Name: Axon Enterprise, Inc.
AXON is OVERVALUED SecDiverAI
Median Fair Price 287.49
Confidence: MEDIUM
Fair Price Range 166.99 - 378.69
1 Year Price target: $ 351.72 - $ 392.88
3 Year Price target: $ 526.41 - $ 733.75
 Latest filings - Annual: 10-K, Quarterly: 10-Q, Proxy: DEF 14A
Current Market Price: 818.87 as of 2025-06-30
Investment Value of 100 $ invested in AXON as compared to Market Index: SPY across historical periods[*does not include dividends]
Investment Period $ Value Today(AXON) $ Value Today(SPY) CAGR vs Market
9 years before $ 4736.8 $ 208.39 53.52% vs SPY:8.5%
5 years before $ 1117.49 $ 150.37 62.05% vs SPY:8.5%
3 years before $ 521.55 $ 127.73 73.42% vs SPY:8.5%
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We have 4 report results for ticker: AXON - Axon Enterprise, Inc., also organized by 4 group tags below ... Bargain Finder: Related Companies Portfolio Health: Related Companies

Business Checklist for AXON from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time

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Red Flags Identified


12

Total Checks Done


23

Wall Street Drivers beta

📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score 6.0 / 10.0

  • revenue cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['28.44 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which grow >= 5% YoY, better than GDP growth of >= 2-3%
  • cashflows cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['24.14 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate cashflows >= 5% YoY, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
  • shares outstanding cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['-3.27 is less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful
  • equity cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['9.45 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business having shareholder equity growth >= 5% YoY
  • roe_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['12468.98 is greater than equal to 10']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on equity >= 10%
  • roce_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['10.85 is NOT greater than equal to 15']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on capital >= 15%
  • roic_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['0.08 is NOT greater than equal to 15']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on invested capital >= 15%
  • goodwill cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['53.12 is NOT less than equal to 4']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business which grows organically, for Acquisition style businesses we want to look at Capital Allocation Success, Study their acquisitions
  • next_steps: Study their acquisitions history

Business Durability beta

🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score 5.0 / 10.0

  • margin cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.17 wrt mean ratio: 0.156']
  • cash average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 469024333.33 wrt mean ratio: 174483710.435']
  • mental_model: We want stability on cash growth
  • roa_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 10.85 wrt mean ratio: 14.655']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on assets
  • roe_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 12468.98 wrt mean ratio: 2512.49']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on equity
  • roce_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 10.85 wrt mean ratio: 14.655']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on capital employed
  • roic_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.08 wrt mean ratio: 1.942']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on invested capital

Business Trends last 3 years beta

Score 2.0 / 10.0

  • receivables running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 160.74 wrt mean ratio: 232.73']
  • mental_model: receivables should always grow less with revenues otherwise there might be some payment/collection issues, Watch out
  • inventory running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.15 wrt mean ratio: 0.12']
  • mental_model: inventory should always grow in relation with revenues, Inventory build can be positive depending on the industry cycle, but mostly it could be a CON as working capital is tied up, Be Careful
  • payables running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 12.43 wrt mean ratio: 30.742']
  • mental_model: the more this is the better, nothing bad about it.
  • cash running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.29 wrt mean ratio: 0.337']
  • mental_model: cash trend should be similar or greater to revenue, if company is heavily reinvesting it might be OK, but do check

Profits Matter beta

💰 Companies needs to have positive profits to reward its shareholders in the long term
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • positive cashflows profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['277645333.33 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive cashflows profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term

Capital Allocation beta

🧠 Remember: Shareholders only gets rewarded if management does prudent capital allocation decisions
Score 0.0 / 10.0

  • cashToRevenue running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.29 wrt mean ratio: 0.337']
  • cashToEquity running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.36 wrt mean ratio: 0.472']

Business Performance beta

Score 5.0 / 10.0

  • Operating Leverage Cashflow cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [0.85] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 24.14, value_2: 28.44']
  • mental_model: We want Cashflow to grow atleast 90% of Revenue CAGR
  • Cash Cagr cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [2.97] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 28.07, value_2: 9.45']
  • mental_model: We want Cash to grow atleast 90% of Revenue CAGR

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Cash Flow beta


  • margin_cashflow for normalized average for last 3 years
    • ["Trend is up, expected: ['stable', 'up'], last:0.172, avg: 0.1551"]
  • margin_cashflow_avg for normalized average for last 3 years
    • ['Condition 1: last: 0.172, threshold: 0.1, criteria: greater than equal to', 'Condition 2: last: 0.172, threshold: 1, criteria: less than equal to']
  • margin_cashflow_times for normalized average for last 3 years
    • ['ratio: 1.0, threshold_value:0.1, threshold_percentage: 0.7, condition_met_count: 14, total: 14']

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We do NOT feel in CONTROL in the markets. Do we know why?

1. Showing BALANCE_SUMMARY report for AXON [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 818.87 as of 2025-06-30
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
AXON StockMarketPrice 594.32 258.11 165.93 157.00 122.53 73.28 43.75 26.50 24.24 17.29 26.48 15.88 8.94 5.12 4.70 4.38
AXON revenue 2.08B 1.56B 1.19B 0.86B 0.68B 0.53B 0.42B 0.34B 0.27B 0.20B 0.16B 0.14B 0.11B 0.09B 0.04B 0.04B
AXON assets 4.47B 3.41B 2.85B 1.69B 1.38B 0.85B 0.72B 0.34B 0.28B 0.23B 0.19B 0.15B 0.12B 0.10B 0.14B 0.0
AXON cash 0.45B 0.60B 0.35B 0.36B 0.16B 0.17B 0.35B 0.08B 0.04B 0.06B 0.05B 0.04B 0.04B 0.02B 0.04B 0.0
AXON cashflow::operating 0.41B 0.19B 0.24B 0.12B 0.04B 0.07B 0.06B 0.02B 0.02B 0.05B 0.04B 0.03B 0.03B 0.02B 0.00B 0.01B
AXON equity 2.33B 1.62B 0.00B 0.00B 0.98B 0.54B 0.47B 0.17B 0.15B 0.16B 0.13B 0.11B 0.09B 0.08B 0.12B 0.0
AXON shares 0.08B 0.08B 0.07B 0.07B 0.06B 0.06B 0.06B 0.05B 0.05B 0.05B 0.05B 0.05B 0.05B 0.06B 0.06B 0.06B
AXON shares_calc 0.08B 0.07B 0.07B 0.07B 0.06B 0.16B 0.15B 0.11B 0.10B 0.10B 0.10B 0.10B 0.10B 0.11B 0.12B 0.12B
AXON inventory 0.27B 0.27B 0.20B 0.11B 0.09B 0.04B 0.03B 0.05B 0.03B 0.02B 0.02B 0.01B 0.01B 0.01B 0.02B 0.0
AXON payables 0.07B 0.07B 59.92B 32.22B 24.14B 25.87B 15.16B 8.59B 10.74B 7.33B 7.68B 6.22B 0.01B 0.00B 0.00B 0.0
AXON receivables 0.55B 417.69B 358.19B 320.82B 229.20B 146.88B 130.58B 56.06B 39.47B 27.70B 30.73B 22.49B 18.10B 0.0 0.0 0.0
AXON roa_cfo 11.98% 6.64% 13.94% 9.01% 4.55% 9.13% 18.89% 6.65% 9.19% 25.06% 23.88% 27.90% 25.26% 12.68% 0.54% inf
AXON roe_cfo 25.27% 14920.33% 22461.35% 12.75% 7.08% 14.05% 38.15% 12.25% 13.46% 35.97% 32.70% 37.15% 32.16% 14.69% 0.62% inf
AXON roce_cfo 11.98% 6.64% 13.94% 9.01% 4.55% 9.13% 18.89% 6.65% 9.19% 25.06% 23.88% 27.90% 25.26% 12.68% 0.54% inf
AXON roic_cfo 0.10% 0.06% 0.08% 0.06% 0.03% 0.06% 0.13% 0.06% 0.10% 0.20% 0.22% 0.18% 0.15% 35.11% 1.49% inf
AXON goodwill 0.76B 0.06B 0.04B 0.04B 0.03B 0.03B 0.02B 0.01B 0.01B 0.01B 0.00B 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

2. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for AXON [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 818.87 as of 2025-06-30
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
AXON StockMarketPrice
AXON revenue 27.31 20.83 16.68 12.61 11.02 3.41 2.76 3.19 2.71 2.00 1.66 1.36 1.12 0.81 0.33 0.37
AXON assets 58.68 45.50 40.07 24.66 22.35 5.44 4.73 3.14 2.81 2.32 1.87 1.46 1.13 0.94 1.16 0.0
AXON cash 5.96 7.99 4.97 5.20 2.52 1.11 2.30 0.70 0.41 0.60 0.49 0.42 0.35 0.19 0.36 0.0
AXON cashflow::operating 5.35 2.53 3.31 1.82 0.62 0.42 0.42 0.17 0.21 0.47 0.36 0.32 0.26 0.16 0.01 0.09
AXON equity 30.52 21.56 0.02 0.02 15.80 3.49 3.07 1.55 1.52 1.58 1.30 1.07 0.85 0.74 1.00 0.0
AXON shares 1.03 1.01 1.02 0.97 1.00 0.38 0.37 0.49 0.53 0.54 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53
AXON shares_calc 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
AXON inventory 3.48 3.60 2.85 1.59 1.46 0.25 0.22 0.42 0.35 0.16 0.18 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.15 0.0
AXON payables 0.94 0.88 841.95 470.59 390.76 166.36 99.65 79.77 108.27 73.96 77.48 61.35 0.06 0.04 0.04 0.0
AXON receivables 7.18 0.00B 0.00B 0.00B 0.00B 944.35 858.08 520.51 398.00 279.38 309.98 221.77 176.64 0.0 0.0 0.0
AXON goodwill 9.93 0.77 0.63 0.64 0.41 0.16 0.16 0.14 0.11 0.10 0.02 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

3. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for AXON [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 818.87 as of 2025-06-30
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
AXON StockMarketPrice
AXON revenue 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
AXON assets 214.86% 218.44% 240.23% 195.53% 202.79% 159.30% 171.29% 98.35% 103.70% 116.16% 112.67% 107.66% 101.29% 116.59% 349.00% 0.0
AXON cash 21.84% 38.35% 29.79% 41.27% 22.83% 32.45% 83.19% 21.85% 15.15% 30.08% 29.40% 30.67% 31.48% 23.66% 109.39% 0.0
AXON cashflow::operating 19.61% 12.13% 19.83% 14.42% 5.65% 12.37% 15.21% 5.38% 7.88% 23.47% 21.54% 23.53% 23.11% 19.18% 1.87% 23.27%
AXON equity 111.77% 103.53% 0.11% 0.12% 143.36% 102.38% 111.25% 48.70% 56.25% 79.34% 78.47% 78.61% 76.06% 91.59% 301.28% 0.0
AXON shares 3.77% 4.83% 6.11% 7.67% 9.07% 11.15% 13.42% 15.34% 19.63% 27.06% 32.18% 39.29% 47.69% 66.02% 160.23% 142.41%
AXON shares_calc 3.66% 4.80% 5.99% 7.93% 9.07% 29.30% 36.23% 31.33% 36.97% 50.10% 60.26% 73.57% 89.30% 123.63% 300.05% 266.68%
AXON inventory 12.74% 17.29% 17.06% 12.59% 13.21% 7.32% 8.04% 13.22% 12.99% 7.97% 11.14% 8.06% 9.58% 12.76% 45.66% 0.0
AXON payables 3.46% 4.22% 5047.24% 3731.84% 3545.07% 4873.98% 3609.89% 2499.14% 4002.31% 3705.56% 4669.20% 4513.50% 5.42% 5.01% 11.66% 0.0
AXON receivables 26.29% 26763.01% 30172.44% 37158.45% 33656.39% 27667.94% 31085.21% 16307.25% 14712.67% 13998.04% 18681.05% 16315.63% 15773.88% 0.0 0.0 0.0
AXON goodwill 36.34% 3.71% 3.79% 5.05% 3.70% 4.71% 5.95% 4.34% 3.89% 4.85% 1.34% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

4. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to assets for AXON [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 818.87 as of 2025-06-30
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
AXON StockMarketPrice
AXON revenue 46.54% 45.78% 41.63% 51.14% 49.31% 62.78% 58.38% 101.68% 96.43% 86.08% 88.76% 92.89% 98.72% 85.77% 28.65%
AXON assets 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
AXON cash 10.17% 17.56% 12.40% 21.11% 11.26% 20.37% 48.57% 22.21% 14.61% 25.89% 26.09% 28.49% 31.08% 20.29% 31.34%
AXON cashflow::operating 9.13% 5.55% 8.25% 7.37% 2.79% 7.77% 8.88% 5.47% 7.60% 20.20% 19.11% 21.85% 22.81% 16.45% 0.54%
AXON equity 52.02% 47.39% 0.04% 0.06% 70.69% 64.27% 64.95% 49.52% 54.24% 68.30% 69.65% 73.02% 75.09% 78.56% 86.33%
AXON shares 1.76% 2.21% 2.54% 3.92% 4.47% 7.00% 7.84% 15.59% 18.93% 23.29% 28.56% 36.49% 47.08% 56.63% 45.91%
AXON shares_calc 1.70% 2.20% 2.50% 4.06% 4.47% 18.39% 21.15% 31.86% 35.65% 43.13% 53.49% 68.34% 88.16% 106.04% 85.97%
AXON inventory 5.93% 7.92% 7.10% 6.44% 6.51% 4.59% 4.69% 13.45% 12.53% 6.86% 9.88% 7.49% 9.46% 10.94% 13.08%
AXON payables 1.61% 1.93% 2100.99% 1908.53% 1748.12% 3059.70% 2107.46% 2541.17% 3859.61% 3189.91% 4144.19% 4192.56% 5.35% 4.30% 3.34%
AXON receivables 12.24% 12251.94% 12559.72% 19003.50% 16596.47% 17368.88% 18147.57% 16581.49% 14188.08% 12050.15% 16580.53% 15155.48% 15572.59% 0.0 0.0
AXON goodwill 16.91% 1.70% 1.58% 2.58% 1.83% 2.96% 3.47% 4.41% 3.75% 4.17% 1.19% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)


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