NFLX is UNDERVALUED SecDiverAI
Median Fair Price 1121.37
Confidence: MEDIUM
Fair Price Range 1013.16 - 1212.94
1 Year Price target: $ 1379.4 - $ 1445.11
3 Year Price target: $ 2087.23 - $ 2399.96
Current Market Price: 973.03 as of 2025-04-18
Investment Value of 100 $ invested in NFLX as compared to Market Index: SPY across historical periods[*does not include dividends]
Investment Period $ Value Today(NFLX) $ Value Today(SPY) CAGR vs Market
9 years before $ 850.99 $ 208.39 26.86% vs SPY:8.5%
5 years before $ 300.69 $ 150.37 24.63% vs SPY:8.5%
3 years before $ 161.52 $ 127.73 17.33% vs SPY:8.5%
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We have 3 report results for ticker: NFLX - Netflix, Inc., also organized by 3 group tags below ... Bargain Finder: Related Companies Portfolio Health: Related Companies

Business Checklist for NFLX from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time

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Red Flags Identified


0

Total Checks Done


10

Wall Street Drivers beta

📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • revenue cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['22.78 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which grow >= 5% YoY, better than GDP growth of >= 2-3%
  • operating profits cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['42.67 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate operating profits >= 5% YoY
  • shares outstanding cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['0.48 is less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful
  • net profits cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['50.31 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate net profits >= 5% YoY

Business Durability beta

🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • margin operating running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.22 wrt mean ratio: 0.114']
  • margin net running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.18 wrt mean ratio: 0.079']

Business Trends last 3 years beta

Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • sales and marketing running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.08 wrt mean ratio: 0.114']
  • mental_model: Sales are marketing increases specially if its a Sales led growth Be Careful, With time you want Organic Growth and Customer Retention

Profits Matter beta

💰 Companies needs to have positive profits to reward its shareholders in the long term
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • positive operating profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['7668149333.33 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive operating profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term
  • positive net profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['6203848333.33 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive net profits for last 3 years, GAAP net Profits determine Stock prices in the long term

Business Performance beta

Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • Operating Leverage cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [1.87] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 42.67, value_2: 22.78']

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1. Showing INCOME_SUMMARY report for NFLX [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 973.03 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
NFLX revenue 39.00B 33.72B 31.62B 29.70B 25.00B 20.16B 15.79B 11.69B 8.83B 6.78B 5.50B 4.37B 3.61B 3.20B 2.16B 1.67B
NFLX netincome 8.71B 5.41B 4.49B 5.12B 2.76B 1.87B 1.21B 0.56B 0.19B 0.12B 0.27B 0.11B 0.02B 0.23B 0.16B 0.12B
NFLX operatingincome 10.42B 6.95B 5.63B 6.19B 4.59B 2.60B 1.61B 0.84B 0.38B 0.31B 0.40B 0.23B 0.05B 0.38B 0.28B 0.19B
NFLX grossincome 17.96B 14.01B 12.45B 12.37B 9.72B 7.72B 5.83B 3.66B 2.57B 2.19B 1.75B 1.26B 0.96B 1.16B 0.81B 0.59B
NFLX interest_expense 0.72B 0.70B 0.71B 0.77B 0.77B 0.63B 0.42B 0.24B 0.15B 0.13B 0.05B 0.03B 0.02B 0.02B 0.02B 0.01B
NFLX shares 0.44B 0.45B 0.45B 0.46B 0.44B 0.44B 0.44B 0.43B 0.43B 0.43B 0.42B 0.41B 0.06B 0.05B 0.05B 0.06B
NFLX shares_calc 0.43B 0.44B 0.45B 0.44B 0.44B 0.44B 0.44B 0.43B 0.43B 0.43B 0.42B 0.41B 0.41B 0.39B 0.39B 0.42B
NFLX margin_gross 46.06% 41.54% 39.37% 41.64% 38.89% 38.28% 36.89% 31.30% 29.14% 32.27% 31.83% 28.74% 26.52% 36.34% 37.24% 35.38%
NFLX margin_op 26.71% 20.62% 17.82% 20.86% 18.34% 12.92% 10.16% 7.17% 4.30% 4.51% 7.31% 5.22% 1.39% 11.74% 13.12% 11.49%
NFLX margin_net 22.34% 16.04% 14.21% 17.23% 11.05% 9.26% 7.67% 4.78% 2.11% 1.81% 4.85% 2.57% 0.48% 7.06% 7.44% 6.94%
NFLX costs:ga 1.70B 1.72B 1.57B 1.35B 1.08B 0.91B 0.63B 0.86B 0.58B 0.41B 0.27B 0.18B 0.14B 0.15B 0.06B 0.05B
NFLX costs:sm 2.92B 2.66B 2.53B 2.55B 2.23B 2.65B 2.37B 1.44B 1.10B 0.82B 0.61B 0.50B 0.48B 0.40B 0.29B 0.24B
NFLX costs:sgna 1.70B 1.72B 1.57B 1.35B 1.08B 0.91B 0.63B 0.86B 0.58B 0.41B 0.27B 0.18B 0.14B 0.15B 0.06B 0.05B
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

2. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for NFLX [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 973.03 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
NFLX revenue 91.24 77.05 71.04 67.05 56.58 45.99 36.22 26.90 20.58 15.86 13.09 10.74 8.86 8.26 5.61 4.02
NFLX netincome 20.38 12.36 10.09 11.55 6.25 4.26 2.78 1.29 0.43 0.29 0.63 0.28 0.04 0.58 0.42 0.28
NFLX operatingincome 24.37 15.89 12.66 13.98 10.38 5.94 3.68 1.93 0.88 0.72 0.96 0.56 0.12 0.97 0.74 0.46
NFLX grossincome 42.02 32.00 27.97 27.92 22.00 17.61 13.36 8.42 6.00 5.12 4.17 3.09 2.35 3.00 2.09 1.42
NFLX interest_expense 1.68 1.60 1.59 1.73 1.74 1.43 0.96 0.55 0.35 0.31 0.12 0.07 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.02
NFLX shares 1.03 1.03 1.01 1.03 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14
NFLX shares_calc 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
NFLX costs:ga 3.98 3.93 3.53 3.05 2.44 2.09 1.45 1.99 1.35 0.95 0.64 0.44 0.34 0.38 0.17 0.11
NFLX costs:sm 6.83 6.07 5.69 5.75 5.04 6.05 5.43 3.30 2.56 1.93 1.44 1.24 1.19 1.04 0.76 0.57
NFLX costs:sgna 3.98 3.93 3.53 3.05 2.44 2.09 1.45 1.99 1.35 0.95 0.64 0.44 0.34 0.38 0.17 0.11
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

3. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for NFLX [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 973.03 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
NFLX revenue 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
NFLX netincome 22.34% 16.04% 14.21% 17.23% 11.05% 9.26% 7.67% 4.78% 2.11% 1.81% 4.85% 2.57% 0.48% 7.06% 7.44% 6.94%
NFLX operatingincome 26.71% 20.62% 17.82% 20.86% 18.34% 12.92% 10.16% 7.17% 4.30% 4.51% 7.31% 5.22% 1.39% 11.74% 13.12% 11.49%
NFLX grossincome 46.06% 41.54% 39.37% 41.64% 38.89% 38.28% 36.89% 31.30% 29.14% 32.27% 31.83% 28.74% 26.52% 36.34% 37.24% 35.38%
NFLX interest_expense 1.84% 2.08% 2.23% 2.58% 3.07% 3.11% 2.66% 2.04% 1.70% 1.96% 0.91% 0.67% 0.55% 0.62% 0.91% 0.39%
NFLX shares 1.13% 1.33% 1.43% 1.53% 1.76% 2.17% 2.76% 3.69% 4.86% 6.28% 7.64% 9.31% 1.54% 1.65% 2.43% 3.39%
NFLX shares_calc 1.10% 1.30% 1.41% 1.49% 1.77% 2.17% 2.76% 3.72% 4.86% 6.30% 7.64% 9.31% 11.29% 12.10% 17.82% 24.85%
NFLX costs:ga 4.36% 5.10% 4.98% 4.55% 4.31% 4.54% 3.99% 7.39% 6.54% 6.01% 4.90% 4.12% 3.85% 4.63% 2.98% 2.80%
NFLX costs:sm 7.48% 7.88% 8.00% 8.57% 8.91% 13.16% 15.00% 12.28% 12.43% 12.16% 11.03% 11.52% 13.43% 12.56% 13.59% 14.23%
NFLX costs:sgna 4.36% 5.10% 4.98% 4.55% 4.31% 4.54% 3.99% 7.39% 6.54% 6.01% 4.90% 4.12% 3.85% 4.63% 2.98% 2.80%
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)


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