TSLA is FAIRLYVALUED SecDiverAI
Median Fair Price 254.67
Confidence: HIGH
Fair Price Range 110.84 - 457.19
1 Year Price target: $ 228.57 - $ 396.34
3 Year Price target: $ 184.11 - $ 959.97
Current Market Price: 241.38 as of 2025-04-18
Investment Value of 100 $ invested in TSLA as compared to Market Index: SPY across historical periods[*does not include dividends]
Investment Period $ Value Today(TSLA) $ Value Today(SPY) CAGR vs Market
9 years before $ 1508.35 $ 208.39 35.19% vs SPY:8.5%
5 years before $ 865.61 $ 150.37 53.98% vs SPY:8.5%
3 years before $ 68.52 $ 127.73 -11.84% vs SPY:8.5%
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We have 4 report results for ticker: TSLA - Tesla, Inc., also organized by 4 group tags below ... Bargain Finder: Related Companies Portfolio Health: Related Companies

Business Checklist for TSLA from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time

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Red Flags Identified


10

Total Checks Done


30

Wall Street Drivers beta

📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score 8.0 / 10.0

  • revenue cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['46.45 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which grow >= 5% YoY, better than GDP growth of >= 2-3%
  • cashflows cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['61.91 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate cashflows >= 5% YoY, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
  • shares outstanding cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['4.92 is NOT less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful
  • debt cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['13.4 is NOT less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business with lower debt growth
  • equity cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['59.69 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business having shareholder equity growth >= 5% YoY
  • leverage average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['0.39 is less than equal to 5', '0.39 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business which can pay their debts in less than 5 years using cashflows, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
  • roe_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['34.08 is greater than equal to 10']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on equity >= 10%
  • roce_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['29.83 is greater than equal to 15']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on capital >= 15%
  • roic_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['59.68 is greater than equal to 15']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on invested capital >= 15%

Business Durability beta

🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score 8.0 / 10.0

  • margin cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.16 wrt mean ratio: -0.046']
  • cash average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 16263333333.33 wrt mean ratio: 6968735384.614']
  • mental_model: We want stability on cash growth
  • roa_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 17.93 wrt mean ratio: 12.725']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on assets
  • roe_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 34.08 wrt mean ratio: 48.392']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on equity
  • roce_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 29.83 wrt mean ratio: 28.584']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on capital employed
  • roic_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 59.68 wrt mean ratio: 11.67']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on invested capital

Business Trends last 3 years beta

Score 5.0 / 10.0

  • receivables running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.04 wrt mean ratio: 0.048']
  • mental_model: receivables should always grow less with revenues otherwise there might be some payment/collection issues, Watch out
  • inventory running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.14 wrt mean ratio: 0.222']
  • mental_model: inventory should always grow in relation with revenues, Inventory build can be positive depending on the industry cycle, but mostly it could be a CON as working capital is tied up, Be Careful
  • payables running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.15 wrt mean ratio: 0.227']
  • mental_model: the more this is the better, nothing bad about it.
  • cash running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.18 wrt mean ratio: 0.385']
  • mental_model: cash trend should be similar or greater to revenue, if company is heavily reinvesting it might be OK, but do check

Profits Matter beta

💰 Companies needs to have positive profits to reward its shareholders in the long term
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • positive cashflows profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['14301000000.0 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive cashflows profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term

Capital Allocation beta

🧠 Remember: Shareholders only gets rewarded if management does prudent capital allocation decisions
Score 0.0 / 10.0

  • cashToRevenue running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.18 wrt mean ratio: 0.385']
  • cashToEquity running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.27 wrt mean ratio: 0.894']

Business Performance beta

Score 8.0 / 10.0

  • Operating Leverage Cashflow cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [1.33] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 61.91, value_2: 46.45']
  • debt cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [0.29] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 1, value_1: 13.4, value_2: 46.45']
  • cash cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [0.56] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 33.14, value_2: 59.69']
  • debt-equity-cagr cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [0.22] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 1, value_1: 13.4, value_2: 59.69']
  • mental_model: We want debt to grow less than equity

Balance Sheet Quality beta

📈 Quality companies can withstand darkest hours, strong balance sheet is the key
Score 7.0 / 10.0

  • debtToCashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.39 wrt mean ratio: 0.249']
  • debtToEquity running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.09 wrt mean ratio: 1.046']
  • leverage average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['0.39 is less than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business which can pay their debts in less than 5 years

Taxes, Interest and Unearned beta

📈Note: this is a new one, so do not use this for now, we are looking at data
Score 0.0 / 10.0

  • unearned_revenue_balancesheet running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.03 wrt mean ratio: 0.057']

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1. Showing BALANCE_SUMMARY report for TSLA [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 241.38 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
TSLA StockMarketPrice 403.84 248.48 123.18 352.26 235.22 27.89 22.19 20.76 14.25 16.00 14.83 10.03 2.26 1.90
TSLA revenue 97.69B 96.77B 81.46B 53.82B 31.54B 24.58B 21.46B 11.76B 7.00B 4.05B 3.20B 2.01B 0.41B 0.20B 0.12B 0.11B
TSLA assets 122.07B 106.62B 82.34B 62.13B 52.15B 34.31B 29.74B 28.66B 22.66B 8.09B 5.85B 2.42B 1.11B 0.71B 0.39B 0.0
TSLA cash 16.14B 16.40B 16.25B 17.58B 19.38B 6.27B 3.69B 3.37B 3.39B 1.20B 1.91B 0.85B 0.20B 0.26B 0.10B 0.0
TSLA cashflow::operating 14.92B 13.26B 14.72B 11.50B 5.94B 2.40B 2.10B -0.06B -0.12B -0.52B -0.06B 0.26B -0.26B -0.11B -0.13B -0.08B
TSLA equity 72.91B 62.63B 44.70B 30.19B 22.23B 6.62B 4.92B 4.24B 4.75B 1.09B 0.91B 0.67B 0.12B 0.22B 0.21B 0.0
TSLA debt 8.21B 5.23B 3.10B 6.83B 11.69B 13.42B 11.97B 10.21B 6.84B 2.65B 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
TSLA shares 3.50B 3.48B 3.48B 3.39B 2.80B 0.89B 0.85B 0.17B 0.14B 0.13B 0.12B 0.12B 0.11B 0.10B 0.05B 0.01B
TSLA shares_calc 3.21B 3.18B 3.16B 3.16B 2.98B 2.98B 2.84B 2.76B 2.66B 2.17B 2.06B 1.97B 1.78B 1.66B 0.84B 0.84B
TSLA inventory 12.02B 13.63B 12.84B 5.76B 4.10B 3.55B 3.11B 2.26B 2.07B 1.28B 0.95B 0.34B 0.27B 0.05B 0.05B 0.0
TSLA payables 12.47B 14.43B 15.26B 10.03B 6.05B 3.77B 3.40B 2.39B 1.86B 0.92B 0.78B 0.30B 0.30B 0.06B 0.03B 0.0
TSLA receivables 4.42B 3.51B 2.95B 1.91B 1.89B 1.32B 0.95B 0.52B 0.50B 0.17B 0.23B 0.05B 0.03B 0.01B 0.01B 0.0
TSLA roa_cfo 14.00% 16.10% 23.70% 22.05% 17.32% 8.09% 7.32% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 23.77% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
TSLA roe_cfo 23.83% 29.65% 48.77% 51.73% 89.80% 48.85% 49.51% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 212.35% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
TSLA roce_cfo 21.99% 27.73% 39.77% 33.90% 29.66% 14.23% 14.52% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 212.35% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
TSLA roic_cfo 46.02% 55.04% 77.97% 90.19% 51.67% 20.06% 20.14% -0.91% -3.15% -23.50% -6.96% 47.95% -87.39% -83.13% -92.91% inf
TSLA goodwill 0.24B 0.25B 0.19B 0.20B 0.21B 0.20B 0.07B 0.06B 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
TSLA unearned_revenue_balancesheet 3.32B 3.25B 2.80B 2.05B 1.46B 1.21B 0.99B 1.18B 0.85B 0.45B 0.24B 0.09B 0.00B 0.00B 0.00B 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

2. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for TSLA [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 241.38 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
TSLA StockMarketPrice
TSLA revenue 30.43 30.44 25.80 17.04 10.58 8.25 7.56 4.26 2.63 1.87 1.55 1.02 0.23 0.12 0.14 0.13
TSLA assets 38.03 33.54 26.07 19.68 17.50 11.51 10.47 10.38 8.52 3.74 2.84 1.22 0.63 0.43 0.46 0.0
TSLA cash 5.03 5.16 5.15 5.57 6.50 2.10 1.30 1.22 1.28 0.55 0.93 0.43 0.11 0.15 0.12 0.0
TSLA cashflow::operating 4.65 4.17 4.66 3.64 1.99 0.81 0.74 -0.02 -0.05 -0.24 -0.03 0.13 -0.15 -0.07 -0.15 -0.10
TSLA equity 22.71 19.70 14.16 9.56 7.46 2.22 1.73 1.54 1.79 0.50 0.44 0.34 0.07 0.13 0.25 0.0
TSLA debt 2.56 1.65 0.98 2.16 3.92 4.50 4.22 3.70 2.57 1.22 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
TSLA shares 1.09 1.10 1.10 1.07 0.94 0.30 0.30 0.06 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.01
TSLA shares_calc 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
TSLA inventory 3.74 4.29 4.07 1.82 1.38 1.19 1.10 0.82 0.78 0.59 0.46 0.17 0.15 0.03 0.05 0.0
TSLA payables 3.89 4.54 4.83 3.17 2.03 1.27 1.20 0.87 0.70 0.42 0.38 0.15 0.17 0.03 0.03 0.0
TSLA receivables 1.38 1.10 0.93 0.61 0.63 0.44 0.33 0.19 0.19 0.08 0.11 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.0
TSLA goodwill 0.08 0.08 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.02 0.02 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
TSLA unearned_revenue_balancesheet 1.03 1.02 0.89 0.65 0.49 0.40 0.35 0.43 0.32 0.21 0.12 0.05 0.0 0.0 0.01 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

3. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for TSLA [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 241.38 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
TSLA StockMarketPrice
TSLA revenue 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
TSLA assets 124.96% 110.17% 101.08% 115.44% 165.36% 139.59% 138.58% 243.69% 323.77% 200.01% 182.88% 120.04% 269.61% 349.32% 330.71% 0.0
TSLA cash 16.52% 16.94% 19.95% 32.66% 61.47% 25.50% 17.18% 28.64% 48.47% 29.58% 59.58% 42.01% 48.85% 124.98% 85.28% 0.0
TSLA cashflow::operating 15.28% 13.70% 18.07% 21.36% 18.85% 9.79% 9.78% -0.52% -1.77% -12.96% -1.79% 13.15% -63.84% -55.99% -109.48% -72.20%
TSLA equity 74.64% 64.72% 54.88% 56.09% 70.48% 26.93% 22.94% 36.03% 67.90% 26.91% 28.51% 33.13% 30.18% 109.70% 177.35% 0.0
TSLA debt 8.41% 5.40% 3.80% 12.70% 37.06% 54.60% 55.78% 86.87% 97.77% 65.47% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
TSLA shares 3.58% 3.60% 4.27% 6.29% 8.87% 3.61% 3.97% 1.41% 2.06% 3.17% 3.89% 5.93% 25.98% 49.15% 43.44% 6.27%
TSLA shares_calc 3.29% 3.28% 3.88% 5.87% 9.45% 12.13% 13.23% 23.47% 38.00% 53.52% 64.39% 98.08% 429.55% 812.78% 718.39% 749.20%
TSLA inventory 12.30% 14.08% 15.76% 10.70% 13.00% 14.45% 14.51% 19.25% 29.53% 31.58% 29.82% 16.90% 64.97% 24.52% 38.70% 0.0
TSLA payables 12.77% 14.91% 18.73% 18.63% 19.19% 15.34% 15.87% 20.33% 26.58% 22.64% 24.32% 15.10% 73.41% 27.49% 24.80% 0.0
TSLA receivables 4.52% 3.62% 3.62% 3.55% 5.98% 5.39% 4.42% 4.38% 7.13% 4.18% 7.09% 2.44% 6.50% 4.67% 5.75% 0.0
TSLA goodwill 0.25% 0.26% 0.24% 0.37% 0.66% 0.81% 0.32% 0.51% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
TSLA unearned_revenue_balancesheet 3.40% 3.36% 3.44% 3.81% 4.62% 4.91% 4.62% 10.02% 12.17% 11.03% 7.57% 4.56% 0.46% 1.15% 3.97% 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

4. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to assets for TSLA [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 241.38 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
TSLA StockMarketPrice
TSLA revenue 80.03% 90.77% 98.94% 86.63% 60.47% 71.64% 72.16% 41.04% 30.89% 50.00% 54.68% 83.31% 37.09% 28.63% 30.24%
TSLA assets 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
TSLA cash 13.22% 15.38% 19.74% 28.29% 37.17% 18.27% 12.39% 11.75% 14.97% 14.79% 32.58% 35.00% 18.12% 35.78% 25.79%
TSLA cashflow::operating 12.22% 12.43% 17.88% 18.50% 11.40% 7.01% 7.05% -0.21% -0.55% -6.48% -0.98% 10.96% -23.68% -16.03% -33.11%
TSLA equity 59.73% 58.75% 54.29% 48.59% 42.62% 19.29% 16.55% 14.79% 20.97% 13.46% 15.59% 27.60% 11.19% 31.40% 53.63%
TSLA debt 6.73% 4.91% 3.76% 11.00% 22.41% 39.11% 40.26% 35.65% 30.20% 32.73% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
TSLA shares 2.87% 3.27% 4.22% 5.45% 5.37% 2.59% 2.87% 0.58% 0.64% 1.58% 2.13% 4.94% 9.63% 14.07% 13.14%
TSLA shares_calc 2.63% 2.98% 3.84% 5.08% 5.72% 8.69% 9.55% 9.63% 11.74% 26.76% 35.21% 81.71% 159.32% 232.68% 217.23%
TSLA inventory 9.84% 12.78% 15.59% 9.27% 7.86% 10.35% 10.47% 7.90% 9.12% 15.79% 16.30% 14.08% 24.10% 7.02% 11.70%
TSLA payables 10.22% 13.54% 18.53% 16.14% 11.60% 10.99% 11.45% 8.34% 8.21% 11.32% 13.30% 12.58% 27.23% 7.87% 7.50%
TSLA receivables 3.62% 3.29% 3.59% 3.08% 3.62% 3.86% 3.19% 1.80% 2.20% 2.09% 3.87% 2.03% 2.41% 1.34% 1.74%
TSLA goodwill 0.20% 0.24% 0.24% 0.32% 0.40% 0.58% 0.23% 0.21% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
TSLA unearned_revenue_balancesheet 2.72% 3.05% 3.41% 3.30% 2.80% 3.52% 3.33% 4.11% 3.76% 5.51% 4.14% 3.80% 0.17% 0.33% 1.20%
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)


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