AMAT is FAIRLYVALUED SecDiverAI
Median Fair Price 134.44
Confidence: MEDIUM
Fair Price Range 59.53 - 186.4
1 Year Price target: $ 128.79 - $ 169.45
3 Year Price target: $ 118.2 - $ 269.19
Current Market Price: 137.46 as of 2025-04-18
Investment Value of 100 $ invested in AMAT as compared to Market Index: SPY across historical periods[*does not include dividends]
Investment Period $ Value Today(AMAT) $ Value Today(SPY) CAGR vs Market
9 years before $ 820.69 $ 208.39 26.35% vs SPY:8.5%
5 years before $ 236.54 $ 150.37 18.79% vs SPY:8.5%
3 years before $ 89.89 $ 127.73 -3.49% vs SPY:8.5%
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We have 4 report results for ticker: AMAT - Applied Materials, Inc., also organized by 4 group tags below ... Bargain Finder: Related Companies Portfolio Health: Related Companies

Business Checklist for AMAT from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time

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Red Flags Identified


10

Total Checks Done


30

Wall Street Drivers beta

📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score 9.0 / 10.0

  • revenue cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['13.18 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which grow >= 5% YoY, better than GDP growth of >= 2-3%
  • cashflows cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['23.76 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate cashflows >= 5% YoY, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
  • shares outstanding cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['-4.01 is less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful
  • debt cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['13.57 is NOT less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business with lower debt growth
  • equity cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['8.46 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business having shareholder equity growth >= 5% YoY
  • leverage average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['1.0 is less than equal to 5', '1.0 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business which can pay their debts in less than 5 years using cashflows, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
  • roe_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['56.17 is greater than equal to 10']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on equity >= 10%
  • roce_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['35.92 is greater than equal to 15']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on capital >= 15%
  • roic_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['85.82 is greater than equal to 15']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on invested capital >= 15%

Business Durability beta

🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • margin cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.29 wrt mean ratio: 0.215']
  • cash average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 5383000000.0 wrt mean ratio: 3876055555.556']
  • mental_model: We want stability on cash growth
  • roa_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 27.23 wrt mean ratio: 18.957']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on assets
  • roe_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 56.17 wrt mean ratio: 41.584']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on equity
  • roce_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 35.92 wrt mean ratio: 27.215']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on capital employed
  • roic_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 85.82 wrt mean ratio: 83.088']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on invested capital

Business Trends last 3 years beta

Score 2.0 / 10.0

  • receivables running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.21 wrt mean ratio: 0.184']
  • mental_model: receivables should always grow less with revenues otherwise there might be some payment/collection issues, Watch out
  • inventory running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 0.21 wrt mean ratio: 0.201']
  • mental_model: inventory should always grow in relation with revenues, Inventory build can be positive depending on the industry cycle, but mostly it could be a CON as working capital is tied up, Be Careful
  • payables running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.17 wrt mean ratio: 0.18']
  • mental_model: the more this is the better, nothing bad about it.
  • cash running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.2 wrt mean ratio: 0.273']
  • mental_model: cash trend should be similar or greater to revenue, if company is heavily reinvesting it might be OK, but do check

Profits Matter beta

💰 Companies needs to have positive profits to reward its shareholders in the long term
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • positive cashflows profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['7592000000.0 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive cashflows profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term

Capital Allocation beta

🧠 Remember: Shareholders only gets rewarded if management does prudent capital allocation decisions
Score 0.0 / 10.0

  • cashToRevenue running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.2 wrt mean ratio: 0.273']
  • cashToEquity running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.34 wrt mean ratio: 0.42']

Business Performance beta

Score 2.0 / 10.0

  • Operating Leverage Cashflow cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [1.8] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 23.76, value_2: 13.18']
  • debt cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [1.03] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 1, value_1: 13.57, value_2: 13.18']
  • cash cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [0.63] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 5.29, value_2: 8.46']
  • debt-equity-cagr cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [1.6] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 1, value_1: 13.57, value_2: 8.46']
  • mental_model: We want debt to grow less than equity

Balance Sheet Quality beta

📈 Quality companies can withstand darkest hours, strong balance sheet is the key
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • debtToCashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 1.0 wrt mean ratio: 1.396']
  • debtToEquity running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 0.48 wrt mean ratio: 0.491']
  • leverage average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['1.0 is less than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business which can pay their debts in less than 5 years

Taxes, Interest and Unearned beta

📈Note: this is a new one, so do not use this for now, we are looking at data
Score 0.0 / 10.0

  • unearned_revenue_balancesheet running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.03 wrt mean ratio: 0.088']

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We do NOT feel in CONTROL in the markets. Do we know why?

1. Showing BALANCE_SUMMARY report for AMAT [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 137.46 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
AMAT StockMarketPrice 162.26 160.44 95.52 152.93 83.28 58.12 30.61 47.04 29.43 16.75 21.90 15.24 9.61 8.72
AMAT revenue 27.18B 26.52B 25.79B 23.06B 17.20B 14.61B 17.25B 14.70B 10.82B 9.66B 9.07B 7.51B 8.72B 10.52B 9.55B
AMAT assets 34.41B 30.73B 26.73B 25.82B 22.35B 19.02B 17.77B 19.42B 14.59B 15.31B 13.17B 12.04B 12.10B 13.86B 0.0
AMAT cash 8.02B 6.13B 2.00B 5.00B 5.35B 3.13B 3.44B 5.01B 3.41B 4.80B 3.00B 1.71B 1.39B 5.96B 0.0
AMAT cashflow::operating 8.68B 8.70B 5.40B 5.44B 3.80B 3.25B 3.79B 3.79B 2.57B 1.16B 1.80B 0.62B 1.85B 2.43B 1.72B
AMAT equity 19.00B 16.35B 12.19B 12.25B 10.58B 8.21B 6.84B 9.35B 7.22B 7.61B 7.87B 7.09B 7.24B 0.0 0.0
AMAT debt 6.26B 5.56B 10.91B 5.45B 5.45B 4.71B 5.31B 5.30B 3.14B 3.34B 1.95B 1.95B 1.95B 1.95B 0.0
AMAT shares 0.83B 0.84B 0.88B 0.92B 0.92B 0.94B 1.03B 1.08B 1.12B 1.23B 1.23B 1.22B 1.28B 1.33B 1.35B
AMAT shares_calc 0.81B 0.83B 0.84B 0.89B 0.91B 0.92B 0.96B 0.98B 1.08B 1.15B 1.23B 1.22B 1.28B 1.33B 1.35B
AMAT inventory 5.42B 5.72B 5.93B 4.31B 3.90B 3.47B 3.72B 2.93B 2.05B 1.83B 1.57B 1.41B 1.27B 0.0 0.0
AMAT payables 4.82B 4.30B 4.24B 4.27B 3.14B 2.51B 2.72B 2.45B 2.06B 1.83B 1.88B 1.65B 1.51B 0.0 0.0
AMAT receivables 5.23B 5.17B 6.07B 4.95B 2.96B 2.53B 2.56B 2.34B 2.28B 1.74B 1.67B 1.63B 1.22B 1.53B 0.0
AMAT roa_cfo 28.24% 32.55% 20.91% 24.35% 20.00% 18.27% 19.50% 25.97% 16.76% 8.83% 14.95% 5.15% 13.35% 0.0 0.0
AMAT roe_cfo 53.07% 71.35% 44.08% 51.45% 46.31% 47.44% 40.51% 52.50% 33.71% 14.78% 25.40% 8.61% 0.0 0.0 0.0
AMAT roce_cfo 39.60% 37.65% 30.50% 33.96% 29.43% 26.72% 25.84% 36.57% 23.42% 11.85% 19.92% 6.79% 0.0 0.0 0.0
AMAT roic_cfo 93.14% 86.40% 77.93% 102.04% 75.70% 65.29% 97.50% 118.04% 97.53% 52.51% 80.11% 32.93% 83.98% 158.55% inf
AMAT goodwill 3.73B 3.73B 3.70B 3.48B 3.47B 3.40B 3.37B 3.37B 3.32B 3.30B 3.30B 3.29B 3.52B 0.0 0.0
AMAT unearned_revenue_balancesheet 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.35B 1.67B 1.38B 0.77B 0.94B 0.79B 0.76B 1.12B 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

2. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for AMAT [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 137.46 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
AMAT StockMarketPrice
AMAT revenue 33.40 31.91 30.55 25.96 18.81 15.96 18.00 14.95 10.06 8.41 7.37 6.16 6.83 7.91 7.08
AMAT assets 42.29 36.98 31.66 29.07 24.45 20.78 18.54 19.76 13.55 13.32 10.70 9.88 9.48 10.42 0.0
AMAT cash 9.86 7.38 2.36 5.62 5.85 3.42 3.59 5.10 3.16 4.17 2.44 1.40 1.09 4.48 0.0
AMAT cashflow::operating 10.66 10.47 6.40 6.12 4.16 3.55 3.95 3.85 2.38 1.01 1.46 0.51 1.45 1.83 1.28
AMAT equity 23.35 19.67 14.45 13.78 11.57 8.97 7.14 9.51 6.70 6.63 6.39 5.81 5.67 0.0 0.0
AMAT debt 7.69 6.69 12.93 6.14 5.96 5.15 5.54 5.40 2.92 2.91 1.58 1.60 1.52 1.46 0.0
AMAT shares 1.02 1.02 1.04 1.03 1.01 1.03 1.07 1.10 1.04 1.07 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
AMAT shares_calc 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
AMAT inventory 6.66 6.89 7.03 4.85 4.27 3.80 3.88 2.98 1.90 1.60 1.27 1.16 1.00 0.0 0.0
AMAT payables 5.92 5.17 5.02 4.80 3.43 2.74 2.84 2.49 1.91 1.60 1.53 1.35 1.18 0.0 0.0
AMAT receivables 6.43 6.21 7.19 5.57 3.24 2.77 2.68 2.38 2.12 1.51 1.36 1.34 0.96 1.15 0.0
AMAT goodwill 4.59 4.49 4.38 3.92 3.79 3.71 3.51 3.43 3.08 2.87 2.68 2.70 2.75 0.0 0.0
AMAT unearned_revenue_balancesheet 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.41 1.69 1.28 0.67 0.76 0.65 0.59 0.84 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

3. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for AMAT [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 137.46 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
AMAT StockMarketPrice
AMAT revenue 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
AMAT assets 126.62% 115.88% 103.65% 111.98% 129.94% 130.23% 103.01% 132.12% 134.76% 158.48% 145.22% 160.38% 138.80% 131.80% 0.0
AMAT cash 29.52% 23.12% 7.74% 21.66% 31.11% 21.42% 19.94% 34.09% 31.46% 49.66% 33.09% 22.79% 15.97% 56.67% 0.0
AMAT cashflow::operating 31.93% 32.81% 20.94% 23.60% 22.11% 22.23% 21.95% 25.78% 23.70% 12.04% 19.84% 8.30% 21.23% 23.10% 18.04%
AMAT equity 69.92% 61.65% 47.29% 53.10% 61.49% 56.23% 39.67% 63.61% 66.67% 78.82% 86.73% 94.39% 82.98% 0.0 0.0
AMAT debt 23.03% 20.97% 42.33% 23.64% 31.67% 32.26% 30.77% 36.09% 29.03% 34.60% 21.46% 25.92% 22.32% 18.51% 0.0
AMAT shares 3.07% 3.19% 3.40% 3.98% 5.37% 6.47% 5.95% 7.38% 10.31% 12.69% 13.57% 16.23% 14.65% 12.65% 14.13%
AMAT shares_calc 2.99% 3.13% 3.27% 3.85% 5.32% 6.27% 5.56% 6.69% 9.95% 11.90% 13.57% 16.23% 14.65% 12.65% 14.13%
AMAT inventory 19.95% 21.59% 23.01% 18.68% 22.70% 23.78% 21.57% 19.93% 18.94% 18.98% 17.27% 18.82% 14.59% 0.0 0.0
AMAT payables 17.74% 16.20% 16.43% 18.51% 18.24% 17.19% 15.77% 16.67% 18.99% 18.98% 20.76% 21.96% 17.32% 0.0 0.0
AMAT receivables 19.26% 19.48% 23.53% 21.48% 17.22% 17.34% 14.87% 15.91% 21.05% 18.00% 18.41% 21.75% 13.99% 14.57% 0.0
AMAT goodwill 13.73% 14.07% 14.35% 15.08% 20.15% 23.27% 19.52% 22.91% 30.63% 34.19% 36.42% 43.87% 40.35% 0.0 0.0
AMAT unearned_revenue_balancesheet 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.81% 11.33% 12.71% 7.92% 10.36% 10.57% 8.66% 10.61% 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

4. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to assets for AMAT [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 137.46 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011
AMAT StockMarketPrice
AMAT revenue 78.98% 86.29% 96.48% 89.30% 76.96% 76.79% 97.07% 75.69% 74.20% 63.10% 68.86% 62.35% 72.05% 75.87%
AMAT assets 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
AMAT cash 23.31% 19.96% 7.46% 19.34% 23.94% 16.45% 19.36% 25.80% 23.35% 31.34% 22.79% 14.21% 11.50% 43.00%
AMAT cashflow::operating 25.22% 28.31% 20.20% 21.07% 17.02% 17.07% 21.31% 19.51% 17.59% 7.60% 13.66% 5.17% 15.29% 17.52%
AMAT equity 55.22% 53.20% 45.63% 47.42% 47.32% 43.18% 38.51% 48.14% 49.47% 49.73% 59.72% 58.86% 59.78% 0.0
AMAT debt 18.19% 18.10% 40.84% 21.11% 24.37% 24.77% 29.87% 27.31% 21.55% 21.83% 14.78% 16.16% 16.08% 14.05%
AMAT shares 2.42% 2.75% 3.28% 3.56% 4.13% 4.97% 5.77% 5.58% 7.65% 8.01% 9.34% 10.12% 10.55% 9.60%
AMAT shares_calc 2.36% 2.70% 3.16% 3.44% 4.09% 4.81% 5.39% 5.06% 7.38% 7.51% 9.34% 10.12% 10.55% 9.60%
AMAT inventory 15.75% 18.63% 22.20% 16.69% 17.47% 18.26% 20.94% 15.09% 14.05% 11.97% 11.89% 11.73% 10.51% 0.0
AMAT payables 14.01% 13.98% 15.85% 16.53% 14.04% 13.20% 15.31% 12.62% 14.09% 11.97% 14.29% 13.69% 12.48% 0.0
AMAT receivables 15.21% 16.81% 22.70% 19.18% 13.26% 13.31% 14.43% 12.04% 15.62% 11.36% 12.68% 13.56% 10.08% 11.05%
AMAT goodwill 10.85% 12.14% 13.84% 13.47% 15.51% 17.87% 18.95% 17.34% 22.73% 21.57% 25.08% 27.35% 29.07% 0.0
AMAT unearned_revenue_balancesheet 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.58% 8.57% 9.43% 5.00% 7.14% 6.59% 6.24% 8.05%
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)


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