We have 2 report results for ticker: BLBD - Blue Bird Corporation, also organized by 1 group tags below ... Bargain Finder: Related Companies Portfolio Health: Related Companies

Business Checklist for BLBD from SecDiver AI beta Free for Limited Time

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Red Flags Identified


13

Total Checks Done


54

Wall Street Drivers beta

📊 Professional Investors(wallstreet) pay a lot of heed at these numbers, long term history matters - specially 9+ year trends
Score 8.0 / 10.0

  • revenue cagr for last 5 years
  • insight: ['5.74 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which grow >= 5% YoY, better than GDP growth of >= 2-3%
  • cashflows cagr for last 5 years
  • insight: ['14.81 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate cashflows >= 5% YoY, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
  • operating profits cagr for last 5 years
  • insight: ['26.02 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate operating profits >= 5% YoY
  • shares outstanding cagr for last 5 years
  • insight: ['4.04 is NOT less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: As a business owner equity is important, We want less dilution over years OR it should reduce so our share of business increases with time, less than 2% is ideal, >=10% is potentially bad be careful
  • net profits cagr for last 5 years
  • insight: ['34.14 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business which generate net profits >= 5% YoY
  • debt cagr for last 3 years
  • insight: ['-3.61 is less than equal to 2']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business with lower debt growth
  • sbc average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['0.08 is less than equal to 0.1']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business which has lower sbc % wrt cashflow operating
  • equity cagr for last 3 years
  • insight: ['65.19 is greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer growing Business having shareholder equity growth >= 5% YoY
  • interestCoverage average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['4.78 is NOT greater than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business which can cover their interest payments with cashflows, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
  • leverage average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['2.38 is less than equal to 5', '2.38 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business which can pay their debts in less than 5 years using cashflows, for some industries like finance specially Banks this might be lower/red and its OK for them
  • interestRate average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['0.09 is NOT less than equal to 0.05']
  • mental_model: We prefer lower interest rate than the current prevailing interest rates, we want long term debt profile too
  • roe_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['3010.16 is greater than equal to 10']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on equity >= 10%
  • roce_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['17.5 is greater than equal to 15']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on capital >= 15%
  • roic_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['57.14 is greater than equal to 15']
  • mental_model: Good Business have return on invested capital >= 15%

Business Durability beta

🏰 Quality companies with moats show higher or stable trends, long term trends matters, Consistency is the Key
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • margin cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.06 wrt mean ratio: 0.012']
  • margin operating running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.05 wrt mean ratio: 0.02']
  • margin net running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.03 wrt mean ratio: 0.005']
  • roa_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 17.5 wrt mean ratio: 4.273']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on assets
  • roe_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 3010.16 wrt mean ratio: 2006.143']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on equity
  • roce_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 17.5 wrt mean ratio: 4.273']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on capital employed
  • roic_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 57.14 wrt mean ratio: 14.197']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on invested capital
  • rotc_cashflow::operating average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 70.96 wrt mean ratio: 20.46']
  • mental_model: We want stability on increasing return on tangible capital

Valuation is the Key beta

💎 Buying Quality companies at cheap provides the right Margin of Safety in the longer term
Score 3.0 / 10.0

  • pe average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['29.59 is NOT less than equal to 15', '29.59 is greater than 0']
  • mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want lower number here when we are BUY mode, PE <=15 preferred
  • pocf average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['53.76 is NOT less than equal to 15', '53.76 is greater than 0']
  • mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want lower number here when we are BUY mode, POCF <=15 preferred
  • pb average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['92.56 is NOT less than equal to 2', '92.56 is greater than 0']
  • mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want lower number here when we are BUY mode, PB <=2 preferred
  • ps average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['0.71 is less than equal to 5', '0.71 is greater than 0']
  • mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want lower number here when we are BUY mode, PS <=5 preferred
  • evToEbitda average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['1.64 is less than equal to 15', '1.64 is greater than 0']
  • mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want lower number here when we are BUY mode, evToEbitda <=15 preferred
  • evToOcf average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['-0.11 is less than equal to 15', '-0.11 is NOT greater than 0']
  • mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want lower number here when we are BUY mode, POCF <=15 preferred

Business Trends last 3 years beta

Score 8.0 / 10.0

  • receivables running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.03 wrt mean ratio: 0.017']
  • mental_model: receivables should always grow less with revenues otherwise there might be some payment/collection issues, Watch out
  • inventory running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.12 wrt mean ratio: 0.137']
  • mental_model: inventory should always grow in relation with revenues, Inventory build can be positive depending on the industry cycle, but mostly it could be a CON as working capital is tied up, Be Careful
  • payables running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.12 wrt mean ratio: 0.113']
  • mental_model: the more this is the better, nothing bad about it.
  • capex running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.0 wrt mean ratio: 0.002']

Profits Matter beta

💰 Companies needs to have positive profits to reward its shareholders in the long term
Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • positive cashflows profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['68867666.67 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive cashflows profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term
  • positive operating profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['50096000.0 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive operating profits for last 3 years, Profits determine Stock prices in the long term
  • positive net profits average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['27866666.67 is greater than equal to 0']
  • mental_model: We want to see positive net profits for last 3 years, GAAP net Profits determine Stock prices in the long term

Capital Allocation beta

🧠 Remember: Shareholders only gets rewarded if management does prudent capital allocation decisions
Score 7.0 / 10.0

  • capex to Cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.01 wrt mean ratio: 0.708']
  • depreciation to capex running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 17.18 wrt mean ratio: 10.87']
  • mental_model: Helps understand where the company is investing for the future, OR it has to replenish its assets to maintain business
  • stock based compensation to Cashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 0.08 wrt mean ratio: 0.785']

Business Performance beta

Score 10.0 / 10.0

  • Operating Leverage Cashflow cagr for last 5 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [2.58] for last 5 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 14.81, value_2: 5.74']
  • mental_model: We want Cashflow to grow atleast 90% of Revenue CAGR
  • Operating Leverage cagr for last 5 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [4.53] for last 5 year ratio, threshold 0.9, value_1: 26.02, value_2: 5.74']
  • mental_model: We want Operating Income to grow atleast 90% of Revenue CAGR
  • Debt wrt Revenue cagr for last 3 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [-0.41] for last 3 year ratio, threshold 1, value_1: -3.61, value_2: 8.81']
  • mental_model: We want debt to grow less than revenue cagr
  • Debt wrt Equity cagr for last 3 years
  • insight: ['Ratio is [-0.06] for last 3 year ratio, threshold 1, value_1: -3.61, value_2: 65.19']
  • mental_model: We want debt to grow less than equity cagr

Balance Sheet Quality beta

📈 Quality companies can withstand darkest hours, strong balance sheet is the key
Score 8.0 / 10.0

  • debtToCashflow running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 2.38 wrt mean ratio: 3.127']
  • debtToEquity running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 2.44 wrt mean ratio: 20.417']
  • interestCoverage average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['4.78 is greater than equal to 3']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business which can cover their interest payments
  • leverage average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['2.38 is less than equal to 5']
  • mental_model: We prefer Business which can pay their debts in less than 5 years
  • interestRate average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['0.09 is NOT less than equal to 0.05']
  • mental_model: We prefer lower interest rate than the current prevailing interest rates, we want long term debt profile too

Taxes, Interest and Unearned beta

📈Note: this is a new one, so do not use this for now, we are looking at data
Score 0.0 / 10.0

  • income_tax running_sum for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.01 wrt mean ratio: 0.002']

Valuation Insights Relative to History beta

Score 7.0 / 10.0

  • pe average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 29.59 wrt mean ratio: 31.785']
  • mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want stability on decreasing trend here
  • pocf average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is stable, last 3 year ratio: 53.76 wrt mean ratio: 53.705']
  • mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want stability on decreasing trend here
  • pb average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 92.56 wrt mean ratio: 83.98']
  • mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want stability on decreasing trend here
  • ps average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is higher, last 3 year ratio: 0.71 wrt mean ratio: 0.638']
  • mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want stability on decreasing trend here
  • evToEbitda average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: 1.64 wrt mean ratio: 10.715']
  • mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want stability on decreasing trend here
  • evToOcf average for last 3 years
  • insight: ['trend is lower, last 3 year ratio: -0.11 wrt mean ratio: 25.648']
  • mental_model: It depends which side of the equation you are, Buy, Hold or Sell but typically We want stability on decreasing trend here

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Balance Sheet beta


  • debt_equity_ratio_trend for normalized average for last 3 years
    • ["Trend is down, expected: ['stable', 'down'], last:0.709, avg: 1.2312"]
  • debt_equity_ratio_avg for normalized average for last 3 years
    • [['last: 0.709 is not less than threshold: 0.5, criteria: less than equal to']]
  • debt_servicing_ratio_trend for normalized average for last 3 years
    • ["Trend is down, expected: ['stable', 'down'], last:2.375, avg: 20.3648"]
  • debt_servicing_ratio_avg for normalized average for last 3 years
    • ['last: 2.375, threshold: 3, criteria: less than equal to']
  • interest_servicing_ratio_trend for normalized average for last 3 years
    • ["Trend is up, expected: ['stable', 'up'], last:4.775, avg: 0.3535"]
  • interest_servicing_ratio_avg for normalized average for last 3 years
    • ['last: 4.775 is not greater than threshold: 5, criteria: greater than equal to']

Cash Conversion beta


  • cash_conversion_trend for normalized average for last 3 years
    • ["Trend is up, expected: ['stable', 'up'], last:2.471, avg: 0.531"]
  • cash_conversion_trend_avg for normalized average for last 3 years
    • ['last: 2.471, threshold: 0.8, criteria: greater than equal to']
  • cash_conversion_times for normalized average for last 3 years
    • ['ratio: 0.6, threshold_value:0.9, threshold_percentage: 0.8, condition_met_count: 3, total: 5']
  • ebitda_cash_conversion_trend for normalized average for last 3 years
    • ["Trend is up, expected: ['stable', 'up'], last:1.059, avg: -0.2893"]
  • ebitda_cash_conversion_trend_avg for normalized average for last 3 years
    • ['last: 1.059, threshold: 0.9, criteria: greater than equal to']
  • ebitda_cash_conversion_times for normalized average for last 3 years
    • ['ratio: 0.2, threshold_value:0.9, threshold_percentage: 0.8, condition_met_count: 1, total: 5']

Cash Flow beta


  • margin_cashflow for normalized average for last 3 years
    • ["Trend is up, expected: ['stable', 'up'], last:0.063, avg: 0.0043"]
  • margin_cashflow_avg for normalized average for last 3 years
    • ['last: 0.063 is not greater than threshold: 0.1, criteria: greater than equal to']
  • margin_cashflow_times for normalized average for last 3 years
    • ['ratio: 0.0, threshold_value:0.1, threshold_percentage: 0.7, condition_met_count: 0, total: 5']

Operating Profits beta


  • margin_operating for normalized average for last 3 years
    • ["Trend is up, expected: ['stable', 'up'], last:0.046, avg: 0.0163"]
  • margin_operating_avg for normalized average for last 3 years
    • ['last: 0.046 is not greater than threshold: 0.1, criteria: greater than equal to']
  • margin_operating_times for normalized average for last 3 years
    • ['ratio: 0.0, threshold_value:0.1, threshold_percentage: 0.7, condition_met_count: 0, total: 5']

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We do NOT feel in CONTROL in the markets. Do we know why?

1. Showing CASHFLOW_COMPARE_DETAIL report for BLBD Current Market Price: 41.97 as of 2025-06-23
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
BLBD StockMarketPrice 38.63 26.96 10.71 15.64 18.26 22.92 18.19
BLBD YearPriceHigh 59.40 28.80 22.10 28.90 23.99 23.29 26.95
BLBD YearPriceLow 24.08 10.84 7.14 14.31 8.40 16.37 15.67
BLBD revenue 1.35B 1.13B 0.80B 0.68B 0.88B 1.02B 0.0
BLBD assets 0.52B 0.42B 0.37B 0.36B 0.32B 0.0 0.0
BLBD ppnenet 0.10B 0.10B 0.10B 0.11B 0.10B 0.0 0.0
BLBD cashflow::operating 0.11B 0.12B -0.02B -0.05B 0.00B 0.06B 0.0
BLBD netincome 0.11B 0.02B -0.05B -0.00B 0.01B 0.02B 0.0
BLBD operatingincome 0.14B 0.05B -0.04B 0.01B 0.02B 0.04B 0.0
BLBD marketcap 1.25B 0.87B 0.34B 0.50B 0.49B 0.61B 0.0
BLBD ev 1.21B 1.03B 0.48B 0.66B 0.63B 0.61B 0.0
BLBD ebitda 0.15B 0.07B -0.03B 0.02B 0.04B 0.05B 0.0
BLBD equity 0.16B 0.04B 0.00B -0.03B -0.05B 0.0 0.0
BLBD debt 0.10B 0.24B 0.15B 0.17B 0.18B 0.0 0.0
BLBD interest_expense 0.01B 0.02B 0.01B 0.01B 0.01B 0.01B 0.0
BLBD interestRate 0.11 0.07 0.10 0.06 0.07 inf 0.0
BLBD shares_calc 0.03B 0.03B 0.03B 0.03B 0.03B 0.03B 0.0
BLBD income_tax 0.03B 0.01B -0.00B 0.00B 0.00B 0.01B 0.0
BLBD sbc 0.01B 0.00B 0.00B 0.01B 0.00B 0.00B 0.0
BLBD capex 0.00B 0.00B 0.00B 0.00B 0.01B 0.01B 0.0
BLBD depreciation 0.01B 0.02B 0.01B 0.01B 0.01B 0.01B 0.0
BLBD inventory 0.13B 0.14B 0.14B 0.13B 0.06B 0.0 0.0
BLBD payables 0.14B 0.14B 0.11B 0.07B 0.06B 0.0 0.0
BLBD receivables 0.06B 0.01B 0.01B 0.01B 0.01B 0.0 0.0
BLBD opLeverage 150.80 -268.41 -741.09 -48.15 -36.11 0.0 0.0
BLBD evToEbitda 7.88 15.24 -18.19 32.98 17.33 11.19 0.0
BLBD evToOpIncome 8.72 19.95 inf 100.97 28.68 13.84 0.0
BLBD evToOcf 10.93 8.59 -19.84 -12.14 182.36 10.89 0.0
BLBD pocf 11.22 7.23 inf inf 142.82 10.89 0.0
BLBD pe 11.81 36.42 inf inf 40.54 24.97 0.0
BLBD ps 0.93 0.77 0.43 0.73 0.56 0.60 0.0
BLBD pb 7.81 21.68 248.18 -15.31 -9.28 inf 0.0
BLBD roa_cfo 26.60% 32.76% -6.86% -17.09% 1.09% inf 0.0
BLBD roe_cfo 277.79% 8677.86% 74.83% 101.90% -6.50% inf 0.0
BLBD roce_cfo 26.60% 32.76% -6.86% -17.09% 1.09% inf 0.0
BLBD roic_cfo 105.00% 80.93% -14.51% -49.35% 3.15% inf 0.0
BLBD rotc_cfo 116.84% 119.20% -23.17% -52.47% 3.35% inf 0.0
BLBD rome_cfo 188.89% 593.50% 176.68% 157.65% -10.05% inf 0.0
BLBD rote_cfo 524.78% -687.54% 47.47% 75.28% -4.80% inf 0.0
BLBD margin_cfo 8.25% 10.59% -3.05% -7.93% 0.39% 5.47% 0.0
BLBD margin_op 10.34% 4.56% -5.08% 0.95% 2.50% 4.30% 0.0
BLBD margin_net 7.83% 2.10% -5.72% -0.04% 1.39% 2.38% 0.0
BLBD yield_cfo 8.91% 13.83% -7.12% -10.85% 0.70% 9.18% 0.0
BLBD goodwill 0.02B 0.02B 0.02B 0.02B 0.02B 0.0 0.0
BLBD yield_cashflow::operating_enterprise 9.15% 11.64% -5.04% -8.24% 0.55% 9.18% 0.0
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)

2. CAGR report Showing CASHFLOW_COMPARE_DETAIL report for BLBD [show/hide charts] Current Market Price: 41.97 as of 2025-06-23
T means Trillions, B means Billions, M means Millions, all values are in USD(or company filed currency) if not specified as percent/number in the Entry column
Disclaimer: Data is provided as is, please do your due diligence before making any investments, Markets can be very volatile!
Ticker Entry CAGR_5Y_ENDING_2024 CAGR_3Y_ENDING_2024
BLBD StockMarketPrice 11.00% 35.17%
BLBD YearPriceHigh 20.59% 27.14%
BLBD YearPriceLow 8.02% 18.94%
BLBD revenue 5.74% 25.35%
BLBD assets inf 13.81%
BLBD ppnenet inf -2.65%
BLBD cashflow::operating 14.81% 59.38%
BLBD netincome 34.14% 616.10%
BLBD operatingincome 26.02% 177.47%
BLBD marketcap 15.48% 35.60%
BLBD ev 14.89% 22.64%
BLBD ebitda 23.24% 97.64%
BLBD equity inf 90.25%
BLBD debt inf -17.40%
BLBD interest_expense -3.86% 3.00%
BLBD interestRate -98.38% 22.39%
BLBD shares_calc 4.04% 0.31%
BLBD income_tax 34.69% 882.50%
BLBD sbc 15.04% 13.18%
BLBD capex -38.26% 7.09%
BLBD depreciation 7.38% 3.30%
BLBD inventory inf 0.69%
BLBD payables inf 25.59%
BLBD receivables inf 81.00%
BLBD opLeverage inf 72.49%
BLBD evToEbitda -6.77% -37.95%
BLBD evToOpIncome -8.82% -55.80%
BLBD evToOcf 0.07% 42.61%
BLBD pocf 0.60% -99.52%
BLBD pe -13.91% -99.51%
BLBD ps 9.16% 8.41%
BLBD pb -96.21% 35.90%
BLBD roa_cfo -95.16% 52.64%
BLBD roe_cfo -92.26% 39.69%
BLBD roce_cfo -95.16% 52.64%
BLBD roic_cfo -93.63% 60.41%
BLBD rotc_cfo -93.49% 61.69%
BLBD rome_cfo -92.83% 6.21%
BLBD rote_cfo -91.21% 91.03%
BLBD margin_cfo 8.57% 44.87%
BLBD margin_op 19.18% 121.61%
BLBD margin_net 26.89% 482.60%
BLBD yield_cfo -0.60% 41.30%
BLBD goodwill inf 0.0
BLBD yield_cashflow::operating_enterprise -0.07% 45.97%
General notes:
Caution:: 0 value in revenue means we do not have data for the year for the ticker
0 value most likely means we had a data issue and could not find the field value in the particular year
StockMarketPrice is the price of the Stock in December first week for the year mentioned(typically)


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