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Name: AAR Corp.
AIR is OVERVALUED SecDiverAI
Median Fair Price 49.06
Confidence: MEDIUM

Fair Price Range 43.7 - 54.12
1 Year Price target: $ 49.91 - $ 52.95
3 Year Price target: $ 51.65 - $ 61.66
Latest filings - Annual: 10-K, Quarterly: 10-Q, Proxy: DEF 14A
Current Market Price: 71.46 as of 2025-07-03
Investment Value of 100 $ invested in AIR as compared to Market Index: SPY across historical periods[*does not include dividends]
Investment Period $ Value Today(AIR) $ Value Today(SPY) CAGR vs Market
9 years before $ 282.02 $ 208.39 12.21% vs SPY:8.5%
5 years before $ 158.72 $ 150.37 9.68% vs SPY:8.5%
3 years before $ 183.11 $ 127.73 22.34% vs SPY:8.5%


We have 3 report results for ticker: AIR - AAR Corp., also organized by 3 group tags below ... Bargain Finder: Related Companies Portfolio Health: Related Companies

Business Checklist for AIR from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time

Want to see more such checks or Customize your checks, check out our plans

Red Flags Identified


1

Total Checks Done


9

Wall Street Drivers beta

📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score 8.0 / 10.0

  • revenue cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['0.68 is NOT greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which grow >= 5% YoY, better than GDP growth of >= 2-3%
  • operating profits cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['10.09 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate operating profits >= 5% YoY
  • shares outstanding cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['-42.86 is less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful
  • net profits cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['8.25 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate net profits >= 5% YoY

Business Durability beta

🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • margin operating running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.06 wrt mean ratio: 0.049']
  • margin net running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.04 wrt mean ratio: 0.022']

Profits Matter beta

💰 Companies needs to have positive profits to reward its shareholders in the long term
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • positive operating profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['122666666.67 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive operating profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term
  • positive net profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['71733333.33 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive net profits for last 3 years, GAAP net Profits determine Stock prices in the long term

Business Performance beta

Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • Operating Leverage cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [14.84] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 10.09, value_2: 0.68']
  • mental_model: We want Operating Income to grow atleast 90% of Revenue CAGR

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Costs - General Administrative Trends beta


  • costs:ga for normalized average for last 3 years
  • ["Trend is up, expected: ['stable', 'down'], last:0.121, avg: 0.0717"]
  • costs:ga_avg for normalized average for last 3 years
  • ['last: 0.121, threshold: 0.2, criteria: less than equal to']
  • costs:ga_times for normalized average for last 3 years
  • ['ratio: 1.0, threshold_value:0.2, threshold_percentage: 0.7, condition_met_count: 13, total: 13']

Operating Profits beta


  • margin_operating for normalized average for last 3 years
  • ["Trend is up, expected: ['stable', 'up'], last:0.06, avg: 0.0484"]
  • margin_operating_avg for normalized average for last 3 years
  • ['last: 0.06 is not greater than threshold: 0.1, criteria: greater than equal to']
  • margin_operating_times for normalized average for last 3 years
  • ['ratio: 0.0, threshold_value:0.1, threshold_percentage: 0.7, condition_met_count: 0, total: 13']

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We do NOT feel in CONTROL in the markets. Do we know why?

1. Showing INCOME_SUMMARY report for AIR [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 71.46 as of 2025-07-03

T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
AIR revenue 2.32B 1.99B 1.82B 1.65B 2.07B 2.05B 1.75B 1.77B 1.70B 1.62B 2.04B 2.14B 2.06B 1.81B 1.35B
AIR netincome 0.05B 0.09B 0.08B 0.04B 0.00B 0.01B 0.02B 0.06B 0.05B 0.01B 0.07B 0.06B 0.07B 0.07B 0.04B
AIR operatingincome 0.13B 0.13B 0.11B 0.09B 0.04B 0.10B 0.09B 0.08B 0.07B -0.01B 0.14B 0.12B 0.13B 0.13B 0.09B
AIR grossincome 0.44B 0.37B 0.31B 0.88B 1.17B 1.14B 0.91B 0.98B 0.91B 0.78B 0.97B 1.02B 0.86B 0.74B 0.43B
AIR interest_expense 0.04B 0.01B 0.00B 0.01B 0.01B 0.01B 0.01B 0.01B 0.01B 0.03B 0.03B 0.03B 0.04B 0.03B 0.03B
AIR shares 0.04B 0.04B 0.04B 0.04B 669.40B 273.40B 0.03B 11.20B 0.03B 168.20B 180.00B 872.20B 0.04B 0.0 0.0
AIR shares_calc 0.04B 0.04B 0.03B 0.04B 0.04B 0.03B 0.03B 0.03B 0.03B 0.04B 180.00B 872.20B 872.20B 0.0 0.0
AIR margin_gross 19.06% 18.59% 17.20% 53.22% 56.56% 55.41% 51.95% 55.46% 53.77% 48.40% 47.52% 47.82% 41.47% 40.88% 31.80%
AIR margin_op 5.56% 6.68% 5.82% 5.14% 1.98% 4.78% 4.92% 4.64% 4.42% -0.73% 7.13% 5.71% 6.33% 7.40% 6.68%
AIR margin_net 2.00% 4.53% 4.32% 2.17% 0.21% 0.37% 0.89% 3.20% 2.81% 0.63% 3.58% 2.57% 3.28% 3.87% 3.30%
AIR costs:ga 0.31B 0.23B 0.20B 0.18B 0.22B 0.21B 0.21B 0.20B 0.17B 0.17B 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
AIR costs:sgna 0.31B 0.23B 0.20B 0.18B 0.22B 0.21B 0.21B 0.20B 0.17B 0.17B 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)


2. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for AIR [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 71.46 as of 2025-07-03

T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014
AIR revenue 64.58 56.07 52.82 46.58 58.71 58.77 50.89 51.92 49.46 46.23 0.01
AIR netincome 1.29 2.54 2.28 1.01 0.12 0.21 0.45 1.66 1.39 0.29 0.0
AIR operatingincome 3.59 3.75 3.08 2.40 1.16 2.81 2.50 2.41 2.18 -0.34 0.0
AIR grossincome 12.31 10.42 9.08 24.79 33.21 32.56 26.44 28.80 26.59 22.37 0.01
AIR interest_expense 1.20 0.34 0.07 0.14 0.26 0.27 0.23 0.16 0.19 0.76 0.0
AIR shares 0.99 0.99 1.04 1.00 0.00B 0.00B 1.01 329.11 1.01 0.00B 1.00
AIR shares_calc 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
AIR costs:ga 8.69 6.48 5.86 5.13 6.23 6.16 6.05 5.76 5.04 4.90 0.0
AIR costs:sgna 8.69 6.48 5.86 5.13 6.23 6.16 6.05 5.76 5.04 4.90 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)


3. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for AIR [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 71.46 as of 2025-07-03

T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
AIR revenue 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
AIR netincome 2.00% 4.53% 4.32% 2.17% 0.21% 0.37% 0.89% 3.20% 2.81% 0.63% 3.58% 2.57% 3.28% 3.87% 3.30%
AIR operatingincome 5.56% 6.68% 5.82% 5.14% 1.98% 4.78% 4.92% 4.64% 4.42% -0.73% 7.13% 5.71% 6.33% 7.40% 6.68%
AIR grossincome 19.06% 18.59% 17.20% 53.22% 56.56% 55.41% 51.95% 55.46% 53.77% 48.40% 47.52% 47.82% 41.47% 40.88% 31.80%
AIR interest_expense 1.86% 0.61% 0.13% 0.30% 0.45% 0.46% 0.46% 0.30% 0.38% 1.63% 1.39% 1.36% 1.83% 1.70% 1.98%
AIR shares 1.53% 1.76% 1.98% 2.14% 32306.95% 13324.89% 1.98% 633.84% 2.04% 10376.31% 8845.21% 40814.23% 2.09% 0.0 0.0
AIR shares_calc 1.55% 1.78% 1.89% 2.15% 1.70% 1.70% 1.97% 1.93% 2.02% 2.16% 8845.21% 40814.23% 42237.29% 0.0 0.0
AIR costs:ga 13.45% 11.55% 11.10% 11.01% 10.62% 10.48% 11.90% 11.09% 10.19% 10.61% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
AIR costs:sgna 13.45% 11.55% 11.10% 11.01% 10.62% 10.48% 11.90% 11.09% 10.19% 10.61% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)



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