 12.01 8.24 6.24 5.20 4.42 3.27 1.83 1.66 0.75 0.0
NFLX debt 36.45 33.23 64.51 34.75 36.92 33.68 23.76 14.95 7.84 5.55 2.14 1.23 0.49 0.52 0.52 0.0
NFLX shares 1.03 1.03 1.01 1.03 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14
NFLX shares_calc 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
NFLX inventory 0.23 0.23 0.22 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
NFLX payables 2.11 1.71 1.51 1.89 1.49 1.54 1.29 0.83 0.73 0.59 0.48 0.27 0.21 0.22 0.0 0.0
NFLX receivables 0.23 0.23 0.22 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
NFLX unearned_revenue_balancesheet 3.56 3.30 2.84 2.73 2.53 2.11 1.74 1.42 1.03 0.81 0.65 0.53 0.42 0.38 0.33 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

3. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for NFLX [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 973.03 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
NFLX StockMarketPrice
NFLX revenue 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
NFLX assets 137.51% 144.51% 153.71% 150.13% 157.15% 168.56% 164.45% 162.60% 153.86% 150.50% 128.19% 123.73% 109.94% 95.78% 45.41% 0.0
NFLX cash 20.01% 21.10% 16.28% 20.30% 32.83% 24.90% 24.02% 24.14% 16.62% 26.69% 20.23% 13.83% 8.04% 15.85% 8.99% 0.0
NFLX cashflow::operating 18.87% 21.57% 6.41% 1.32% 9.71% -14.32% -16.97% -15.27% -16.69% -11.05% 0.30% 2.24% 0.63% 9.91% 12.78% 19.46%
NFLX equity 63.44% 61.05% 65.72% 53.37% 44.27% 37.62% 33.17% 30.63% 30.35% 32.80% 33.75% 30.48% 20.63% 20.06% 13.42% 0.0
NFLX debt 39.95% 43.13% 90.80% 51.83% 65.25% 73.22% 65.59% 55.59% 38.10% 34.98% 16.35% 11.43% 5.54% 6.24% 9.25% 0.0
NFLX shares 1.13% 1.33% 1.43% 1.53% 1.76% 2.17% 2.76% 3.69% 4.86% 6.28% 7.64% 9.31% 1.54% 1.65% 2.43% 3.39%
NFLX shares_calc 1.10% 1.30% 1.41% 1.49% 1.77% 2.17% 2.76% 3.72% 4.86% 6.30% 7.64% 9.31% 11.29% 12.10% 17.82% 24.85%
NFLX inventory 0.26% 0.30% 0.32% 0.34% 0.40% 0.50% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
NFLX payables 2.31% 2.22% 2.12% 2.82% 2.63% 3.35% 3.56% 3.08% 3.54% 3.74% 3.66% 2.48% 2.40% 2.71% 0.0 0.0
NFLX receivables 0.26% 0.30% 0.32% 0.34% 0.40% 0.50% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
NFLX unearned_revenue_balancesheet 3.90% 4.28% 4.00% 4.07% 4.47% 4.59% 4.82% 5.29% 5.02% 5.11% 4.99% 4.93% 4.70% 4.64% 5.88% 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

4. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to assets for NFLX [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 973.03 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
NFLX StockMarketPrice
NFLX revenue 72.72% 69.20% 65.06% 66.61% 63.63% 59.33% 60.81% 61.50% 65.00% 66.45% 78.01% 80.82% 90.96% 104.41% 220.21%
NFLX assets 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
NFLX cash 14.55% 14.60% 10.59% 13.52% 20.89% 14.77% 14.61% 14.85% 10.80% 17.73% 15.78% 11.18% 7.32% 16.55% 19.81%
NFLX cashflow::operating 13.73% 14.93% 4.17% 0.88% 6.18% -8.50% -10.32% -9.39% -10.85% -7.35% 0.23% 1.81% 0.57% 10.35% 28.14%
NFLX equity 46.14% 42.25% 42.76% 35.55% 28.17% 22.32% 20.17% 18.84% 19.72% 21.79% 26.33% 24.64% 18.77% 20.94% 29.55%
NFLX debt 29.06% 29.84% 59.07% 34.53% 41.52% 43.44% 39.89% 34.18% 24.76% 23.24% 12.75% 9.24% 5.04% 6.52% 20.37%
NFLX shares 0.82% 0.92% 0.93% 1.02% 1.12% 1.29% 1.68% 2.27% 3.16% 4.17% 5.96% 7.53% 1.40% 1.72% 5.35%
NFLX shares_calc 0.80% 0.90% 0.92% 0.99% 1.12% 1.29% 1.68% 2.29% 3.16% 4.19% 5.96% 7.53% 10.27% 12.63% 39.25%
NFLX inventory 0.19% 0.21% 0.21% 0.22% 0.25% 0.29% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
NFLX payables 1.68% 1.53% 1.38% 1.88% 1.67% 1.98% 2.17% 1.89% 2.30% 2.48% 2.86% 2.00% 2.18% 2.83% 0.0
NFLX receivables 0.19% 0.21% 0.21% 0.22% 0.25% 0.29% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
NFLX unearned_revenue_balancesheet 2.84% 2.96% 2.60% 2.71% 2.85% 2.72% 2.93% 3.25% 3.26% 3.40% 3.89% 3.99% 4.27% 4.85% 12.95%
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)


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