ADSK is UNDERVALUED SecDiverAI
Median Fair Price 460.75
Confidence: MEDIUM
Fair Price Range 170.71 - 568.76
1 Year Price target: $ 528.48 - $ 594.69
3 Year Price target: $ 695.27 - $ 990.7
Current Market Price: 259.47 as of 2025-04-18
Investment Value of 100 $ invested in ADSK as compared to Market Index: SPY across historical periods[*does not include dividends]
Investment Period $ Value Today(ADSK) $ Value Today(SPY) CAGR vs Market
9 years before $ 432.17 $ 208.39 17.66% vs SPY:8.5%
5 years before $ 201.75 $ 150.37 15.07% vs SPY:8.5%
3 years before $ 84.98 $ 127.73 -5.28% vs SPY:8.5%
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We have 4 report results for ticker: ADSK - Autodesk, Inc., also organized by 4 group tags below ... Bargain Finder: Related Companies Portfolio Health: Related Companies

Business Checklist for ADSK from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time

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Red Flags Identified


7

Total Checks Done


21

Wall Street Drivers beta

📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score 6.0 / 10.0

  • revenue cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['7.56 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which grow >= 5% YoY, better than GDP growth of >= 2-3%
  • cashflows cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['12.73 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate cashflows >= 5% YoY, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
  • shares outstanding cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['-0.46 is less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful
  • equity cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['-7.91 is NOT greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business having shareholder equity growth >= 5% YoY
  • roe_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['-198.81 is NOT greater than equal to 10']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on equity >= 10%
  • roce_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['-198.81 is NOT greater than equal to 15']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on capital >= 15%
  • roic_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['989.45 is greater than equal to 15']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on invested capital >= 15%

Business Durability beta

🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score 7.0 / 10.0

  • margin cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.38 wrt mean ratio: 0.256']
  • cash average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 1749200000.0 wrt mean ratio: 1431851515.152']
  • mental_model: We want stability on cash growth
  • roa_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 22.78 wrt mean ratio: 16.303']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on assets
  • roe_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: -198.81 wrt mean ratio: -178.714']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on equity
  • roce_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: -198.81 wrt mean ratio: -178.714']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on capital employed
  • roic_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 989.45 wrt mean ratio: 398.846']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on invested capital

Business Trends last 3 years beta

Score 7.0 / 10.0

  • receivables running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.18 wrt mean ratio: 0.197']
  • mental_model: receivables should always grow less with revenues otherwise there might be some payment/collection issues, Watch out
  • payables running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.47 wrt mean ratio: 0.424']
  • mental_model: the more this is the better, nothing bad about it.
  • cash running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.4 wrt mean ratio: 0.541']
  • mental_model: cash trend should be similar or greater to revenue, if company is heavily reinvesting it might be OK, but do check

Profits Matter beta

💰 Companies needs to have positive profits to reward its shareholders in the long term
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • positive cashflows profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['1679666666.67 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive cashflows profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term

Capital Allocation beta

🧠 Remember: Shareholders only gets rewarded if management does prudent capital allocation decisions
Score 5.0 / 10.0

  • cashToRevenue running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.4 wrt mean ratio: 0.541']
  • cashToEquity running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 1.77 wrt mean ratio: 1.746']

Business Performance beta

Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • Operating Leverage Cashflow cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [1.68] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 12.73, value_2: 7.56']
  • cash cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [-0.2] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 1.6, value_2: -7.91']

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We do NOT feel in CONTROL in the markets. Do we know why?

1. Showing BALANCE_SUMMARY report for ADSK [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 259.47 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
ADSK StockMarketPrice 245.07 186.87 281.19 305.34 183.46 128.61 104.83 74.01 60.93 60.06 50.32 35.35 30.33 38.20
ADSK revenue 5.00B 4.39B 3.79B 3.27B 2.57B 2.06B 2.03B 2.50B 2.51B 2.27B 2.31B 2.21B 1.95B 1.71B
ADSK assets 9.44B 8.61B 7.28B 6.18B 4.73B 4.11B 4.80B 5.51B 4.91B 4.59B 4.31B 1.90B 1.71B 0.0
ADSK cash 1.95B 1.53B 1.77B 1.77B 0.89B 1.08B 1.21B 1.35B 1.41B 1.85B 1.61B 1.16B 1.08B 0.0
ADSK cashflow::operating 2.07B 1.53B 1.44B 1.42B 0.38B 0.38B 0.17B 0.41B 0.71B 0.56B 0.56B 0.57B 0.54B 0.25B
ADSK equity 1.15B 0.85B 0.96B -0.14B -0.14B -0.26B 0.73B 1.62B 2.22B 2.26B 2.04B 1.88B 1.61B 0.0
ADSK shares 0.22B 0.22B 0.22B 0.22B 0.22B 0.22B 0.22B 0.23B 0.23B 0.22B 0.23B 0.23B 227.00 228.00
ADSK shares_calc 0.21B 0.22B 0.22B 0.22B 0.22B 0.22B 0.22B 0.22B 0.23B 0.22B 0.23B 0.23B 0.23B 0.23B
ADSK inventory inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf
ADSK payables 2.28B 2.28B 1.64B 1.64B 2.09B 1.59B 1.09B 1.49B 0.74B 0.21B 0.19B 0.17B 0.14B 0.0
ADSK receivables 0.96B 0.72B 0.64B 0.65B 0.47B 0.44B 0.45B 0.65B 0.46B 0.42B 0.49B 0.40B 0.32B 0.0
ADSK roa_cfo 24.06% 21.03% 23.26% 29.92% 9.17% 7.86% 3.06% 8.43% 15.41% 13.07% 29.50% 33.43% 0.0 0.0
ADSK roe_cfo 243.93% 158.65% -999.00% -999.00% -147.27% 51.43% 10.44% 18.66% 31.31% 27.56% 29.70% 35.61% 0.0 0.0
ADSK roce_cfo 243.93% 158.65% -999.00% -999.00% -147.27% 51.43% 10.44% 18.66% 31.31% 27.56% 29.70% 35.61% 0.0 0.0
ADSK roic_cfo 1278.40% 797.40% 892.55% 949.66% 260.00% 238.61% 100.00% 260.38% 207.02% 135.66% 172.00% 217.87% 205.32% inf
ADSK goodwill 3.62B 3.60B 2.71B 2.44B 2.45B 1.62B 1.56B 1.53B 1.46B 1.01B 0.87B 0.68B 0.55B 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

2. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for ADSK [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 259.47 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
ADSK StockMarketPrice
ADSK revenue 23.40 20.33 17.23 14.89 11.68 9.39 9.30 11.25 11.15 10.15 10.23 9.76 8.59 7.51
ADSK assets 44.12 39.89 33.09 28.10 21.49 18.78 21.98 24.78 21.80 20.51 19.06 8.35 7.55 0.0
ADSK cash 9.10 7.08 8.06 8.07 4.03 4.92 5.56 6.08 6.26 8.27 7.13 5.10 4.74 0.0
ADSK cashflow::operating 9.68 7.10 6.53 6.44 1.71 1.72 0.77 1.86 3.14 2.51 2.47 2.52 2.38 1.08
ADSK equity 5.35 3.93 4.39 -0.63 -0.63 -1.17 3.36 7.27 9.85 10.09 9.04 8.29 7.09 0.0
ADSK shares 1.01 1.02 1.00 1.00 0.99 1.00 1.02 1.02 1.01 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.0 0.0
ADSK shares_calc 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
ADSK inventory 0.47 0.46 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.46 0.46 0.45 0.44 0.45 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44
ADSK payables 10.66 10.56 7.44 7.44 9.48 7.24 5.00 6.68 3.30 0.94 0.86 0.77 0.61 0.0
ADSK receivables 4.49 3.32 2.92 2.97 2.15 2.00 2.07 2.93 2.03 1.89 2.19 1.74 1.40 0.0
ADSK goodwill 16.95 16.70 12.30 11.12 11.13 7.40 7.15 6.90 6.46 4.50 3.85 3.00 2.44 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

3. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for ADSK [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 259.47 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
ADSK StockMarketPrice
ADSK revenue 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
ADSK assets 188.57% 196.22% 192.04% 188.71% 184.02% 199.99% 236.24% 220.25% 195.58% 202.16% 186.33% 85.55% 87.85% 0.0
ADSK cash 38.90% 34.84% 46.75% 54.20% 34.48% 52.42% 59.73% 54.03% 56.15% 81.52% 69.73% 52.23% 55.11% 0.0
ADSK cashflow::operating 41.38% 34.90% 37.91% 43.22% 14.67% 18.33% 8.32% 16.53% 28.18% 24.77% 24.18% 25.87% 27.68% 14.36%
ADSK equity 22.88% 19.36% 25.46% -4.25% -5.41% -12.45% 36.09% 64.66% 88.34% 99.47% 88.37% 84.97% 82.47% 0.0
ADSK shares 4.32% 5.02% 5.78% 6.69% 8.48% 10.65% 10.93% 9.03% 9.04% 9.85% 9.78% 10.25% 0.0 0.0
ADSK shares_calc 4.27% 4.92% 5.80% 6.72% 8.56% 10.65% 10.75% 8.89% 8.97% 9.85% 9.78% 10.25% 11.64% 13.31%
ADSK inventory 2.00% 2.28% 2.64% 3.05% 3.89% 4.86% 4.92% 3.99% 3.98% 4.40% 4.33% 4.51% 5.13% 5.84%
ADSK payables 45.57% 51.93% 43.19% 49.93% 81.21% 77.12% 53.77% 59.38% 29.58% 9.28% 8.39% 7.86% 7.12% 0.0
ADSK receivables 19.20% 16.32% 16.96% 19.91% 18.45% 21.30% 22.26% 26.08% 18.23% 18.61% 21.41% 17.83% 16.30% 0.0
ADSK goodwill 72.43% 82.16% 71.39% 74.67% 95.34% 78.77% 76.86% 61.30% 57.96% 44.39% 37.67% 30.79% 28.40% 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

4. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to assets for ADSK [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 259.47 as of 2025-04-18
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011
ADSK StockMarketPrice
ADSK revenue 53.03% 50.96% 52.07% 52.99% 54.34% 50.00% 42.33% 45.40% 51.13% 49.47% 53.67% 116.89% 113.83%
ADSK assets 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
ADSK cash 20.63% 17.76% 24.35% 28.72% 18.74% 26.21% 25.28% 24.53% 28.71% 40.33% 37.42% 61.05% 62.72%
ADSK cashflow::operating 21.94% 17.79% 19.74% 22.90% 7.97% 9.17% 3.52% 7.51% 14.41% 12.25% 12.98% 30.24% 31.51%
ADSK equity 12.13% 9.86% 13.26% -2.25% -2.94% -6.22% 15.28% 29.36% 45.17% 49.21% 47.42% 99.31% 93.87%
ADSK shares 2.29% 2.56% 3.01% 3.54% 4.61% 5.32% 4.63% 4.10% 4.62% 4.87% 5.25% 11.98% 0.0
ADSK shares_calc 2.27% 2.51% 3.02% 3.56% 4.65% 5.32% 4.55% 4.04% 4.59% 4.87% 5.25% 11.98% 13.24%
ADSK inventory 1.06% 1.16% 1.37% 1.62% 2.11% 2.43% 2.08% 1.81% 2.04% 2.18% 2.32% 5.28% 5.83%
ADSK payables 24.17% 26.47% 22.49% 26.46% 44.13% 38.56% 22.76% 26.96% 15.12% 4.59% 4.50% 9.18% 8.11%
ADSK receivables 10.18% 8.32% 8.83% 10.55% 10.02% 10.65% 9.42% 11.84% 9.32% 9.21% 11.49% 20.84% 18.55%
ADSK goodwill 38.41% 41.87% 37.18% 39.57% 51.81% 39.39% 32.53% 27.83% 29.64% 21.96% 20.22% 35.99% 32.32%
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)


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