IBKR is OVERVALUED SecDiverAI
Median Fair Price 161.27
Confidence: MEDIUM
Fair Price Range 144.22 - 335.5
1 Year Price target: $ 187.83 - $ 208.02
3 Year Price target: $ 254.8 - $ 346.12
Current Market Price: 206.61 as of 2025-05-24
Investment Value of 100 $ invested in IBKR as compared to Market Index: SPY across historical periods[*does not include dividends]
Investment Period $ Value Today(IBKR) $ Value Today(SPY) CAGR vs Market
9 years before $ 505.24 $ 208.39 19.72% vs SPY:8.5%
5 years before $ 457.44 $ 150.37 35.54% vs SPY:8.5%
3 years before $ 264.93 $ 127.73 38.37% vs SPY:8.5%
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We have 3 report results for ticker: IBKR - Interactive Brokers Group, Inc., also organized by 3 group tags below ... Bargain Finder: Related Companies Portfolio Health: Related Companies

Business Checklist for IBKR from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time

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Red Flags Identified


5

Total Checks Done


19

Wall Street Drivers beta

📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • revenue cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['15.04 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which grow >= 5% YoY, better than GDP growth of >= 2-3%
  • operating profits cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['22.09 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate operating profits >= 5% YoY
  • shares outstanding cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['-28.62 is less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful
  • net profits cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['22.19 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate net profits >= 5% YoY
  • roe average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['72.48 is greater than equal to 10']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on equity >= 10%, ROE matters for businesses like Insurance, Banks, Financials
  • roce average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['71.92 is greater than equal to 15']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on capital >= 15%, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them

Business Durability beta

🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score 6.0 / 10.0

  • margin operating running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.7 wrt mean ratio: 0.514']
  • margin net running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.64 wrt mean ratio: 0.467']
  • roa average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 2.46 wrt mean ratio: 1.776']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on assets
  • roe average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 72.48 wrt mean ratio: 79.842']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on equity
  • roce average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 71.92 wrt mean ratio: 76.943']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on capital employed

Valuation is the Key beta

💎 Buying Quality companies at cheap provides the right Margin of Safety in the longer term
Score 0.0 / 10.0

  • pe average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['16.64 is NOT less than equal to 15', '16.64 is greater than 0']
  • mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want lower number here when we are BUY mode, PE <=15 preferred
  • pb average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['5.7 is NOT less than equal to 2', '5.7 is greater than 0']
  • mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want lower number here when we are BUY mode, PB <=2 preferred

Profits Matter beta

💰 Companies needs to have positive profits to reward its shareholders in the long term
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • positive operating profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['2920666666.67 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive operating profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term
  • positive net profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['2687000000.0 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive net profits for last 3 years, GAAP net Profits determine Stock prices in the long term

Business Performance beta

Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • Operating Leverage cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [1.47] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 22.09, value_2: 15.04']

Taxes, Interest and Unearned beta

📈Note: this is a new one, so do not use this for now, we are looking at data
Score 0.0 / 10.0

  • interest_income running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 1.29 wrt mean ratio: 0.529']

Valuation Insights Relative to History beta

Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • pe average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 16.64 wrt mean ratio: 289.175']
  • mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want stability on decreasing trend here
  • pb average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 5.7 wrt mean ratio: 179.273']
  • mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want stability on decreasing trend here

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We do NOT feel in CONTROL in the markets. Do we know why?

1. Showing INCOME_SUMMARY report for IBKR [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 206.61 as of 2025-05-24
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
IBKR revenue 5.18B 4.34B 3.07B 2.71B 2.22B 2.58B 2.37B 1.93B 1.48B 1.26B 1.12B 1.13B 1.19B 1.44B 0.99B 1.17B
IBKR netincome 3.41B 2.81B 1.84B 1.64B 1.18B 1.09B 1.12B 0.79B 0.70B 0.41B 0.46B 0.42B 0.50B 0.69B 0.28B 0.48B
IBKR operatingincome 3.69B 3.07B 2.00B 1.79B 1.26B 1.16B 1.20B 1.05B 0.76B 0.46B 0.51B 0.45B 0.53B 0.74B 0.34B 0.54B
IBKR grossincome 5.18B 4.34B 3.07B 2.71B 2.22B 2.58B 2.37B 1.93B 1.48B 1.26B 1.12B 1.13B 1.19B 1.44B 0.99B 1.17B
IBKR interest_income 7.34B 6.23B 2.69B 1.57B 1.35B 1.73B 1.39B 0.91B 0.61B 0.49B 0.42B 0.30B 0.27B 0.28B 0.17B 0.12B
IBKR interest_expense 3.69B 3.07B 2.00B 1.79B 1.26B 1.16B 1.20B 1.05B 0.76B 0.73B 0.54B 0.62B 0.60B 0.74B 0.58B 0.56B
IBKR shares 0.11B 0.11B 0.10B 0.10B 0.08B 0.08B 0.07B 0.07B 0.07B 0.06B 0.06B 0.05B 0.05B 0.04B 0.04B 0.04B
IBKR shares_calc 0.42B 0.42B 0.40B 1.66B 1.71B 1.67B 1.67B 9.26B 9.20B 9.03B 9.03B 7.97B 7.36B 6.94B 6.65B 6.54B
IBKR pe 21.88 12.36 15.69 79.31 86.28 69.24 78.11 661.45 455.76 889.32 532.05 423.30 180.62 130.89 0.0 0.0
IBKR pb 4.49 2.47 10.15 54.18 52.14 51.93 68.54 481.22 327.08 427.66 318.68 250.17 149.98 19.19 0.0 0.0
IBKR roa 2.88% 2.67% 1.83% 1.87% 1.75% 1.91% 1.96% 1.92% 1.56% 1.06% 1.34% 1.36% 1.73% 2.60% 0.0 0.0
IBKR roe 26.27% 107.76% 83.42% 91.59% 86.50% 90.25% 109.72% 107.70% 88.18% 59.77% 71.56% 75.40% 11.25% 17.69% 0.0 0.0
IBKR roce 26.20% 107.08% 82.49% 86.37% 85.56% 89.07% 108.24% 100.10% 88.18% 57.23% 69.15% 63.66% 11.23% 16.94% 0.0 0.0
IBKR roic inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf
IBKR margin_gross 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
IBKR margin_op 71.26% 70.71% 65.15% 65.84% 56.63% 44.84% 50.55% 54.44% 51.59% 36.46% 45.37% 40.01% 44.19% 51.30% 34.14% 46.02%
IBKR margin_net 65.71% 64.79% 60.06% 60.28% 53.16% 42.21% 47.55% 41.15% 47.39% 33.04% 41.15% 37.06% 41.68% 47.57% 28.04% 41.39%
IBKR costs:ga 0.31B 0.21B 0.17B 0.18B 0.24B 0.11B 0.10B 0.09B 0.06B 0.06B 0.06B 0.12B 0.05B 0.06B 0.05B 0.04B
IBKR costs:sgna 0.31B 0.21B 0.17B 0.18B 0.24B 0.11B 0.10B 0.09B 0.06B 0.06B 0.06B 0.12B 0.05B 0.06B 0.05B 0.04B
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

2. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for IBKR [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 206.61 as of 2025-05-24
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
IBKR revenue 12.27 10.27 7.58 1.63 1.30 1.55 1.42 0.21 0.16 0.14 0.12 0.14 0.16 0.21 0.15 0.18
IBKR netincome 8.06 6.66 4.56 0.98 0.69 0.65 0.67 0.09 0.08 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.07 0.10 0.04 0.07
IBKR operatingincome 8.75 7.26 4.94 1.07 0.73 0.69 0.72 0.11 0.08 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.11 0.05 0.08
IBKR grossincome 12.27 10.27 7.58 1.63 1.30 1.55 1.42 0.21 0.16 0.14 0.12 0.14 0.16 0.21 0.15 0.18
IBKR interest_income 17.37 14.74 6.64 0.94 0.79 1.03 0.83 0.10 0.07 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.02
IBKR interest_expense 8.75 7.26 4.94 1.07 0.73 0.69 0.72 0.11 0.08 0.08 0.06 0.08 0.08 0.11 0.09 0.09
IBKR shares 0.26 0.25 0.25 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
IBKR shares_calc 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
IBKR roic 0.24% 0.24% 0.25% 0.06% 0.06% 0.06% 0.06% 0.01% 0.01% 0.01% 0.01% 0.01% 0.01% 0.01% 0.02% 0.02%
IBKR costs:ga 0.74 0.50 0.41 0.11 0.14 0.07 0.06 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
IBKR costs:sgna 0.74 0.50 0.41 0.11 0.14 0.07 0.06 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

3. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for IBKR [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 206.61 as of 2025-05-24
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
IBKR revenue 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
IBKR netincome 65.71% 64.79% 60.06% 60.28% 53.16% 42.21% 47.55% 41.15% 47.39% 33.04% 41.15% 37.06% 41.68% 47.57% 28.04% 41.39%
IBKR operatingincome 71.26% 70.71% 65.15% 65.84% 56.63% 44.84% 50.55% 54.44% 51.59% 36.46% 45.37% 40.01% 44.19% 51.30% 34.14% 46.02%
IBKR grossincome 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
IBKR interest_income 141.54% 143.55% 87.58% 57.70% 60.69% 66.90% 58.83% 47.12% 41.08% 39.17% 37.30% 26.95% 22.67% 19.40% 17.45% 10.40%
IBKR interest_expense 71.26% 70.71% 65.15% 65.84% 56.63% 44.84% 50.55% 54.44% 51.59% 58.20% 48.15% 55.41% 50.61% 51.30% 59.16% 48.05%
IBKR shares 2.10% 2.44% 3.30% 3.50% 3.64% 2.98% 3.14% 3.68% 4.56% 4.98% 5.17% 4.51% 3.95% 3.07% 4.30% 3.57%
IBKR shares_calc 8.15% 9.74% 13.18% 61.30% 77.11% 64.72% 70.57% 480.32% 624.05% 718.80% 809.29% 706.26% 617.52% 480.45% 672.71% 559.01%
IBKR roic 1.93% 2.30% 3.26% 3.68% 4.51% 3.88% 4.23% 5.19% 6.78% 7.96% 8.96% 8.87% 8.39% 6.92% 10.12% 8.55%
IBKR costs:ga 6.06% 4.86% 5.38% 6.48% 10.64% 4.34% 4.06% 4.46% 4.20% 4.62% 5.14% 10.20% 3.85% 4.08% 4.83% 3.73%
IBKR costs:sgna 6.06% 4.86% 5.38% 6.48% 10.64% 4.34% 4.06% 4.46% 4.20% 4.62% 5.14% 10.20% 3.85% 4.08% 4.83% 3.73%
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)


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