IBKR is OVERVALUED SecDiverAI
Median Fair Price 161.27
Confidence: MEDIUM

Fair Price Range 144.22 - 335.5
1 Year Price target: $ 187.83 - $ 208.02
3 Year Price target: $ 254.8 - $ 346.12

Current Market Price: 206.61 as of 2025-05-24
Investment Value of 100 $ invested in IBKR as compared to Market Index: SPY across historical periods[*does not include dividends]
Investment Period $ Value Today(IBKR) $ Value Today(SPY) CAGR vs Market
9 years before $ 505.24 $ 208.39 19.72% vs SPY:8.5%
5 years before $ 457.44 $ 150.37 35.54% vs SPY:8.5%
3 years before $ 264.93 $ 127.73 38.37% vs SPY:8.5%


We have 4 report results for ticker: IBKR - Interactive Brokers Group, Inc., also organized by 4 group tags below ... Bargain Finder: Related Companies Portfolio Health: Related Companies

Business Checklist for IBKR from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time

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Red Flags Identified


8

Total Checks Done


30

Wall Street Drivers beta

📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • revenue cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['15.04 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which grow >= 5% YoY, better than GDP growth of >= 2-3%
  • cashflows cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['35.71 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate cashflows >= 5% YoY, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
  • shares outstanding cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['-28.62 is less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful
  • debt cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['-5.97 is less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business with lower debt growth
  • equity cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['31.27 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business having shareholder equity growth >= 5% YoY
  • roe average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['72.48 is greater than equal to 10']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on equity >= 10%, ROE matters for businesses like Insurance, Banks, Financials
  • roce average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['71.92 is greater than equal to 15']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on capital >= 15%, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
  • leverage average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['0.0 is less than equal to 5', '0.0 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business which can pay their debts in less than 5 years using cashflows, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them

Business Durability beta

🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score 6.0 / 10.0

  • margin cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 1.37 wrt mean ratio: 1.049']
  • roa average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 2.46 wrt mean ratio: 1.776']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on assets
  • roe average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 72.48 wrt mean ratio: 79.842']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on equity
  • roce average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 71.92 wrt mean ratio: 76.943']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on capital employed
  • cash average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 3607333333.33 wrt mean ratio: 2327068179.488']
  • mental_model: We want stability on cash growth

Valuation is the Key beta

💎 Buying Quality companies at cheap provides the right Margin of Safety in the longer term
Score 0.0 / 10.0

  • pe average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['16.64 is NOT less than equal to 15', '16.64 is greater than 0']
  • mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want lower number here when we are BUY mode, PE <=15 preferred
  • pb average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['5.7 is NOT less than equal to 2', '5.7 is greater than 0']
  • mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want lower number here when we are BUY mode, PB <=2 preferred

Business Trends last 3 years beta

Score 7.0 / 10.0

  • receivables running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 12.4 wrt mean ratio: 13.558']
  • mental_model: receivables should always grow less with revenues otherwise there might be some payment/collection issues, Watch out
  • payables running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 24.95 wrt mean ratio: 25.256']
  • mental_model: the more this is the better, nothing bad about it.
  • cash running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.86 wrt mean ratio: 1.159']
  • mental_model: cash trend should be similar or greater to revenue, if company is heavily reinvesting it might be OK, but do check

Profits Matter beta

💰 Companies needs to have positive profits to reward its shareholders in the long term
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • positive cashflows profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['5745333333.33 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive cashflows profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term

Capital Allocation beta

🧠 Remember: Shareholders only gets rewarded if management does prudent capital allocation decisions
Score 0.0 / 10.0

  • cashToRevenue running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.86 wrt mean ratio: 1.159']
  • cashToEquity running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.32 wrt mean ratio: 1.411']

Business Performance beta

Score 8.0 / 10.0

  • Operating Leverage Cashflow cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [2.37] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 35.71, value_2: 15.04']
  • debt cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [-0.4] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 1, value_1: -5.97, value_2: 15.04']
  • cash cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [0.37] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 11.53, value_2: 31.27']
  • debt-equity-cagr cagr for last 9 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [-0.19] for last 9 year ratio, threshold 1, value_1: -5.97, value_2: 31.27']
  • mental_model: We want debt to grow less than equity

Balance Sheet Quality beta

📈 Quality companies can withstand darkest hours, strong balance sheet is the key
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • debtToCashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.0 wrt mean ratio: 0.04']
  • debtToEquity running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.0 wrt mean ratio: 0.027']
  • leverage average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['0.0 is less than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business which can pay their debts in less than 5 years

Valuation Insights Relative to History beta

Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • pe average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 16.64 wrt mean ratio: 289.175']
  • mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want stability on decreasing trend here
  • pb average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 5.7 wrt mean ratio: 179.273']
  • mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want stability on decreasing trend here

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We do NOT feel in CONTROL in the markets. Do we know why?

1. Showing BALANCE_SUMMARY report for IBKR [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 206.61 as of 2025-05-24

T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
IBKR StockMarketPrice 176.45 82.29 71.47 77.99 59.48 45.16 52.63 56.67 34.61 40.88 27.05 22.21 12.19 12.96
IBKR revenue 5.18B 4.34B 3.07B 2.71B 2.22B 2.58B 2.37B 1.93B 1.48B 1.26B 1.12B 1.13B 1.19B 1.44B 0.99B 1.17B
IBKR assets 150.14B 128.42B 115.14B 109.11B 95.68B 71.68B 60.55B 61.16B 54.67B 48.73B 43.39B 37.87B 33.20B 30.40B 28.50B 0.0
IBKR cash 3.63B 3.75B 3.44B 2.40B 4.29B 2.88B 2.60B 1.73B 1.93B 1.60B 1.27B 1.21B 1.61B 1.70B 1.35B 0.0
IBKR cashflow::operating 8.72B 4.54B 3.97B 5.90B 8.07B 2.67B 2.36B 1.06B 0.64B 0.72B 0.42B 0.14B 0.73B 1.09B 1.69B 0.15B
IBKR equity 16.60B 14.07B 2.85B 2.40B 1.95B 1.45B 1.28B 1.09B 0.97B 0.86B 0.77B 0.71B 0.60B 4.69B 4.19B 0.0
IBKR debt 0.01B 0.03B 0.02B 0.03B 0.12B 0.02B 0.02B 0.01B 0.07B 0.0 0.03B 0.02B 0.11B 0.01B 0.19B 0.0
IBKR shares 0.11B 0.11B 0.10B 0.10B 0.08B 0.08B 0.07B 0.07B 0.07B 0.06B 0.06B 0.05B 0.05B 0.04B 0.04B 0.04B
IBKR shares_calc 0.42B 0.42B 0.40B 1.66B 1.71B 1.67B 1.67B 9.26B 9.20B 9.03B 9.03B 7.97B 7.36B 6.94B 6.65B 6.54B
IBKR inventory inf inf inf inf inf inf 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
IBKR payables 116.99B 102.80B 94.42B 86.91B 76.57B 56.94B 48.66B 48.19B 42.34B 37.88B 32.41B 27.04B 22.15B 18.07B 16.04B 0.0
IBKR receivables 67.07B 46.49B 42.57B 58.83B 40.69B 32.15B 27.86B 30.76B 20.51B 17.80B 18.22B 14.48B 10.72B 8.44B 7.73B 0.0
IBKR pe 21.88 12.36 15.69 79.31 86.28 69.24 78.11 661.45 455.76 889.32 532.05 423.30 180.62 130.89 0.0 0.0
IBKR pb 4.49 2.47 10.15 54.18 52.14 51.93 68.54 481.22 327.08 427.66 318.68 250.17 149.98 19.19 0.0 0.0
IBKR roa 2.88% 2.67% 1.83% 1.87% 1.75% 1.91% 1.96% 1.92% 1.56% 1.06% 1.34% 1.36% 1.73% 2.60% 0.0 0.0
IBKR roe 26.27% 107.76% 83.42% 91.59% 86.50% 90.25% 109.72% 107.70% 88.18% 59.77% 71.56% 75.40% 11.25% 17.69% 0.0 0.0
IBKR roce 26.20% 107.08% 82.49% 86.37% 85.56% 89.07% 108.24% 100.10% 88.18% 57.23% 69.15% 63.66% 11.23% 16.94% 0.0 0.0
IBKR roic inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf inf
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)


2. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to shares_calc for IBKR [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 206.61 as of 2025-05-24

T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
IBKR StockMarketPrice
IBKR revenue 12.27 10.27 7.58 1.63 1.30 1.55 1.42 0.21 0.16 0.14 0.12 0.14 0.16 0.21 0.15 0.18
IBKR assets 355.35 303.94 284.75 65.58 55.94 42.93 36.26 6.61 5.94 5.40 4.81 4.75 4.51 4.38 4.29 0.0
IBKR cash 8.60 8.88 8.50 1.44 2.51 1.73 1.56 0.19 0.21 0.18 0.14 0.15 0.22 0.24 0.20 0.0
IBKR cashflow::operating 20.65 10.75 9.81 3.54 4.72 1.60 1.41 0.12 0.07 0.08 0.05 0.02 0.10 0.16 0.25 0.02
IBKR equity 39.28 33.29 7.04 1.44 1.14 0.87 0.77 0.12 0.11 0.10 0.08 0.09 0.08 0.68 0.63 0.0
IBKR debt 0.03 0.08 0.04 0.02 0.07 0.01 0.01 0.0 0.01 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.01 0.0 0.03 0.0
IBKR shares 0.26 0.25 0.25 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
IBKR shares_calc 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
IBKR inventory 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
IBKR payables 276.89 243.30 233.51 52.24 44.77 34.11 29.14 5.21 4.60 4.20 3.59 3.39 3.01 2.60 2.41 0.0
IBKR receivables 158.75 110.03 105.27 35.36 23.79 19.25 16.69 3.32 2.23 1.97 2.02 1.82 1.46 1.22 1.16 0.0
IBKR roic 0.24% 0.24% 0.25% 0.06% 0.06% 0.06% 0.06% 0.01% 0.01% 0.01% 0.01% 0.01% 0.01% 0.01% 0.02% 0.02%
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)


3. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to revenue for IBKR [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 206.61 as of 2025-05-24

T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
IBKR StockMarketPrice
IBKR revenue 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
IBKR assets 2895.70% 2959.06% 3754.25% 4020.38% 4313.75% 2778.14% 2559.04% 3173.95% 3706.64% 3880.10% 3889.12% 3357.33% 2784.10% 2104.74% 2883.69% 0.0
IBKR cash 70.07% 86.47% 112.03% 88.25% 193.51% 111.71% 109.76% 89.88% 130.51% 127.47% 113.78% 107.56% 135.40% 117.37% 137.02% 0.0
IBKR cashflow::operating 168.25% 104.70% 129.38% 217.24% 363.75% 103.33% 99.58% 55.27% 43.05% 57.72% 37.38% 12.49% 60.84% 75.17% 171.34% 12.88%
IBKR equity 320.10% 324.12% 92.86% 88.25% 87.96% 56.28% 54.18% 56.56% 66.03% 68.71% 68.69% 62.70% 50.19% 324.39% 423.80% 0.0
IBKR debt 0.27% 0.78% 0.59% 0.99% 5.32% 0.62% 0.72% 0.78% 5.02% 0.0 3.05% 2.18% 9.26% 0.45% 18.96% 0.0
IBKR shares 2.10% 2.44% 3.30% 3.50% 3.64% 2.98% 3.14% 3.68% 4.56% 4.98% 5.17% 4.51% 3.95% 3.07% 4.30% 3.57%
IBKR shares_calc 8.15% 9.74% 13.18% 61.30% 77.11% 64.72% 70.57% 480.32% 624.05% 718.80% 809.29% 706.26% 617.52% 480.45% 672.71% 559.01%
IBKR inventory 1.93% 2.30% 3.26% 3.68% 4.51% 3.88% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
IBKR payables 2256.32% 2368.64% 3078.71% 3202.39% 3452.07% 2207.13% 2056.47% 2500.62% 2870.58% 3015.84% 2905.00% 2396.86% 1857.53% 1250.77% 1623.44% 0.0
IBKR receivables 1293.62% 1071.20% 1388.00% 2167.76% 1834.58% 1246.01% 1177.68% 1596.26% 1390.24% 1417.60% 1633.23% 1283.81% 898.89% 584.51% 781.69% 0.0
IBKR roic 1.93% 2.30% 3.26% 3.68% 4.51% 3.88% 4.23% 5.19% 6.78% 7.96% 8.96% 8.87% 8.39% 6.92% 10.12% 8.55%
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)


4. Vertical Data, ratio wrt to assets for IBKR [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 206.61 as of 2025-05-24

T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
IBKR StockMarketPrice
IBKR revenue 3.45% 3.38% 2.66% 2.49% 2.32% 3.60% 3.91% 3.15% 2.70% 2.58% 2.57% 2.98% 3.59% 4.75% 3.47%
IBKR assets 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
IBKR cash 2.42% 2.92% 2.98% 2.19% 4.49% 4.02% 4.29% 2.83% 3.52% 3.29% 2.93% 3.20% 4.86% 5.58% 4.75%
IBKR cashflow::operating 5.81% 3.54% 3.45% 5.40% 8.43% 3.72% 3.89% 1.74% 1.16% 1.49% 0.96% 0.37% 2.19% 3.57% 5.94%
IBKR equity 11.05% 10.95% 2.47% 2.19% 2.04% 2.03% 2.12% 1.78% 1.78% 1.77% 1.77% 1.87% 1.80% 15.41% 14.70%
IBKR debt 0.01% 0.03% 0.02% 0.02% 0.12% 0.02% 0.03% 0.02% 0.14% 0.0 0.08% 0.07% 0.33% 0.02% 0.66%
IBKR shares 0.07% 0.08% 0.09% 0.09% 0.08% 0.11% 0.12% 0.12% 0.12% 0.13% 0.13% 0.13% 0.14% 0.15% 0.15%
IBKR shares_calc 0.28% 0.33% 0.35% 1.52% 1.79% 2.33% 2.76% 15.13% 16.84% 18.53% 20.81% 21.04% 22.18% 22.83% 23.33%
IBKR inventory 0.07% 0.08% 0.09% 0.09% 0.10% 0.14% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
IBKR payables 77.92% 80.05% 82.01% 79.65% 80.02% 79.45% 80.36% 78.79% 77.44% 77.73% 74.70% 71.39% 66.72% 59.43% 56.30%
IBKR receivables 44.67% 36.20% 36.97% 53.92% 42.53% 44.85% 46.02% 50.29% 37.51% 36.54% 41.99% 38.24% 32.29% 27.77% 27.11%
IBKR roic 0.07% 0.08% 0.09% 0.09% 0.10% 0.14% 0.17% 0.16% 0.18% 0.21% 0.23% 0.26% 0.30% 0.33% 0.35%
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)



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