TSLA is FAIRLYVALUED SecDiverAI
Median Fair Price 254.67
Confidence: HIGH
Fair Price Range 110.84 - 457.19
1 Year Price target: $ 228.57 - $ 396.34
3 Year Price target: $ 184.11 - $ 959.97
Current Market Price: 241.38 as of 2025-04-18
Investment Value of 100 $ invested in TSLA as compared to Market Index: SPY across historical periods[*does not include dividends]
Investment Period $ Value Today(TSLA) $ Value Today(SPY) CAGR vs Market
9 years before $ 1508.35 $ 208.39 35.19% vs SPY:8.5%
5 years before $ 865.61 $ 150.37 53.98% vs SPY:8.5%
3 years before $ 68.52 $ 127.73 -11.84% vs SPY:8.5%
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We have 3 report results for ticker: TSLA - Tesla, Inc., also organized by 3 group tags below ... Bargain Finder: Related Companies Portfolio Health: Related Companies

Business Checklist for TSLA from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time

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Red Flags Identified


2

Total Checks Done


11

Wall Street Drivers beta

📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score 8.0 / 10.0

  • revenue cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['46.45 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which grow >= 5% YoY, better than GDP growth of >= 2-3%
  • operating profits cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['56.16 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate operating profits >= 5% YoY
  • shares outstanding cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['4.92 is NOT less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful
  • net profits cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['53.94 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate net profits >= 5% YoY

Business Durability beta

🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • margin operating running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.11 wrt mean ratio: -0.177']
  • margin net running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.13 wrt mean ratio: -0.199']

Business Trends last 3 years beta

Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • research & development running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.04 wrt mean ratio: 0.156']
  • mental_model: Rnd is good specially when company is increasing moat but be careful with the spend, typically RND spend shows up 2-3 years, Read Annual statements to understand why this RND is increasing

Profits Matter beta

💰 Companies needs to have positive profits to reward its shareholders in the long term
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • positive operating profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['9874333333.33 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive operating profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term
  • positive net profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['11571333333.33 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive net profits for last 3 years, GAAP net Profits determine Stock prices in the long term

Business Performance beta

Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • Operating Leverage cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [1.21] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 56.16, value_2: 46.45']

Taxes, Interest and Unearned beta

📈Note: this is a new one, so do not use this for now, we are looking at data
Score 0.0 / 10.0

  • interest_income running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.01 wrt mean ratio: 0.001']

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1. Showing INCOME_SUMMARY report for TSLA [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 241.38 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
TSLA revenue 97.69B 96.77B 81.46B 53.82B 31.54B 24.58B 21.46B 11.76B 7.00B 4.05B 3.20B 2.01B 0.41B 0.20B 0.12B 0.11B
TSLA netincome 7.15B 14.97B 12.59B 5.64B 0.86B -0.78B -1.06B -2.24B -0.77B -0.89B -0.29B -0.07B -0.40B -0.25B -0.15B -0.06B
TSLA operatingincome 7.08B 8.89B 13.66B 6.52B 1.99B -0.07B -0.39B -1.63B -0.67B -0.72B -0.19B -0.06B -0.39B -0.25B -0.15B -0.05B
TSLA grossincome 17.45B 17.66B 20.85B 13.61B 6.63B 4.07B 4.04B 2.22B 1.60B 0.92B 0.88B 0.46B 0.03B 0.06B 0.03B 0.01B
TSLA interest_income 1.57B 1.07B 0.30B 0.06B 0.03B 0.04B 0.02B 0.02B 0.01B 0.00B 0.00B 0.00B 0.00B 0.00B 0.00B 0.00B
TSLA interest_expense 0.06B 0.02B 0.03B 0.12B 0.14B 0.09B 0.09B 0.28B 0.10B 0.12B 0.10B 0.03B 0.00B 0.00B 0.00B 0.00B
TSLA shares 3.50B 3.48B 3.48B 3.39B 2.80B 0.89B 0.85B 0.17B 0.14B 0.13B 0.12B 0.12B 0.11B 0.10B 0.05B 0.01B
TSLA shares_calc 3.21B 3.18B 3.16B 3.16B 2.98B 2.98B 2.84B 2.76B 2.66B 2.17B 2.06B 1.97B 1.78B 1.66B 0.84B 0.84B
TSLA margin_gross 17.86% 18.25% 25.60% 25.28% 21.02% 16.56% 18.83% 18.90% 22.85% 22.82% 27.57% 22.66% 7.28% 30.16% 26.32% 8.52%
TSLA margin_op 7.24% 9.19% 16.76% 12.12% 6.32% -0.28% -1.81% -13.88% -9.53% -17.71% -5.84% -3.04% -95.41% -123.13% -125.78% -46.36%
TSLA margin_net 7.32% 15.47% 15.45% 10.49% 2.73% -3.15% -4.95% -19.05% -11.04% -21.96% -9.19% -3.68% -95.88% -124.56% -132.19% -49.79%
TSLA costs:ga 5.15B 4.80B 3.95B 4.52B 3.15B 2.65B 2.83B 2.48B 1.43B 0.92B 0.60B 0.29B 0.15B 0.10B 0.08B 0.04B
TSLA costs:rnd 4.54B 3.97B 3.08B 2.59B 1.49B 1.34B 1.46B 1.38B 0.83B 0.72B 0.46B 0.23B 0.27B 0.21B 0.09B 0.0
TSLA costs:sgna 5.15B 4.80B 3.95B 4.52B 3.15B 2.65B 2.83B 2.48B 1.43B 0.92B 0.60B 0.29B 0.15B 0.10B 0.08B 0.04B
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

2. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for TSLA [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 241.38 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
TSLA revenue 30.43 30.44 25.80 17.04 10.58 8.25 7.56 4.26 2.63 1.87 1.55 1.02 0.23 0.12 0.14 0.13
TSLA netincome 2.23 4.71 3.99 1.79 0.29 -0.26 -0.37 -0.81 -0.29 -0.41 -0.14 -0.04 -0.22 -0.15 -0.18 -0.07
TSLA operatingincome 2.20 2.80 4.32 2.07 0.67 -0.02 -0.14 -0.59 -0.25 -0.33 -0.09 -0.03 -0.22 -0.15 -0.18 -0.06
TSLA grossincome 5.44 5.56 6.60 4.31 2.22 1.37 1.42 0.81 0.60 0.43 0.43 0.23 0.02 0.04 0.04 0.01
TSLA interest_income 0.49 0.34 0.09 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
TSLA interest_expense 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.04 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.10 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.02 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
TSLA shares 1.09 1.10 1.10 1.07 0.94 0.30 0.30 0.06 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.01
TSLA shares_calc 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
TSLA costs:ga 1.60 1.51 1.25 1.43 1.06 0.89 1.00 0.90 0.54 0.43 0.29 0.14 0.08 0.06 0.10 0.05
TSLA costs:rnd 1.41 1.25 0.97 0.82 0.50 0.45 0.51 0.50 0.31 0.33 0.23 0.12 0.15 0.13 0.11 0.0
TSLA costs:sgna 1.60 1.51 1.25 1.43 1.06 0.89 1.00 0.90 0.54 0.43 0.29 0.14 0.08 0.06 0.10 0.05
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

3. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for TSLA [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 241.38 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
TSLA revenue 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
TSLA netincome 7.32% 15.47% 15.45% 10.49% 2.73% -3.15% -4.95% -19.05% -11.04% -21.96% -9.19% -3.68% -95.88% -124.56% -132.19% -49.79%
TSLA operatingincome 7.24% 9.19% 16.76% 12.12% 6.32% -0.28% -1.81% -13.88% -9.53% -17.71% -5.84% -3.04% -95.41% -123.13% -125.78% -46.36%
TSLA grossincome 17.86% 18.25% 25.60% 25.28% 21.02% 16.56% 18.83% 18.90% 22.85% 22.82% 27.57% 22.66% 7.28% 30.16% 26.32% 8.52%
TSLA interest_income 1.61% 1.10% 0.36% 0.10% 0.10% 0.18% 0.11% 0.17% 0.12% 0.04% 0.04% 0.01% 0.07% 0.12% 0.22% 0.14%
TSLA interest_expense 0.06% 0.02% 0.04% 0.23% 0.45% 0.35% 0.41% 2.37% 1.40% 2.94% 3.15% 1.64% 0.06% 0.02% 0.85% 2.26%
TSLA shares 3.58% 3.60% 4.27% 6.29% 8.87% 3.61% 3.97% 1.41% 2.06% 3.17% 3.89% 5.93% 25.98% 49.15% 43.44% 6.27%
TSLA shares_calc 3.29% 3.28% 3.88% 5.87% 9.45% 12.13% 13.23% 23.47% 38.00% 53.52% 64.39% 98.08% 429.55% 812.78% 718.39% 749.20%
TSLA costs:ga 5.27% 4.96% 4.84% 8.39% 9.97% 10.77% 13.21% 21.06% 20.46% 22.79% 18.87% 14.18% 36.39% 50.97% 72.44% 37.65%
TSLA costs:rnd 4.65% 4.10% 3.77% 4.82% 4.73% 5.46% 6.80% 11.72% 11.92% 17.74% 14.53% 11.52% 66.30% 102.32% 79.66% 0.0
TSLA costs:sgna 5.27% 4.96% 4.84% 8.39% 9.97% 10.77% 13.21% 21.06% 20.46% 22.79% 18.87% 14.18% 36.39% 50.97% 72.44% 37.65%
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)


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